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Description
The American Southwest is one of the most rapidly growing regions of the United States, as are similar arid regions globally. Across these landscapes where surface water is intermittent and variable, groundwater aquifers recharged by surface waters become a keystone resource for communities and are consumed at rates disproportional to recharge. In this study, I focus on the controls of runoff generation and connectivity at both hillslope and watershed scales along a piedmont slope. I also investigate the effects of plant phenology on hydrologic connectivity and runoff response at the hillslope scale during the summer monsoon season. To carry out this work, I combine existing hydrologic instrumentation, a new set of runoff plots with high-resolution monitoring, near-field remote sensing techniques, and historical datasets. Key analyses show that a rainfall intensity (I30) of 10 mm/hr yields runoff production at three scales (8, 12700, and 46700 m2). Rainfall, runoff, and soil moisture observations indicate a Hortonian (infiltration-excess) dominated system with little control imposed by antecedent wetness. Hydrologic connectivity analyses revealed that <15% of total rainfall events generate runoff at the hillslope scale. Of the hillslope events, only 20% of the runoff production leads to discharge at the outlet. Vegetation was observed to effect individual plot runoff response to rainfall. The results of this study show that 1) rainfall intensity is a large control on runoff production at all three scales (8, 12700, and 46700 m2), 2) proportions between bare and vegetated space effect runoff production at the hillslope scale, and 3) runoff connectivity decreases, and channel losses increase as you move downstream on an individual storm basis and across a 30-year historical record. These findings indicate that connectivity from the hillslope to outlet scale can be an evolving process over thehistorical record, reliant on both rainfall intensity, plant and bare soil mosaics, and available channel storage.
ContributorsKeller, Zachary Theodore (Author) / Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor) / Whipple, Kelin X (Committee member) / Semken, Steven (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
Observational evidence is mounting on the reduction of winter precipitation and an earlier snowmelt in the southwestern United States. It is unclear, however, how these changes, along with forest thinning, will impact water supplies due to complexities in the precipitation-streamflow transformation. In this study, I use the Triangulated Irregular Network-based Real-time Integrated Basin Simulator (tRIBS) to provide insight into the independent and combined effects of climate change and forest cover reduction on the hydrologic response in the Beaver Creek (~1100 km2) of central Arizona. Prior to these experiments, confidence in the hydrologic model is established using snow observations at two stations, two nested streamflow gauges, and estimates of spatially-distributed snow water equivalent over a long-term period (water years 2003-2018). Model forcings were prepared using station observations and radar rainfall estimates in combination with downscaling and bias correction techniques that account for the orographic controls on air temperature and precipitation. Model confidence building showed that tRIBS is able to capture well the variation in snow cover and streamflow during wet and dry years in the 16 year simulation period. The results from this study show that the climate change experiments increased average annual streamflow by 1.5% at +1°C of warming. However, a 28% decrease in streamflow occurs by +6°C of warming as evapotranspiration (ET) increases by 10%. Forest thinning shifted the warming threshold where ET increases reduce streamflow yield until +4°C of warming as compared to no forest thinning when this threshold occurs at +2°C. An average increase in streamflow of 12% occurs after forest thinning across all climate scenarios. While the snow covered area is unaffected by thinning, the volume of snowmelt increases and is linked to the higher water yield. These findings indicate that water managers can expect decreases in streamflow due to climate change but may be able to offset these impacts up to a warming threshold by thinning forested areas within the Beaver Creek.
ContributorsCederstrom, Charles Joshua (Author) / Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor) / Mascaro, Giuseppe (Committee member) / Svoma, Bohumil (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
The Hong Kong-born Canadian photographer and performance artist Tseng Kwong Chi mostly worked in the United States until the year he died in 1990. Upon arriving in New York in 1979, he started his career with a new name. By dropping his anglicized name Joseph and replacing it with his Chinese given name Kwong Chi, Tseng made a clear statement: this is my staged persona who refuses to assimilate to Western culture. This thesis deconstructs Tseng’s key works, including his party-crashing Met series, the decade-long East Meets West series, and the extended Expeditionary series. With his persona disguised by wearing a Mao suit and a pair of sunglasses, I argue that Tseng was a pioneer in the genre of Asian American performance photography and that his work foreshadowed the cultural jamming movement in his innovative use of détournement while it also critically comments on orientalism, cultural fetish, and Asian identity politics. Additionally, Tseng’s work served as a bridge, connecting art history with issues of Asian American identity. As a gay artist who worked mostly in the United States, his work was an early example of what Jachinson Chan has suggested as an alternative model of masculinity for Asian American men: that Asian American men can be free, independent, expressive, and willing to embrace femininity with their masculinity. As David Eng has argued, Tseng also bridged the fields of Asian American queer studies and diaspora studies. Moreover, Tseng carried the legacy of the first-generation Chinese American artists in the medium of photography and inspired the next generation of diasporic artists to explore Asian identity, and to contest the image of Mao and the power dynamics between East and West.
ContributorsWei, Xin (Author) / Mesch, Claudia (Thesis advisor) / Hoy, Meredith (Committee member) / Kuo, Karen (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
In the United States, some 94 million people (29% of the US population) live in areas immediately adjacent to a coast. The global phenomenon of climate-induced environmental change is largely framed as a one-way cause-and-effect relationship, where individuals, communities, and populations inhabiting at-risk locations are either forced to relocate or do so of their own accord. Yet residents of such at-risk areas are increasingly actively choosing to remain, even as risk intensifies. Using a mixed-methods approach, this dissertation examines environmental perceptions, the internalization of risk, the influence of information sources, and how individuals residing in coastal locations process their migration decisions. Established migration and hazard frameworks and theory are poorly positioned to understand the environments’ role in migration decisions. From these perspectives, environmental factors are near exclusively framed as negative affective biophysical push factors. Migration frameworks also fail to adequately incorporate reasons for non-migration. This dissertation directly addresses both these gaps in understanding. This research utilizes data from across the Gulf Coast, with a focus on fieldwork from Terrebonne Parish, Louisiana, and a dataset of 123 surveys and 63 interviews across a diverse group of coastal residents. Residents perceive of their environment in much more robust terms than just the biophysical. A majority of terms incorporated social and cultural aspects of environment, and environmental meaning was expressed across a continuum of proximal (most important/close) to more distal (less important/distant) scales. Little support is found for the traditional idea that economic or natural-environmental factors are more influential in decisions to migrate away from ones’ home. In predicting migration intention, socially and environmentally derived variables improved migration model performance. This dissertation demonstrates that internalization of risk by coastal residents is not a straightforward relationship, but rather one mediated by; social-environmental factors, personal experience, sense of place, and trust, which in turn influences intention to migrate, move locally, or remain in place. Residents perceive of their environment far more broadly than current risk-management planning allows. Results provide coastal residents, as well as community leaders and emergency managers who perceive environment differently, new tools for productive engagement and future policy development within coastal landscapes.
ContributorsTill, Charlotte Emma (Author) / BurnSilver, Shauna (Thesis advisor) / Tsuda, Takeyuki (Committee member) / White, Dave (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
Accelerated climate and land use land cover (LULC) changes are anticipated to significantly impact water resources in the Colorado River Basin (CRB), a major freshwater source in the southwestern U.S. The need for actionable information from hydrologic research is growing rapidly, given considerable uncertainties. For instance, it is unclear if the predicted high degree of interannual precipitation variability across the basin could overwhelm the impacts of future warming and how this might vary in space. Climate change will also intensify forest disturbances (wildfire, mortality, thinning), which can significantly impact water resources. These impacts are not constrained, given findings of mixed post-disturbance hydrologic responses. Process-based models like the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) platform can quantitatively predict hydrologic behaviors of these complex systems. However, barriers limit their effectiveness to inform decision making: (1) simulations generate enormous data volumes, (2) outputs are inaccessible to managers, and (3) modeling is not transparent. I designed a stakeholder engagement and VIC modeling process to overcome these challenges, and developed a web-based tool, VIC-Explorer, to “open the black box” of my efforts. Meteorological data was from downscaled historical (1950-2005) and future projections (2006-2099) of eight climate models that best represent climatology under low- and high- emissions. I used two modeling methods: (1) a “top-down” approach to assess an “envelope of hydrologic possibility” under the 16 climate futures; and (2) a “bottom-up” evaluation of hydrology in two climates from the ensemble representing “Hot/Dry” and “Warm/Wet” futures. For the latter assessment, I modified land cover using projections of a LULC model and applied more drastic forest disturbances. I consulted water managers to expand the legitimacy of the research. Results showed Far-Future (2066-2095) basin-wide mean annual streamflow decline (relative to 1976-2005; ensemble median trends of -5% to -25%), attributed to warming that diminished spring snowfall and melt and year-round increased soil evaporation from the Upper Basin, and overall precipitation declines in the Lower Basin. Forest disturbances partially offset warming effects (basin-wide mean annual streamflow up to 12% larger than without disturbance). Results are available via VIC-Explorer, which includes documentation and guided analyses to ensure findings are interpreted appropriately for decision-making.
ContributorsWhitney, Kristen Marie (Author) / Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor) / Mascaro, Giuseppe (Committee member) / Whipple, Kelin X (Committee member) / White, Dave D (Committee member) / Xu, Tianfang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
In the southwestern United States, water is a precious resource that influences landscapes and their respective ecosystems. Ephemeral lakes, known as playas, are drainage points for closed or endorheic basins and serve as important locations for plant productivity, biogeochemical processes, and groundwater recharge. In this study, I explore the hydrologic dynamics of eighteen (18) instrumented playas in the Jornada Basin of the Chihuahuan Desert with respect to the drivers of playa inundation and how their behaviors vary in space and time. To this end, I combine water level observations in playas with gauge-corrected radar precipitation estimates to determine hydrologic dynamics over the more than 6-year period of June 2016 to October 2022. Results indicate that all playa inundation events are associated with precipitation and that 76% of events occur during the warm season from April to September that is characterized by the North American monsoon. Mean annual runoff ratios in the playa catchments range from 0.01% to 9.28%. I observe precipitation depth and 60-minute intensity thresholds for playa inundation ranging from 16.1 to 71.3 mm and 8.8 to 40.5 mm/hr, respectively. Although playa inundation is typically caused by high rainfall amounts and intensities, other factors such as antecedent wetness conditions and the spatial variability of rainfall within the playa catchment also play a role. The magnitudes, durations, and occurrence of inundation events vary among playas, but their responses to precipitation generally agree with groupings determined based on their geological origin. Logistic and linear regressions across all playas reveal the relative importance of catchment variables, such as area, sand fraction, slope, and the percentage of bare ground. It is shown that larger catchment areas are strongly associated with a lower likelihood of inundation and higher precipitation thresholds for inundation. An analysis of precipitation data from 1916 to 2015 leads to the estimation of historical playa inundation and suggests that an increase has occurred in the frequency of large rainfall events that may be associated with increasing frequency of playa inundation. This study highlights the complex nature of playa inundation in the Jornada Basin, which can change over time in an evolving climate and landscape.
ContributorsKimsal, Charles Robert (Author) / Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor) / Whipple, Kelin X (Committee member) / Li, Jiwei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Quantifying the interactions among food, energy, and water (FEW) systems is crucial to support integrated policies for the nexus governance. Metropolitan areas are the main consumption and distribution centers of these three resources and, as urbanization continues, their role will become even more central. Despite this, the current understanding of FEW systems in metropolitan regions is limited. In this dissertation, the key factors leading to a more sustainable FEW system are identified in the metropolitan area of Phoenix, Arizona using the integrated WEAP-MABIA-LEAP platform. In this region, the FEW nexus is challenged by dramatic population growth, competition among increasing FEW demand, and limited water availability that could further decrease under climate change. First, it was shown that the WEAP platform allows the reliable simulations of water allocations from supply sources to demand sectors and that agriculture is a key stressor of the nexus, which will require additional groundwater (+83%) and energy (+15%) if cropland area is preserved over the next 50 years. Second, the climate change impacts on the food-water nexus were quantified by applying the WEAP-MABIA model with climate projections up to 2100 from 27 GCMs under different warming levels. It was found that the increases in temperature will lead to higher atmospheric evaporation demand that will, in turn, reduce crop production at a rate of -4.8% per decade. In the last part, the fully integrated WEAP-MABIA-LEAP platform was applied to investigate future scenarios of the FEW nexus in the metropolitan region. Several scenarios targeting each FEW sector were compared through sustainability indicators quantifying availability/consumption, reliability, and productivity of the three resources. Results showed that increasing renewable energy and changing cropping patterns will increase the FEW nexus sustainability compared to business-as-usual conditions. The findings of this dissertation, along with its analytical approach, support policy making towards integrated FEW governance and sustainable development.
ContributorsGuan, Xin (Author) / Mascaro, Giuseppe (Thesis advisor) / White, Dave (Committee member) / Vivoni, Enrique (Committee member) / Muenich, Rebecca (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
The Water-Energy Nexus (WEN) is a concept that recognizes the interdependence of water and energy systems. The Phoenix metropolitan region (PMA) in Arizona has significant and potentially vulnerable WEN interactions. Future projections indicate that the population will increase and, with it, energy needs, while changes in future water demand are more uncertain. Climate change will also likely cause a reduction in surface water supply sources. Under these constraints, the expansion of renewable energy technology has the potential to benefit both water and energy systems and increase environmental sustainability by meeting future energy demands while lowering water use and CO2 emissions. However, the WEN synergies generated by renewables have not yet been thoroughly quantified, nor have the related costs been studied and compared to alternative options.Quantifying WEN intercations using numerical models is key to assessing renewable energy synergy. Despite recent advances, WEN models are still in their infancy, and research is needed to improve their accuracy and identify their limitations. Here, I highlight three research needs. First, most modeling efforts have been conducted for large-scale domains (e.g., states), while smaller scales, like metropolitan regions, have received less attention. Second, impacts of adopting different temporal (e.g., monthly, annual) and spatial (network granularity) resolutions on simulation accuracy have not been quantified. Third, the importance of simulating feedbacks between water and energy components has not been analyzed.
This dissertation fills these major research gaps by focusing on long-term water allocations and energy dispatch in the metropolitan region of Phoenix. An energy model is developed using the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) platform and is subsequently coupled with a water management model based on the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) platform. Analyses are conducted to quantify (1) the value of adopting coupled models instead of single models that are externally coupled, and (2) the accuracy of simulations based on different temporal resolutions of supply and demand and spatial granularity of the water and energy networks. The WEAP-LEAP integrated model is then employed under future climate scenarios to quantify the potential of renewable energy technologies to develop synergies between the PMA's water and energy systems.
ContributorsMounir, Adil (Author) / Mascaro, Giuseppe (Thesis advisor) / White, Dave (Committee member) / Garcia, Margaret (Committee member) / Xu, Tianfang (Committee member) / Chester, Mikhail (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
The policy design process in the United States has been guiding policymakers for decades. In order to keep up with the developing sustainability challenges that the US is facing, a new method of policy design needs to be determined for long-lasting, sustainable change. Human-centered design principles provide a new, unique perspective for analyzing sustainability challenges. Through the integration of human-centered design principles into policy systems, a new framework for policy design can be created. Through this project, a new framework that allows for the adaptation to new technologies, scientific information, and developments in the sustainability crisis to be accounted for and adequately addressed in future policies has been created.
ContributorsFish, Risa (Author) / O'Flaherty, Katherine (Thesis director) / White, Dave (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Watts College of Public Service & Community Solut (Contributor) / School of Public Affairs (Contributor)
Created2023-05
Description
In arid and semiarid areas of the southwestern United States and northwestern México, water availability is the main control on the interactions between the land surface and the atmosphere. Seasonal and interannual variations in water availability regulate the response of water and carbon dioxide fluxes in natural and urban landscapes. However, despite sharing a similar dependance to water availability, landscape characteristics, such as land cover heterogeneity, landscape position, access to groundwater, microclimatic conditions, and vegetation functional traits, among others, can play a fundamental role in modulating the interactions between landscapes and the atmosphere. In this dissertation, I study how different landscape characteristics influence the response of water and carbon dioxide fluxes in arid and semiarid urban and natural settings. The study uses the eddy covariance technique, which calculates the vertical turbulent fluxes within the boundary layer, to quantify water, energy, and carbon dioxide fluxes within local patches. Specifically, the study focused on three main scopes: (1) how vegetation, anthropogenic activity, and water availability influence carbon fluxes in four urban landscapes in Phoenix, Arizona, (2) how access to groundwater and soil-microclimate conditions modulate the flux response of three natural ecosystems in northwestern México during the North American monsoon, and (3) how the seasonal hydrologic partitioning in a watershed with complex terrain regulates the carbon dioxide fluxes of a Chihuahuan Desert shrubland. Results showed a differential response of landscapes according to their land cover composition, access to groundwater or functional traits. In Chapter 2, in urban landscapes with irrigation, vegetation activity can counteract carbon dioxide emissions during the day, but anthropogenic sources from the built environment dominate the carbon dioxide fluxes overall. In Chapter 3, across an elevation-groundwater access gradient, low elevation ecosystems showed intensive water use strategies linked to a dependance to shallow or intermittent access to soil moisture, while a high elevation ecosystem showed extensive water use strategies which depend on a reliable access to groundwater. Finally, in Chapter 4, the mixed shrubland in complex terrain showed an evenly distributed bimodal vegetation productivity which is supported by an abundant water availability during wet seasons and by carry-over moisture in deeper layers of the soil during the dry season. The results from this dissertation highlight how different forms of water availability are responsible for the activity of vegetation which modulates land surface fluxes in arid and semiarid settings. Furthermore, the outcomes of this dissertation help to understand how landscape properties regulate the flux response to water availability in urban and natural areas.
ContributorsPerez Ruiz, Eli Rafael (Author) / Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor) / Sala, Osvaldo E (Committee member) / Throop, Heather L (Committee member) / Whipple, Kelin X (Committee member) / Yepez, Enrico A (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021