Understanding the political landscape is crucial to formulating a reasonable prediction as to the future of the London market. Aside from research reports and articles, our main insights into the political direction of Brexit come from our recordings from meetings in March of 2017 with two high-ranking members of Parliament and one member of the House of Lords—all of whom are members of the Tory Party (the meetings being held under the condition of anonymity). The below analysis will be followed by a discussion of the economics of Brexit, primarily focusing on the economic risks and uncertainties which have emerged after the vote, and which currently exist today. Such risks include the UK losing its financial passporting rights, weakening GDP and currency value, the potential for a reduction in foreign direct investment (FDI), and the potential loss of the service sector in the city of London due to not being able to access the European Single Market.
The report will shift focus to analyzing three competing viewpoints of the direction of the London market based on recordings from interviews of stakeholders in the London real estate market. One being an executive of one of the largest REITs in the UK, another being the Global Head of Real Estate at a top asset management firm, and another being a director at a large property consulting firm. The report includes these differing “sub-theses” in order to try to make sense of the vast market uncertainties post-Brexit as well as to contrast their viewpoints with where the market is currently and with the report’s investment recommendation.
The remainder of the report will consist of the methods used for analyzing market trends including how the data was modeled in order to make the investment recommendation. The report will analyze real estate and market metrics pre-Brexit, immediately after the vote, post-Brexit, and will conclude with future projections encapsulating the investment recommendation.
Using panel data for 28 countries, all within the European Union from the period spanning 2012 to 2019, this paper empirically investigates the following question: do the savings or investment rates have an impact on the overall trade balance of each country? If so, how? With three econometric models, it estimates impacts and variations between all European Union countries, euro countries, and non-euro countries, and evaluates results in the context in which they are measured.
This paper discusses merger arbitrage as a trading strategy, the benefits of allocating it into a diversified portfolio, and a method of replicating its returns through an alternative investment strategy (writing uncovered index put options). It discusses the approach to implementation, along with the risk and reward profile of the strategy. The paper entitled Characteristics of Risk and Return in Merger arbitrage is used as a basis for the research approach. An up-to-date time series analysis is constructed utilizing the HFRMAI index (a hedge fund index that mirrors a sizable sample of merger risk arbitrage transactions) as a benchmark for testing the effectiveness of the replication strategy (PUT index). Lastly, a live merger arbitrage strategy is executed on a current M&A transaction (the LVMH and Tiffany & Co. acquisition) to assess the acquirer and target firms’ stock volatility and profits or losses.
This paper studies how the COVID-19 global pandemic influenced a new generation of investors into the stock market. The paper will take a look at the state of the financial markets and its participants before the pandemic, during the pandemic, and after the pandemic. It is important to note that as of this paper, the COVID-19 pandemic is far from being over—these conclusions and recommendations are based on the current trends within the financial market. The research concludes that the younger participants that joined the market were more risk tolerant, traded in large quantities with little money, and found many of their trading strategies on social media platforms. Further research also suggests that market sentiments were highly correlated with price differences in stocks and other securities. Along with a categorization for the new investors in the market, this paper will take a look at how the new participants have affected more traditional experienced investors that were in the stock market well before the pandemic, and their ability to give and take investment advice from the new generation. Key words: COVID-19 pandemic, risk average, pandemic investors, market sentiments
This paper studies how the COVID-19 global pandemic influenced a new generation of investors into the stock market. The paper will take a look at the state of the financial markets and its participants before the pandemic, during the pandemic, and after the pandemic. It is important to note that as of this paper, the COVID-19 pandemic is far from being over—these conclusions and recommendations are based on the current trends within the financial market. The research concludes that the younger participants that joined the market were more risk tolerant, traded in large quantities with little money, and found many of their trading strategies on social media platforms. Further research also suggests that market sentiments were highly correlated with price differences in stocks and other securities. Along with a categorization for the new investors in the market, this paper will take a look at how the new participants have affected more traditional experienced investors that were in the stock market well before the pandemic, and their ability to give and take investment advice from the new generation. Key words: COVID-19 pandemic, risk average, pandemic investors, market sentiments