ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
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- Creators: Sen, Arunabha
In this research, given a mixed set of senators/blogs debating on a set of political issues from opposing camps, I use signed bipartite graphs for modeling debates, and I propose an algorithm for partitioning both the opinion holders (senators or blogs) and the issues (bills or topics) comprising the debate into binary opposing camps. Simultaneously, my algorithm scales the entities on a univariate scale. Using this scale, a researcher can identify moderate and extreme senators/blogs within each camp, and polarizing versus unifying issues. Through performance evaluations I show that my proposed algorithm provides an effective solution to the problem, and performs much better than existing baseline algorithms adapted to solve this new problem. In my experiments, I used both real data from political blogosphere and US Congress records, as well as synthetic data which were obtained by varying polarization and degree distribution of the vertices of the graph to show the robustness of my algorithm.
I also applied my algorithm on all the terms of the US Senate to the date for longitudinal analysis and developed a web based interactive user interface www.PartisanScale.com to visualize the analysis.
US politics is most often polarized with respect to the left/right alignment of the entities. However, certain issues do not reflect the polarization due to political parties, but observe a split correlating to the demographics of the senators, or simply receive consensus. I propose a hierarchical clustering algorithm that identifies groups of bills that share the same polarization characteristics. I developed a web based interactive user interface www.ControversyAnalysis.com to visualize the clusters while providing a synopsis through distribution charts, word clouds, and heat maps.
and social topics (Papacharissi 2002; Himelboim 2010). Hotly debated issues
span all spheres of human activity; from liberal vs. conservative politics, to radical
vs. counter-radical religious debate, to climate change debate in scientific community,
to globalization debate in economics, and to nuclear disarmament debate in
security. Many prominent ’camps’ have emerged within Internet debate rhetoric and
practice (Dahlberg, n.d.).
In this research I utilized feature extraction and model fitting techniques to process
the rhetoric found in the web sites of 23 Indonesian Islamic religious organizations,
later with 26 similar organizations from the United Kingdom to profile their
ideology and activity patterns along a hypothesized radical/counter-radical scale, and
presented an end-to-end system that is able to help researchers to visualize the data
in an interactive fashion on a time line. The subject data of this study is the articles
downloaded from the web sites of these organizations dating from 2001 to 2011,
and in 2013. I developed algorithms to rank these organizations by assigning them
to probable positions on the scale. I showed that the developed Rasch model fits
the data using Andersen’s LR-test (likelihood ratio). I created a gold standard of
the ranking of these organizations through an expertise elicitation tool. Then using
my system I computed expert-to-expert agreements, and then presented experimental
results comparing the performance of three baseline methods to show that the
Rasch model not only outperforms the baseline methods, but it was also the only
system that performs at expert-level accuracy.
I developed an end-to-end system that receives list of organizations from experts,
mines their web corpus, prepare discourse topic lists with expert support, and then
ranks them on scales with partial expert interaction, and finally presents them on an
easy to use web based analytic system.
Second, I focus on detecting negative linkages between politically motivated social media users. Major social media platforms do not facilitate their users with built-in negative interaction options. However, many political network analysis tasks rely on not only positive but also negative linkages. Here, I present the SocLSFact framework to detect negative linkages among social media users. It utilizes three pieces of information; sentiment cues of textual interactions, positive interactions, and socially balanced triads. I evaluate the contribution of each three aspects in negative link detection performance on multiple tasks.
Third, I propose an experimental setup that quantifies the polarization impact of automated accounts on Twitter retweet networks. I focus on a dataset of tragic Parkland shooting event and its aftermath. I show that when automated accounts are removed from the retweet network the network polarization decrease significantly, while a same number of accounts to the automated accounts are removed randomly the difference is not significant. I also find that prominent predictors of engagement of automatically generated content is not very different than what previous studies point out in general engaging content on social media. Last but not least, I identify accounts which self-disclose their automated nature in their profile by using expressions such as bot, chat-bot, or robot. I find that human engagement to self-disclosing accounts compared to non-disclosing automated accounts is much smaller. This observational finding can motivate further efforts into automated account detection research to prevent their unintended impact.
towards predicting real world events. This dissertation attempts at analyzing
and then modeling such patterns of social network interactions. I propose how such
models could be used in advantage over traditional models of diffusion in various
predictions and simulations of real world events.
The specific three questions rooted in understanding social network interactions that have been addressed in this dissertation are: (1) can interactions captured through evolving diffusion networks indicate and predict the phase changes in a diffusion process? (2) can patterns and models of interactions in hacker forums be used in cyber-attack predictions in the real world? and (3) do varying patterns of social influence impact behavior adoption with different success ratios and could they be used to simulate rumor diffusion?
For the first question, I empirically analyze information cascades of Twitter and Flixster data and conclude that in evolving network structures characterizing diffusion, local network neighborhood surrounding a user is particularly a better indicator of the approaching phases. For the second question, I attempt to build an integrated approach utilizing unconventional signals from the "darkweb" forum discussions for predicting attacks on a target organization. The study finds that filtering out credible users and measuring network features surrounding them can be good indicators of an impending attack. For the third question, I develop an experimental framework in a controlled environment to understand how individuals respond to peer behavior in situations of sequential decision making and develop data-driven agent based models towards simulating rumor diffusion.