Matching Items (5)
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- All Subjects: Meteorology
- Creators: School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning
- Creators: Dorn, Ron
Description
A numerical study of wave-induced momentum transport across the tropopause in the presence of a stably stratified thin inversion layer is presented and discussed. This layer consists of a sharp increase in static stability within the tropopause. The wave propagation is modeled by numerically solving the Taylor-Goldstein equation, which governs the dynamics of internal waves in stably stratified shear flows. The waves are forced by a flow over a bell shaped mountain placed at the lower boundary of the domain. A perfectly radiating condition based on the group velocity of mountain waves is imposed at the top to avoid artificial wave reflection. A validation for the numerical method through comparisons with the corresponding analytical solutions will be provided. Then, the method is applied to more realistic profiles of the stability to study the impact of these profiles on wave propagation through the tropopause.
ContributorsCole, Alexandra Shea (Author) / Moustaoui, Mohamed (Thesis director) / Kostelich, Eric (Committee member) / Mahalov, Alex (Committee member) / School of International Letters and Cultures (Contributor) / School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2017-05
Description
The Mid-South region, which consists of west Tennessee, northeast Arkansas, north Mississippi, and the Missouri bootheel, is one of many areas in the United States that frequently faces the threats to life and property posed by tornadoes. Forecasting the occurrence of tornadoes is arguably the biggest challenge for meteorologists responsible for the region. This study analyzes synoptic scale weather conditions associated with tornadoes in the Mid-South with the hopes of identifying patterns conducive to tornadic activity and that these patterns can be used to better forecast potential tornado days. It is hypothesized that patterns associated with tornado formation can be identified and that certain patterns may be more favorable to stronger tornadoes or tornado outbreaks than others.
To find these patterns, I analyzed surface and upper air features were analyzed on days where multiple tornadoes occurred from January 1999 to March 2018. Specifically, the surface low pressure, 500hPa trough, and 850 and 300hPa jets were analyzed. Using a floating nine point grid system, I identified the location of the Mid-South in relation to the feature. In the end, eight patterns of similar grid locations were identified to be related to tornado days. For example, the Mid-South was frequently to the southeast of the surface low. However, no correlation appears to exist between the patterns and the number or intensity of tornadoes. It is recommended that in the future these patterns be tested as a forecast method and/or compared to non-tornado days to verify that they are valid tools.
To find these patterns, I analyzed surface and upper air features were analyzed on days where multiple tornadoes occurred from January 1999 to March 2018. Specifically, the surface low pressure, 500hPa trough, and 850 and 300hPa jets were analyzed. Using a floating nine point grid system, I identified the location of the Mid-South in relation to the feature. In the end, eight patterns of similar grid locations were identified to be related to tornado days. For example, the Mid-South was frequently to the southeast of the surface low. However, no correlation appears to exist between the patterns and the number or intensity of tornadoes. It is recommended that in the future these patterns be tested as a forecast method and/or compared to non-tornado days to verify that they are valid tools.
ContributorsWanless, Anna Cecilia (Author) / Cerveny, Randall (Thesis director) / Svoma, Bohumil (Committee member) / School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning (Contributor, Contributor, Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05
Description
Human-environment interactions in aeolian (windblown) systems has focused research on<br/>human’s role in causing and aiding recovery from natural and anthropogenic disturbance. There<br/>is room for improvement in understanding the best methods and considerations for manual<br/>coastal foredune restoration. Furthermore, the extent to which humans play a role in changing the<br/>shape and surface textures of quartz sand grains is poorly understood. The goal of this thesis is<br/>two-fold: 1) quantify the geomorphic effectiveness of a multi-year manually rebuilt foredune and<br/>2) compare the shapes and microtextures on disturbed and undisturbed quartz sand grains. For<br/>the rebuilt foredune, uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) were used to survey the site, collecting<br/>photos to create digital surface models (DSMs). These DSMs were compared at discrete<br/>moments in time to create a sediment budget. Water levels and cross-shore modeling is also<br/>considered to predict the decadal evolution of the site. In the two years since rebuilding, the<br/>foredune has been stable, but not geomorphically resilient. Modeling shows landward foredune<br/>retreat and beach widening. For the quartz grains, t-testing of shape characteristics showed that<br/>there may be differences in the mean circularity between grains from off-highway vehicle and<br/>non-riding areas. Quartz grains from a variety of coastal and inland dunes were imaged using a<br/>scanning electron microscopy to search for evidence of anthropogenically-induced<br/>microtextures. On grains from Oceano Dunes in California, encouraging textures like parallel<br/>striations, grain fracturing, and linear conchoidal fractures provide exploratory evidence of<br/>anthropogenic microtextures. More focused research is recommended to confirm this exploratory<br/>work.
ContributorsMarvin, Michael Colin (Author) / Walker, Ian (Thesis director) / Dorn, Ron (Committee member) / Schmeeckle, Mark (Committee member) / School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning (Contributor, Contributor, Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2021-05
Description
This study examines the linkage between surface level ozone and planetary boundary layer meteorological variables in the Phoenix Metropolitan region during the summer North American Monsoon period for years 2010 through 2020. Data used in this study was obtained and derived from both 1200 UTC radiosonde observations launched from the Phoenix National Weather Service office, and 8-hour average ozone concentration measurements from Maricopa County monitoring stations. Specific boundary layer meteorological variables examined in this study included inversion temperature, mixing level pressure, mixing level height, and the surface level variables of temperature, dew point temperature, pressure, wind speed, and meridional and zonal wind directions. The daily maximum, 8-hour average ozone concentrations among all Maricopa County monitoring stations were used in this study. To determine ozone’s linkage to meteorological variables, normality tests, determination of Pearson product moment correlation coefficient and/or the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, and the discriminative Student’s two-sided t-test statistic between ozone exceedance and non-exceedance days were used. Statistically significant coefficients indicate weak negative correlations between surface level ozone and surface level pressure, and mixing level pressure, and weak positive correlations between surface level ozone and surface level temperature, surface level zonal wind direction, mixing level height, and inversion temperature. These correlations were linear for surface level pressure, surface level temperature, and inversion temperature. The two-sided Student’s t-test statistic indicates a significant difference in the mean on ozone exceedance and non-exceedance days for surface level temperature, and the upper-air variables of mixing level height, mixing level pressure, and inversion temperature. Both correlations and differences in the mean of upper-air variables showed statistically significant results. These findings suggest that further research should be completed to determine the forecasting ability of morning sounding analyses on surface level ozone in locations exhibiting similar emissions and geographic features as the Phoenix Valley.
ContributorsLopez, David (Author) / Cerveny, Randall (Thesis director) / Balling, Robert (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Music, Dance and Theatre (Contributor) / Department of Physics (Contributor) / School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning (Contributor)
Created2023-05
Description
Several short term exogenic forcings affecting Earth's climate are but recently identified. Lunar nutation periodicity has implications for numerical meteorological prediction. Abrupt shifts in solar wind bulk velocity, particle density, and polarity exhibit correlation with terrestrial hemispheric vorticity changes, cyclonic strengthening and the intensification of baroclinic disturbances. Galactic Cosmic ray induced tropospheric ionization modifies cloud microphysics, and modulates the global electric circuit. This dissertation is constructed around three research questions: (1): What are the biweekly declination effects of lunar gravitation upon the troposphere? (2): How do United States severe weather reports correlate with heliospheric current sheet crossings? and (3): How does cloud cover spatially and temporally vary with galactic cosmic rays? Study 1 findings show spatial consistency concerning lunar declination extremes upon Rossby longwaves. Due to the influence of Rossby longwaves on synoptic scale circulation, our results could theoretically extend numerical meteorological forecasting. Study 2 results indicate a preference for violent tornadoes to occur prior to a HCS crossing. Violent tornadoes (EF3+) are 10% more probable to occur near, and 4% less probable immediately after a HCS crossing. The distribution of hail and damaging wind reports do not mirror this pattern. Polarity is critical for the effect. Study 3 results confirm anticorrelation between solar flux and low-level marine-layer cloud cover, but indicate substantial regional variability between cloud cover altitude and GCRs. Ultimately, this dissertation serves to extend short term meteorological forecasting, enhance climatological modeling and through analysis of severe violent weather and heliospheric events, protect property and save lives.
ContributorsKrahenbuhl, Dan (Author) / Cerveny, Randall S. (Thesis advisor) / Dorn, Ron (Committee member) / Shaffer, John (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2013