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Description
By the year 2021, the gift card market is expected to grow to more than 200 billion dollars. Gift cards are extremely popular among consumers and retailers. They are the most requested gift of the holiday season. They are popular for retailers because gift card sales mean more first time customers, more returning customers, and more money spent in their stores. The growth of gift cards has been very rapid since their introduction by Blockbuster Entertainment in 1994. As the gift card market has increased, so too has gift card breakage. According to FASB ASC 405-20-40-3 gift card breakage is, "the portion of the dollar value of prepaid stored-value products that ultimately is not redeemed by product holders for cash or not used to purchase goods and/or services". The average consumer may contribute to gift card breakage by not using the full dollar amount of their gift card, or by losing the gift card and therefore not redeeming it. For 2011, breakage was expected to be around two billion dollars, roughly two percent of all gift cards purchased. Gift card breakage is free money for the retail companies. They are able to recognize the breakage as revenue without having to give up merchandise or services. Recently, abandoned property laws have minimized the profits on gift card breakage for large retailers. In states where abandoned property laws include gift cards, retailers have been forced to turn over the cash from their unused gift cards. These laws are going to have an effect on many large retailers as some recognize tens of millions of dollar in gift card breakage income but will no longer be able to do so.
ContributorsClasen, Jeffrey Steven (Author) / Call, Andrew (Thesis director) / Huston, Janet (Committee member) / School of Accountancy (Contributor) / WPC Graduate Programs (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2016-05
Description
While credit rating agencies use both forward-looking and historical information in evaluating a firm's credit risk, the role of forward-looking information in their rating decisions is not well understood. In this study, I examine the association between management earnings guidance news and future credit rating changes. While upward earnings guidance is not informative for credit rating changes, downward earnings guidance is significantly and positively associated with both the likelihood and speed of rating downgrades. In cross-sectional analyses, I find that downward guidance is especially informative in two important circumstances: (i) when a firm's current credit rating is overly optimistic compared to a model predicted rating, and (ii) when the relevance or reliability of alternative information sources is lower. In addition, I find that downward guidance is associated with lower future cash flows, as well as a higher volatility of future cash flows. Overall, the results are consistent with credit rating agencies incorporating voluntary bad news disclosures into their decisions about whether and when to downgrade a firm.
ContributorsLin, An-Ping (Author) / Hillegeist, Stephen (Thesis advisor) / Hugon, Jean (Thesis advisor) / Call, Andrew (Committee member) / Dhaliwal, Dan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015