ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
Displaying 1 - 2 of 2
Filtering by
- Creators: Davulcu, Hasan
Description
Time series forecasting is the prediction of future data after analyzing the past data for temporal trends. This work investigates two fields of time series forecasting in the form of Stock Data Prediction and the Opioid Incident Prediction. In this thesis, the Stock Data Prediction Problem investigates methods which could predict the trends in the NYSE and NASDAQ stock markets for ten different companies, nine of which are part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). A novel deep learning model which uses a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) is used to predict future data and the results are compared with the existing regression techniques like Linear, Huber, and Ridge regression and neural network models such as Long-Short Term Memory (LSTMs) models.
In this thesis, the Opioid Incident Prediction Problem investigates methods which could predict the location of future opioid overdose incidences using the past opioid overdose incidences data. A similar deep learning model is used to predict the location of the future overdose incidences given the two datasets of the past incidences (Connecticut and Cincinnati Opioid incidence datasets) and compared with the existing neural network models such as Convolution LSTMs, Attention-based Convolution LSTMs, and Encoder-Decoder frameworks. Experimental results on the above-mentioned datasets for both the problems show the superiority of the proposed architectures over the standard statistical models.
In this thesis, the Opioid Incident Prediction Problem investigates methods which could predict the location of future opioid overdose incidences using the past opioid overdose incidences data. A similar deep learning model is used to predict the location of the future overdose incidences given the two datasets of the past incidences (Connecticut and Cincinnati Opioid incidence datasets) and compared with the existing neural network models such as Convolution LSTMs, Attention-based Convolution LSTMs, and Encoder-Decoder frameworks. Experimental results on the above-mentioned datasets for both the problems show the superiority of the proposed architectures over the standard statistical models.
ContributorsThomas, Kevin, M.S (Author) / Sen, Arunabha (Thesis advisor) / Davulcu, Hasan (Committee member) / Banerjee, Ayan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
In the last decade, the immense growth of computational power, enhanced data storage capabilities, and the increasing popularity of online learning systems has led to adaptive learning systems becoming more widely available. Parallel to infrastructure enhancements, more researchers have started to study the adaptive task selection systems, concluding that suggesting tasks appropriate to students' needs may increase students' learning gains.
This work built an adaptive task selection system for undergraduate organic chemistry students using a deep learning algorithm. The proposed model is based on a recursive neural network (RNN) architecture built with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells that recommends organic chemistry practice questions to students depending on their previous question selections.
For this study, educational data were collected from the Organic Chemistry Practice Environment (OPE) that is used in the Organic Chemistry course at Arizona State University. The OPE has more than three thousand questions. Each question is linked to one or more knowledge components (KCs) to enable recommendations that precisely address the knowledge that students need. Subject matter experts made the connection between questions and related KCs.
A linear model derived from students' exam results was used to identify skilled students. The neural network based recommendation system was trained using those skilled students' problem solving attempt sequences so that the trained system recommends questions that will likely improve learning gains the most. The model was evaluated by measuring the predicted questions' accuracy against learners' actual task selections. The proposed model not only accurately predicted the learners' actual task selection but also the correctness of their answers.
This work built an adaptive task selection system for undergraduate organic chemistry students using a deep learning algorithm. The proposed model is based on a recursive neural network (RNN) architecture built with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells that recommends organic chemistry practice questions to students depending on their previous question selections.
For this study, educational data were collected from the Organic Chemistry Practice Environment (OPE) that is used in the Organic Chemistry course at Arizona State University. The OPE has more than three thousand questions. Each question is linked to one or more knowledge components (KCs) to enable recommendations that precisely address the knowledge that students need. Subject matter experts made the connection between questions and related KCs.
A linear model derived from students' exam results was used to identify skilled students. The neural network based recommendation system was trained using those skilled students' problem solving attempt sequences so that the trained system recommends questions that will likely improve learning gains the most. The model was evaluated by measuring the predicted questions' accuracy against learners' actual task selections. The proposed model not only accurately predicted the learners' actual task selection but also the correctness of their answers.
ContributorsKOSELER EMRE, Refika (Author) / VanLehn, Kurt A (Thesis advisor) / Davulcu, Hasan (Committee member) / Hsiao, Sharon (Committee member) / Hansford, Dianne (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020