ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
Displaying 1 - 10 of 15
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- Creators: Pan, Rong
Description
This thesis presents a meta-analysis of lead-free solder reliability. The qualitative analyses of the failure modes of lead- free solder under different stress tests including drop test, bend test, thermal test and vibration test are discussed. The main cause of failure of lead- free solder is fatigue crack, and the speed of propagation of the initial crack could differ from different test conditions and different solder materials. A quantitative analysis about the fatigue behavior of SAC lead-free solder under thermal preconditioning process is conducted. This thesis presents a method of making prediction of failure life of solder alloy by building a Weibull regression model. The failure life of solder on circuit board is assumed Weibull distributed. Different materials and test conditions could affect the distribution by changing the shape and scale parameters of Weibull distribution. The method is to model the regression of parameters with different test conditions as predictors based on Bayesian inference concepts. In the process of building regression models, prior distributions are generated according to the previous studies, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used under WinBUGS environment.
ContributorsXu, Xinyue (Author) / Pan, Rong (Thesis advisor) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2014
Description
The main objective of this research is to develop an approach to PV module lifetime prediction. In doing so, the aim is to move from empirical generalizations to a formal predictive science based on data-driven case studies of the crystalline silicon PV systems. The evaluation of PV systems aged 5 to 30 years old that results in systematic predictive capability that is absent today. The warranty period provided by the manufacturers typically range from 20 to 25 years for crystalline silicon modules. The end of lifetime (for example, the time-to-degrade by 20% from rated power) of PV modules is usually calculated using a simple linear extrapolation based on the annual field degradation rate (say, 0.8% drop in power output per year). It has been 26 years since systematic studies on solar PV module lifetime prediction were undertaken as part of the 11-year flat-plate solar array (FSA) project of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) funded by DOE. Since then, PV modules have gone through significant changes in construction materials and design; making most of the field data obsolete, though the effect field stressors on the old designs/materials is valuable to be understood. Efforts have been made to adapt some of the techniques developed to the current technologies, but they are too often limited in scope and too reliant on empirical generalizations of previous results. Some systematic approaches have been proposed based on accelerated testing, but no or little experimental studies have followed. Consequently, the industry does not exactly know today how to test modules for a 20 - 30 years lifetime.
This research study focuses on the behavior of crystalline silicon PV module technology in the dry and hot climatic condition of Tempe/Phoenix, Arizona. A three-phase approach was developed: (1) A quantitative failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA) was developed for prioritizing failure modes or mechanisms in a given environment; (2) A time-series approach was used to model environmental stress variables involved and prioritize their effect on the power output drop; and (3) A procedure for developing a prediction model was proposed for the climatic specific condition based on accelerated degradation testing
This research study focuses on the behavior of crystalline silicon PV module technology in the dry and hot climatic condition of Tempe/Phoenix, Arizona. A three-phase approach was developed: (1) A quantitative failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA) was developed for prioritizing failure modes or mechanisms in a given environment; (2) A time-series approach was used to model environmental stress variables involved and prioritize their effect on the power output drop; and (3) A procedure for developing a prediction model was proposed for the climatic specific condition based on accelerated degradation testing
ContributorsKuitche, Joseph Mathurin (Author) / Pan, Rong (Thesis advisor) / Tamizhmani, Govindasamy (Thesis advisor) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2014
Description
This thesis presents a successful application of operations research techniques in nonprofit distribution system to improve the distribution efficiency and increase customer service quality. It focuses on truck routing problems faced by St. Mary’s Food Bank Distribution Center. This problem is modeled as a capacitated vehicle routing problem to improve the distribution efficiency and is extended to capacitated vehicle routing problem with time windows to increase customer service quality. Several heuristics are applied to solve these vehicle routing problems and tested in well-known benchmark problems. Algorithms are tested by comparing the results with the plan currently used by St. Mary’s Food Bank Distribution Center. The results suggest heuristics are quite completive: average 17% less trucks and 28.52% less travel time are used in heuristics’ solution.
ContributorsLi, Xiaoyan (Author) / Askin, Ronald (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
One of the greatest 21st century challenges is meeting the needs of a growing world population expected to increase 35% by 2050 given projected trends in diets, consumption and income. This in turn requires a 70-100% improvement on current production capability, even as the world is undergoing systemic climate pattern changes. This growth not only translates to higher demand for staple products, such as rice, wheat, and beans, but also creates demand for high-value products such as fresh fruits and vegetables (FVs), fueled by better economic conditions and a more health conscious consumer. In this case, it would seem that these trends would present opportunities for the economic development of environmentally well-suited regions to produce high-value products. Interestingly, many regions with production potential still exhibit a considerable gap between their current and ‘true’ maximum capability, especially in places where poverty is more common. Paradoxically, often high-value, horticultural products could be produced in these regions, if relatively small capital investments are made and proper marketing and distribution channels are created. The hypothesis is that small farmers within local agricultural systems are well positioned to take advantage of existing sustainable and profitable opportunities, specifically in high-value agricultural production. Unearthing these opportunities can entice investments in small farming development and help them enter the horticultural industry, thus expand the volume, variety and/or quality of products available for global consumption. In this dissertation, the objective is three-fold: (1) to demonstrate the hidden production potential that exist within local agricultural communities, (2) highlight the importance of supply chain modeling tools in the strategic design of local agricultural systems, and (3) demonstrate the application of optimization and machine learning techniques to strategize the implementation of protective agricultural technologies.
As part of this dissertation, a yield approximation method is developed and integrated with a mixed-integer program to estimate a region’s potential to produce non-perennial, vegetable items. This integration offers practical approximations that help decision-makers identify technologies needed to protect agricultural production, alter harvesting patterns to better match market behavior, and provide an analytical framework through which external investment entities can assess different production options.
As part of this dissertation, a yield approximation method is developed and integrated with a mixed-integer program to estimate a region’s potential to produce non-perennial, vegetable items. This integration offers practical approximations that help decision-makers identify technologies needed to protect agricultural production, alter harvesting patterns to better match market behavior, and provide an analytical framework through which external investment entities can assess different production options.
ContributorsFlores, Hector M. (Author) / Villalobos, Rene (Thesis advisor) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Parker, Nathan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
Description
Healthcare operations have enjoyed reduced costs, improved patient safety, and
innovation in healthcare policy over a huge variety of applications by tackling prob-
lems via the creation and optimization of descriptive mathematical models to guide
decision-making. Despite these accomplishments, models are stylized representations
of real-world applications, reliant on accurate estimations from historical data to jus-
tify their underlying assumptions. To protect against unreliable estimations which
can adversely affect the decisions generated from applications dependent on fully-
realized models, techniques that are robust against misspecications are utilized while
still making use of incoming data for learning. Hence, new robust techniques are ap-
plied that (1) allow for the decision-maker to express a spectrum of pessimism against
model uncertainties while (2) still utilizing incoming data for learning. Two main ap-
plications are investigated with respect to these goals, the first being a percentile
optimization technique with respect to a multi-class queueing system for application
in hospital Emergency Departments. The second studies the use of robust forecasting
techniques in improving developing countries’ vaccine supply chains via (1) an inno-
vative outside of cold chain policy and (2) a district-managed approach to inventory
control. Both of these research application areas utilize data-driven approaches that
feature learning and pessimism-controlled robustness.
innovation in healthcare policy over a huge variety of applications by tackling prob-
lems via the creation and optimization of descriptive mathematical models to guide
decision-making. Despite these accomplishments, models are stylized representations
of real-world applications, reliant on accurate estimations from historical data to jus-
tify their underlying assumptions. To protect against unreliable estimations which
can adversely affect the decisions generated from applications dependent on fully-
realized models, techniques that are robust against misspecications are utilized while
still making use of incoming data for learning. Hence, new robust techniques are ap-
plied that (1) allow for the decision-maker to express a spectrum of pessimism against
model uncertainties while (2) still utilizing incoming data for learning. Two main ap-
plications are investigated with respect to these goals, the first being a percentile
optimization technique with respect to a multi-class queueing system for application
in hospital Emergency Departments. The second studies the use of robust forecasting
techniques in improving developing countries’ vaccine supply chains via (1) an inno-
vative outside of cold chain policy and (2) a district-managed approach to inventory
control. Both of these research application areas utilize data-driven approaches that
feature learning and pessimism-controlled robustness.
ContributorsBren, Austin (Author) / Saghafian, Soroush (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
A quantitative analysis of a system that has a complex reliability structure always involves considerable challenges. This dissertation mainly addresses uncertainty in- herent in complicated reliability structures that may cause unexpected and undesired results.
The reliability structure uncertainty cannot be handled by the traditional relia- bility analysis tools such as Fault Tree and Reliability Block Diagram due to their deterministic Boolean logic. Therefore, I employ Bayesian network that provides a flexible modeling method for building a multivariate distribution. By representing a system reliability structure as a joint distribution, the uncertainty and correlations existing between system’s elements can effectively be modeled in a probabilistic man- ner. This dissertation focuses on analyzing system reliability for the entire system life cycle, particularly, production stage and early design stages.
In production stage, the research investigates a system that is continuously mon- itored by on-board sensors. With modeling the complex reliability structure by Bayesian network integrated with various stochastic processes, I propose several methodologies that evaluate system reliability on real-time basis and optimize main- tenance schedules.
In early design stages, the research aims to predict system reliability based on the current system design and to improve the design if necessary. The three main challenges in this research are: 1) the lack of field failure data, 2) the complex reliability structure and 3) how to effectively improve the design. To tackle the difficulties, I present several modeling approaches using Bayesian inference and nonparametric Bayesian network where the system is explicitly analyzed through the sensitivity analysis. In addition, this modeling approach is enhanced by incorporating a temporal dimension. However, the nonparametric Bayesian network approach generally accompanies with high computational efforts, especially, when a complex and large system is modeled. To alleviate this computational burden, I also suggest to building a surrogate model with quantile regression.
In summary, this dissertation studies and explores the use of Bayesian network in analyzing complex systems. All proposed methodologies are demonstrated by case studies.
The reliability structure uncertainty cannot be handled by the traditional relia- bility analysis tools such as Fault Tree and Reliability Block Diagram due to their deterministic Boolean logic. Therefore, I employ Bayesian network that provides a flexible modeling method for building a multivariate distribution. By representing a system reliability structure as a joint distribution, the uncertainty and correlations existing between system’s elements can effectively be modeled in a probabilistic man- ner. This dissertation focuses on analyzing system reliability for the entire system life cycle, particularly, production stage and early design stages.
In production stage, the research investigates a system that is continuously mon- itored by on-board sensors. With modeling the complex reliability structure by Bayesian network integrated with various stochastic processes, I propose several methodologies that evaluate system reliability on real-time basis and optimize main- tenance schedules.
In early design stages, the research aims to predict system reliability based on the current system design and to improve the design if necessary. The three main challenges in this research are: 1) the lack of field failure data, 2) the complex reliability structure and 3) how to effectively improve the design. To tackle the difficulties, I present several modeling approaches using Bayesian inference and nonparametric Bayesian network where the system is explicitly analyzed through the sensitivity analysis. In addition, this modeling approach is enhanced by incorporating a temporal dimension. However, the nonparametric Bayesian network approach generally accompanies with high computational efforts, especially, when a complex and large system is modeled. To alleviate this computational burden, I also suggest to building a surrogate model with quantile regression.
In summary, this dissertation studies and explores the use of Bayesian network in analyzing complex systems. All proposed methodologies are demonstrated by case studies.
ContributorsLee, Dongjin (Author) / Pan, Rong (Thesis advisor) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Du, Xiaoping (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
Under different environmental conditions, the relationship between the design and operational variables of a system and the system’s performance is likely to vary and is difficult to be described by a single model. The environmental variables (e.g., temperature, humidity) are not controllable while the variables of the system (e.g. heating, cooling) are mostly controllable. This phenomenon has been widely seen in the areas of building energy management, mobile communication networks, and wind energy. To account for the complicated interaction between a system and the multivariate environment under which it operates, a Sparse Partitioned-Regression (SPR) model is proposed, which automatically searches for a partition of the environmental variables and fits a sparse regression within each subdivision of the partition. SPR is an innovative approach that integrates recursive partitioning and high-dimensional regression model fitting within a single framework. Moreover, theoretical studies of SPR are explicitly conducted to derive the oracle inequalities for the SPR estimators which could provide a bound for the difference between the risk of SPR estimators and Bayes’ risk. These theoretical studies show that the performance of SPR estimator is almost (up to numerical constants) as good as of an ideal estimator that can be theoretically achieved but is not available in practice. Finally, a Tree-Based Structure-Regularized Regression (TBSR) approach is proposed by considering the fact that the model performance can be improved by a joint estimation on different subdivisions in certain scenarios. It leverages the idea that models for different subdivisions may share some similarities and can borrow strength from each other. The proposed approaches are applied to two real datasets in the domain of building energy. (1) SPR is used in an application of adopting building design and operational variables, outdoor environmental variables, and their interactions to predict energy consumption based on the Department of Energy’s EnergyPlus data sets. SPR produces a high level of prediction accuracy and provides insights into the design, operation, and management of energy-efficient buildings. (2) TBSR is used in an application of predicting future temperature condition which could help to decide whether to activate or not the Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems in an energy-efficient manner.
ContributorsNing, Shuluo (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Rafi, Tanveer A (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
In healthcare facilities, health information systems (HISs) are used to serve different purposes. The radiology department adopts multiple HISs in managing their operations and patient care. In general, the HISs that touch radiology fall into two categories: tracking HISs and archive HISs. Electronic Health Records (EHR) is a typical tracking HIS, which tracks the care each patient receives at multiple encounters and facilities. Archive HISs are typically specialized databases to store large-size data collected as part of the patient care. A typical example of an archive HIS is the Picture Archive and Communication System (PACS), which provides economical storage and convenient access to diagnostic images from multiple modalities. How to integrate such HISs and best utilize their data remains a challenging problem due to the disparity of HISs as well as high-dimensionality and heterogeneity of the data. My PhD dissertation research includes three inter-connected and integrated topics and focuses on designing integrated HISs and further developing statistical models and machine learning algorithms for process and patient care improvement.
Topic 1: Design of super-HIS and tracking of quality of care (QoC). My research developed an information technology that integrates multiple HISs in radiology, and proposed QoC metrics defined upon the data that measure various dimensions of care. The DDD assisted the clinical practices and enabled an effective intervention for reducing lengthy radiologist turnaround times for patients.
Topic 2: Monitoring and change detection of QoC data streams for process improvement. With the super-HIS in place, high-dimensional data streams of QoC metrics are generated. I developed a statistical model for monitoring high- dimensional data streams that integrated Singular Vector Decomposition (SVD) and process control. The algorithm was applied to QoC metrics data, and additionally extended to another application of monitoring traffic data in communication networks.
Topic 3: Deep transfer learning of archive HIS data for computer-aided diagnosis (CAD). The novelty of the CAD system is the development of a deep transfer learning algorithm that combines the ideas of transfer learning and multi- modality image integration under the deep learning framework. Our system achieved high accuracy in breast cancer diagnosis compared with conventional machine learning algorithms.
Topic 1: Design of super-HIS and tracking of quality of care (QoC). My research developed an information technology that integrates multiple HISs in radiology, and proposed QoC metrics defined upon the data that measure various dimensions of care. The DDD assisted the clinical practices and enabled an effective intervention for reducing lengthy radiologist turnaround times for patients.
Topic 2: Monitoring and change detection of QoC data streams for process improvement. With the super-HIS in place, high-dimensional data streams of QoC metrics are generated. I developed a statistical model for monitoring high- dimensional data streams that integrated Singular Vector Decomposition (SVD) and process control. The algorithm was applied to QoC metrics data, and additionally extended to another application of monitoring traffic data in communication networks.
Topic 3: Deep transfer learning of archive HIS data for computer-aided diagnosis (CAD). The novelty of the CAD system is the development of a deep transfer learning algorithm that combines the ideas of transfer learning and multi- modality image integration under the deep learning framework. Our system achieved high accuracy in breast cancer diagnosis compared with conventional machine learning algorithms.
ContributorsWang, Kun (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Zwart, Christine M. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
With the development of computer and sensing technology, rich datasets have become available in many fields such as health care, manufacturing, transportation, just to name a few. Also, data come from multiple heterogeneous sources or modalities. This is a common phenomenon in health care systems. While multi-modality data fusion is a promising research area, there are several special challenges in health care applications. (1) The integration of biological and statistical model is a big challenge; (2) It is commonplace that data from various modalities is not available for every patient due to cost, accessibility, and other reasons. This results in a special missing data structure in which different modalities may be missed in “blocks”. Therefore, how to train a predictive model using such a dataset poses a significant challenge to statistical learning. (3) It is well known that different modality data may contain different aspects of information about the response. The current studies cannot afford to solve this problem. My dissertation includes new statistical learning model development to address each of the aforementioned challenges as well as application case studies using real health care datasets, included in three chapters (Chapter 2, 3, and 4), respectively. Collectively, it is expected that my dissertation could provide a new sets of statistical learning models, algorithms, and theory contributed to multi-modality heterogeneous data fusion driven by the unique challenges in this area. Also, application of these new methods to important medical problems using real-world datasets is expected to provide solutions to these problems, and therefore contributing to the application domains.
ContributorsLiu, Xiaonan (Ph.D.) (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Fatyga, Mirek (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
Resource allocation in cloud computing determines the allocation of computer and network resources of service providers to service requests of cloud users for meeting the cloud users' service requirements. The efficient and effective resource allocation determines the success of cloud computing. However, it is challenging to satisfy objectives of all service providers and all cloud users in an unpredictable environment with dynamic workload, large shared resources and complex policies to manage them.
Many studies propose to use centralized algorithms for achieving optimal solutions for resource allocation. However, the centralized algorithms may encounter the scalability problem to handle a large number of service requests in a realistically satisfactory time. Hence, this dissertation presents two studies. One study develops and tests heuristics of centralized resource allocation to produce near-optimal solutions in a scalable manner. Another study looks into decentralized methods of performing resource allocation.
The first part of this dissertation defines the resource allocation problem as a centralized optimization problem in Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) and obtains the optimal solutions for various resource-service problem scenarios. Based on the analysis of the optimal solutions, various heuristics are designed for efficient resource allocation. Extended experiments are conducted with larger numbers of user requests and service providers for performance evaluation of the resource allocation heuristics. Experimental results of the resource allocation heuristics show the comparable performance of the heuristics to the optimal solutions from solving the optimization problem. Moreover, the resource allocation heuristics demonstrate better computational efficiency and thus scalability than solving the optimization problem.
The second part of this dissertation looks into elements of service provider-user coordination first in the formulation of the centralized resource allocation problem in MIP and then in the formulation of the optimization problem in a decentralized manner for various problem cases. By examining differences between the centralized, optimal solutions and the decentralized solutions for those problem cases, the analysis of how the decentralized service provider-user coordination breaks down the optimal solutions is performed. Based on the analysis, strategies of decentralized service provider-user coordination are developed.
Many studies propose to use centralized algorithms for achieving optimal solutions for resource allocation. However, the centralized algorithms may encounter the scalability problem to handle a large number of service requests in a realistically satisfactory time. Hence, this dissertation presents two studies. One study develops and tests heuristics of centralized resource allocation to produce near-optimal solutions in a scalable manner. Another study looks into decentralized methods of performing resource allocation.
The first part of this dissertation defines the resource allocation problem as a centralized optimization problem in Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) and obtains the optimal solutions for various resource-service problem scenarios. Based on the analysis of the optimal solutions, various heuristics are designed for efficient resource allocation. Extended experiments are conducted with larger numbers of user requests and service providers for performance evaluation of the resource allocation heuristics. Experimental results of the resource allocation heuristics show the comparable performance of the heuristics to the optimal solutions from solving the optimization problem. Moreover, the resource allocation heuristics demonstrate better computational efficiency and thus scalability than solving the optimization problem.
The second part of this dissertation looks into elements of service provider-user coordination first in the formulation of the centralized resource allocation problem in MIP and then in the formulation of the optimization problem in a decentralized manner for various problem cases. By examining differences between the centralized, optimal solutions and the decentralized solutions for those problem cases, the analysis of how the decentralized service provider-user coordination breaks down the optimal solutions is performed. Based on the analysis, strategies of decentralized service provider-user coordination are developed.
ContributorsYang, Su Seon (Author) / Ye, Nong (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Yau, Sik-Sang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016