ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
Displaying 1 - 3 of 3
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- All Subjects: Microblogs--Social aspects.
- Creators: Davulcu, Hasan
Description
The increasing popularity of Twitter renders improved trustworthiness and relevance assessment of tweets much more important for search. However, given the limitations on the size of tweets, it is hard to extract measures for ranking from the tweet's content alone. I propose a method of ranking tweets by generating a reputation score for each tweet that is based not just on content, but also additional information from the Twitter ecosystem that consists of users, tweets, and the web pages that tweets link to. This information is obtained by modeling the Twitter ecosystem as a three-layer graph. The reputation score is used to power two novel methods of ranking tweets by propagating the reputation over an agreement graph based on tweets' content similarity. Additionally, I show how the agreement graph helps counter tweet spam. An evaluation of my method on 16~million tweets from the TREC 2011 Microblog Dataset shows that it doubles the precision over baseline Twitter Search and achieves higher precision than current state of the art method. I present a detailed internal empirical evaluation of RAProp in comparison to several alternative approaches proposed by me, as well as external evaluation in comparison to the current state of the art method.
ContributorsRavikumar, Srijith (Author) / Kambhampati, Subbarao (Thesis advisor) / Davulcu, Hasan (Committee member) / Liu, Huan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2013
Description
Stock market news and investing tips are popular topics in Twitter. In this dissertation, first I utilize a 5-year financial news corpus comprising over 50,000 articles collected from the NASDAQ website matching the 30 stock symbols in Dow Jones Index (DJI) to train a directional stock price prediction system based on news content. Next, I proceed to show that information in articles indicated by breaking Tweet volumes leads to a statistically significant boost in the hourly directional prediction accuracies for the DJI stock prices mentioned in these articles. Secondly, I show that using document-level sentiment extraction does not yield a statistically significant boost in the directional predictive accuracies in the presence of other 1-gram keyword features. Thirdly I test the performance of the system on several time-frames and identify the 4 hour time-frame for both the price charts and for Tweet breakout detection as the best time-frame combination. Finally, I develop a set of price momentum based trade exit rules to cut losing trades early and to allow the winning trades run longer. I show that the Tweet volume breakout based trading system with the price momentum based exit rules not only improves the winning accuracy and the return on investment, but it also lowers the maximum drawdown and achieves the highest overall return over maximum drawdown.
ContributorsAlostad, Hana (Author) / Davulcu, Hasan (Thesis advisor) / Corman, Steven (Committee member) / Tong, Hanghang (Committee member) / He, Jingrui (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
In supervised learning, machine learning techniques can be applied to learn a model on
a small set of labeled documents which can be used to classify a larger set of unknown
documents. Machine learning techniques can be used to analyze a political scenario
in a given society. A lot of research has been going on in this field to understand
the interactions of various people in the society in response to actions taken by their
organizations.
This paper talks about understanding the Russian influence on people in Latvia.
This is done by building an eeffective model learnt on initial set of documents
containing a combination of official party web-pages, important political leaders' social
networking sites. Since twitter is a micro-blogging site which allows people to post
their opinions on any topic, the model built is used for estimating the tweets sup-
porting the Russian and Latvian political organizations in Latvia. All the documents
collected for analysis are in Latvian and Russian languages which are rich in vocabulary resulting into huge number of features. Hence, feature selection techniques can
be used to reduce the vocabulary set relevant to the classification model. This thesis
provides a comparative analysis of traditional feature selection techniques and implementation of a new iterative feature selection method using EM and cross-domain
training along with supportive visualization tool. This method out performed other
feature selection methods by reducing the number of features up-to 50% along with
good model accuracy. The results from the classification are used to interpret user
behavior and their political influence patterns across organizations in Latvia using
interactive dashboard with combination of powerful widgets.
a small set of labeled documents which can be used to classify a larger set of unknown
documents. Machine learning techniques can be used to analyze a political scenario
in a given society. A lot of research has been going on in this field to understand
the interactions of various people in the society in response to actions taken by their
organizations.
This paper talks about understanding the Russian influence on people in Latvia.
This is done by building an eeffective model learnt on initial set of documents
containing a combination of official party web-pages, important political leaders' social
networking sites. Since twitter is a micro-blogging site which allows people to post
their opinions on any topic, the model built is used for estimating the tweets sup-
porting the Russian and Latvian political organizations in Latvia. All the documents
collected for analysis are in Latvian and Russian languages which are rich in vocabulary resulting into huge number of features. Hence, feature selection techniques can
be used to reduce the vocabulary set relevant to the classification model. This thesis
provides a comparative analysis of traditional feature selection techniques and implementation of a new iterative feature selection method using EM and cross-domain
training along with supportive visualization tool. This method out performed other
feature selection methods by reducing the number of features up-to 50% along with
good model accuracy. The results from the classification are used to interpret user
behavior and their political influence patterns across organizations in Latvia using
interactive dashboard with combination of powerful widgets.
ContributorsBollapragada, Lakshmi Gayatri Niharika (Author) / Davulcu, Hasan (Thesis advisor) / Sen, Arunabha (Committee member) / Hsiao, Ihan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016