ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
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- All Subjects: Applied Mathematics
My research mainly concentrates on predicting and controlling tipping points (saddle-node bifurcation) in complex ecological systems, comparing linear and nonlinear control methods in complex dynamical systems. Moreover, I use advanced artificial neural networks to predict chaotic spatiotemporal dynamical systems. Complex networked systems can exhibit a tipping point (a “point of no return”) at which a total collapse occurs. Using complex mutualistic networks in ecology as a prototype class of systems, I carry out a dimension reduction process to arrive at an effective two-dimensional (2D) system with the two dynamical variables corresponding to the average pollinator and plant abundances, respectively. I demonstrate that, using 59 empirical mutualistic networks extracted from real data, our 2D model can accurately predict the occurrence of a tipping point even in the presence of stochastic disturbances. I also develop an ecologically feasible strategy to manage/control the tipping point by maintaining the abundance of a particular pollinator species at a constant level, which essentially removes the hysteresis associated with tipping points.
Besides, I also find that the nodal importance ranking for nonlinear and linear control exhibits opposite trends: for the former, large degree nodes are more important but for the latter, the importance scale is tilted towards the small-degree nodes, suggesting strongly irrelevance of linear controllability to these systems. Focusing on a class of recurrent neural networks - reservoir computing systems that have recently been exploited for model-free prediction of nonlinear dynamical systems, I uncover a surprising phenomenon: the emergence of an interval in the spectral radius of the neural network in which the prediction error is minimized.