ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
This collection includes most of the ASU Theses and Dissertations from 2011 to present. ASU Theses and Dissertations are available in downloadable PDF format; however, a small percentage of items are under embargo. Information about the dissertations/theses includes degree information, committee members, an abstract, supporting data or media.
In addition to the electronic theses found in the ASU Digital Repository, ASU Theses and Dissertations can be found in the ASU Library Catalog.
Dissertations and Theses granted by Arizona State University are archived and made available through a joint effort of the ASU Graduate College and the ASU Libraries. For more information or questions about this collection contact or visit the Digital Repository ETD Library Guide or contact the ASU Graduate College at gradformat@asu.edu.
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- All Subjects: Modeling
- Creators: Fox, Peter
Description
C.C. Cragin Reservoir’s location in the Coconino National Forest, Arizona makes it prone to wild fire. This study focused on the potential impacts of such a wild fire on the reservoir’s annual thermal stratification cycle impacts and water quality. The annual thermal stratification cycle impacted the reservoir’s water quality by increasing hypolimnion concentrations of magnesium, iron, turbidity, and specific ultraviolet absorbance (SUVA) values, as well as resulting in the hypolimnion having decreased dissolved oxygen concentrations during stratified months. The scarification process did not affect the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations in the reservoir or the total/dissolved nitrogen and phosphorous concentrations. Some general water quality trends that emerged were that phosphorous was the limiting nutrient, secchi disk depth and chlorophyll a concentration are inversely related, and no metals were found to be in concentrations that would violate an EPA drinking water maximum contaminant level (MCL). A carbon mass model was developed and parameterized using DOC measurements, and then using historic reservoir storage and weather data, the model simulated DOC concentrations in the reservoir following four hypothetical wild fire events. The model simulated varying initial reservoir storage volumes, initial flush volumes, and flush DOC concentrations, resulting in reservoir DOC concentrations varying from 17.41 mg/L to 8.82 mg/L.
ContributorsFlatebo, Theodore (Author) / Westerhoff, Paul K (Thesis advisor) / Fox, Peter (Committee member) / Perreault, Francois (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
One of the two objectives of this dissertation is an investigation into the possible correlation between rainfall events and increased levels of E. coli and Mycobacterium using an existing data set. The literature states that levels of microbial concentrations do increase after rainfall events, but there are no studies to indicate this correlation applies in any Arizona water systems. The data analyzed for the bacterial concentrations project suggested the possibility of a correlation along one river but it is not conclusive to state that any correlation exists between rainfall events and the microbial concentration for many other sites included in the analysis. This is most likely due to the highly engineered water delivery systems that are not directly impacted.
The secondary objective was to determine if there are environmental variables collected from an ongoing project which would be a good candidate for making predictions about any of the project data parameters. Of the 79 possible opportunities for the model to accurately predict the dependent variable, it showed strong statistical favorability as well as experimentally favorable results towards Dissolved Organic Carbon as the best dependent variable from the data set, resulting in an accuracy of 41%. This is relevant since Dissolved Organic Carbon is one of the most important water quality parameters of concern for drinking water treatment plants where disinfection by-products are a limiting factor. The need for further analysis and additional data collection is an obvious result from both studies. The use of hydrograph data instead of rainfall would be a logical new direction for the heavily engineered water delivery systems.
The secondary objective was to determine if there are environmental variables collected from an ongoing project which would be a good candidate for making predictions about any of the project data parameters. Of the 79 possible opportunities for the model to accurately predict the dependent variable, it showed strong statistical favorability as well as experimentally favorable results towards Dissolved Organic Carbon as the best dependent variable from the data set, resulting in an accuracy of 41%. This is relevant since Dissolved Organic Carbon is one of the most important water quality parameters of concern for drinking water treatment plants where disinfection by-products are a limiting factor. The need for further analysis and additional data collection is an obvious result from both studies. The use of hydrograph data instead of rainfall would be a logical new direction for the heavily engineered water delivery systems.
ContributorsBuell, Andrew (Author) / Fox, Peter (Thesis advisor) / Abbaszadegan, Morteza (Thesis advisor) / Alum, Absar (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018