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Description随着信息通信技术在金融科技领域中得到广泛应用,传统金融机构依靠互联网技术极大的提升了自己的金融服务能力和金融服务效率。但与此同时,作为一个新兴业态,与互联网金融服务配套的法律制度和保障措施还未完善,特别是互联网借贷业务,贷前的风控系统不完善,同时还缺乏贷后管理机制,造成了网络贷款平台不断出现爆雷现象。仅2018年7月一个月内就有200多家平台出现问题,而到2020年底为止,出现问题的在线借贷平台高达80%。为了更好的保障在线借贷平台和互联网金融行业的健康发展,亟需完善个人征信体系建设,科学评估借款人违约风险。为了解决这一问题,本文首先对现有研究进行了理论梳理,找到可能对违约风险产生影响的因素,并总结为个人特征、社交网络特征、金融特征等三方面的因素。在这之后,从社交网络特征对违约风险进行了深入分析。其次,利用大数据分析方法,构建了随机森林信用评价模型。最后,文章还通过与不同数据集上的相同模型、相同数据集上的不同模型进行对比,对本文构建模型的有效性进行了评估。 研究结论表明:(1)用户的社交网络特征对用户违约风险、欺诈等级具有一定的解释力度,其中用户通话类社交特征对用户欺诈等级的识别效果最好,其次为风险等级,违约标签的识别效果最差,而且用户的地域特征对社交网络特征有显著的调节作用。(2)通过随机森林模型,本文发现年龄、贷款金额是影响客户违约风险和欺诈等级的最重要的因素。(3)比较多元回归模型和随机森林模型,随机森林模型对样本用户特征重要性探索的准确度要高于多元回归模型。 根据上述结论,本文提出了相应了建议:(1)在线借贷平台在判断用户违约风险时,应该在现有的分析框架中考虑用户社交特征来提升用户风险预测精度;(2)信贷公司应该将随机森林等方法纳入到用户是否违约、风险等级和欺诈等级的预测中,这样会显著的提升公司对用户违约、欺诈等级的预测精度。
ContributorsHan, Wei (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Hu, Jie (Thesis advisor) / Zheng, Zhiqiang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
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Description城市商业银行是我国银行业体系中的重要组成部分,在新冠疫情的背景下,本文从对我国商业银行不良贷款的成因进行分析,从新冠疫情前后城商行不良贷款、盈利能力、资本充足性等角度进行比较,总结新冠疫情之后城商行不良贷款规模上升、区域分化、不良处置加大等特征变化。然后,从企业、个人和银行本身等路径全面系统地分析新冠疫情对城商行不良贷款的直接影响,并从“宽信用”、“宽监管”和“宽货币”等政策层面对城商行不良贷款的间接影响机制进行分析。在实证分析上选取2018年一季度至2020年四季度的9个经济指标作为控制变量,分成宏观、行业和银行等三个层次,考虑到数据的可得性,选取20家上市城商行的不良贷款率作为被解释变量,通过建立连续型双重差分模型对新冠疫情对我国城市商业银行不良贷款率的影响进行实证分析,并进行稳定性和影响机制检验,得出了受疫情冲击越严重的地区,经济受影响越明显,因而城商行的不良贷款率增加得越多的结论,而且疫情对城商行不良贷款率且具有连续且时滞性的影响。相比高拨备覆盖率的城市商业银行,疫情更能提高低拨备覆盖率、抵御风险较低的城商行的不良贷款率。选取银行资本充足率作为被解释变量进行了稳健性检验。选取工业增加值和居民人均收入作为渠道变量,进行影响机制检验,结果说明工业增加值和居民人均收入对城商行不良贷款有负向的影响。最后,在理论和实证结果的基础上,对城商行不良贷款处置和有效预防疫情带来不良风险的措施提出相关建议。
ContributorsZhong, Rujian (Author) / Zhang, John (Thesis advisor) / Zhu, Ning (Thesis advisor) / Hu, Jie (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
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Description近年来,越来越多的工作团队将功能性领导角色分配给那些具有必要才能的成员。认识到这一趋势,领导学领域的学者开始将他们的关注重点从自上而下的垂直影响过程转移到团队成员之间的水平和共享的领导过程。共享领导,被定义为一种团队现象,即领导的角色和影响力在团队成员中分配,已经在一系列学术领域中得到了相当大的关注,包括工业和组织心理学、组织行为学、战略管理、和创业管理等。与其他领导理论关注正式任命的领导者的领导作用不同,共享领导强调团队成员在团队领导过程中的代理作用。特别是,越来越多的证据表明,共享领导在提高团队效率方面发挥着积极的作用。因此,共享领导力是一个有趣的新领域,它丰富了我们对领导力的理解,并将领导力范式从将领导力视为个人的属性转变为将领导力视为集体的属性。本文以AR公司的技术或研发团队为例,对其共享型领导的典型特征、表现形式以及对员工个体创造力和离职意向的影响机制进行了分析。第一,理清了技术型团队共享型领导的特征与表现形式。技术团队共享型领导主要实现了领导力与影响力在团队成员内部之间的共享和横向分担,且领导与下属之间的角色界限也变得模糊。同时,技术团队共享型领导表现在开放性的领导风格、团队内部的知识分享与共同学习以及领导角色定期轮换与交流等。第二,探讨技术型团队共享型领导对个体创造力与离职意向的影响机制。本文采用定量实证研究方法,按照量表开发、数据采集、数据分析等程序,检验共享型领导对个体创造力与离职意向的影响机制,研究发现:共享型领导能够正向影响员工的团队认同;员工的团队认同能够负向影响其离职意向;员工团队认同在共享型领导与员工离职意向之间具有中介作用;共享型领导与心理授权正相关;心理授权与个体创造力正相关;员工的心理授权在共享型领导与员工创造力之间有显著的中介作用;支持性人力资源实践在在共 享型领导与员工心理授权之间起到调节作用;支持性人力资源实践在在共享型领导与员工团队认同之间起到调节作用。
ContributorsJi, Pengwei (Author) / Chen, Pei-Yu (Thesis advisor) / Hu, Jie (Thesis advisor) / Zhang, John (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description

Human Papillomavirus, or HPV, is a viral pathogen that most commonly spreads through sexual contact. HPV strains 6 and 11 normally cause genital warts, while HPV strains 16 and 18 commonly cause cervical cancer, which causes cancerous cells to spread in the cervix. Physicians can detect those HPV strains, using

Human Papillomavirus, or HPV, is a viral pathogen that most commonly spreads through sexual contact. HPV strains 6 and 11 normally cause genital warts, while HPV strains 16 and 18 commonly cause cervical cancer, which causes cancerous cells to spread in the cervix. Physicians can detect those HPV strains, using a Pap smear, which is a diagnostic test that collects cells from the female cervix.

Created2021-04-06
Description

Johann Gregor Mendel studied patterns of trait inheritance in plants during the nineteenth century. Mendel, an Augustinian monk, conducted experiments on pea plants at St. Thomas’ Abbey in what is now Brno, Czech Republic. Twentieth century scientists used Mendel’s recorded observations to create theories about genetics.

Created2022-01-13
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In the 1930s, George Beadle and Boris Ephrussi discovered factors that affect eye colors in developing fruit flies. They did so while working at the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, California. (1) They took optic discs (colored fuchsia in the image) from fruit fly larvae in the third instar

In the 1930s, George Beadle and Boris Ephrussi discovered factors that affect eye colors in developing fruit flies. They did so while working at the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, California. (1) They took optic discs (colored fuchsia in the image) from fruit fly larvae in the third instar stage of development. Had the flies not been manipulated, they would have developed into adults with vermilion eyes. (2) Beadle and Ephrussi transplanted the donor optic discs into the bodies of several types of larvae, including those that would develop with normal colored eyes (brick red), and those that would develop eyes with other shades of red, such as claret, carmine, peach, and ruby (grouped together and colored black in the image). (3a) When implanted into normal hosts that would develop brick red eyes, the transplanted optic disc developed into an eye that also was brick red. (3b) When implanted into abnormal hosts that would develop eyes of some other shade of red, the transplanted optic discs developed into eyes that were vermilion. Beadle and Ephrussi concluded that there was a factor, such as an enzyme or some other protein, produced outside of the optic disc that influenced the color of the eye that developed from the disc.

Created2016-10-11
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Description

This illustration shows George Beadle and Edward Tatum's experiments with Neurospora crassa that indicated that single genes produce single enzymes. The pair conducted the experiments at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California. Enzymes are types of proteins that can catalyze reactions inside cells, reactions that produce a number of things,

This illustration shows George Beadle and Edward Tatum's experiments with Neurospora crassa that indicated that single genes produce single enzymes. The pair conducted the experiments at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California. Enzymes are types of proteins that can catalyze reactions inside cells, reactions that produce a number of things, including nutrients that the cell needs. Neurospora crassa is a species of mold that grows on bread. In the early 1940s, Beadle and Tatum conducted an experiment to discover the abnormal genes in Neurospora mutants, which failed to produce specific nutrients needed to survive. (1) Beadle and Tatum used X-rays to cause mutations in the DNA of Neurospora, and then they grew the mutated Neurospora cells in glassware. (2) They grew several strains, represented in four groups of paired test tubes. For each group, Neurospora was grown in one of two types of growth media. One medium contained all the essential nutrients that the Neurospora needed to survive, which Beadle and Tatum called a complete medium. The second medium was a minimal medium and lacked nutrients that Neurospora needed to survive. If functioning normally and in the right conditions, however, Neurospora can produce these absent nutrients. (3) When Beadle and Tatum grew the mutated mold strains on both the complete and on the minimal media, all of the molds survived on the complete media, but not all of the molds survived on the minimal media (strain highlighted in yellow). (4) For the next step, the researchers added nutrients to the minimal media such that some glassware received an amino acid mixture (represented as colored squares) and other glassware received a vitamin mixture (represented as colored triangles) in an attempt to figure out which kind of nutrients the mutated molds needed. The researchers then took mold from the mutant mold strain that had survived on a complete medium and added that mold to the supplemented minimal media. They found that in some cases the mutated mold grew on media supplemented only with vitamins but not on media supplemented only with amino acids. (5) To discover which vitamins the mutant molds needed, Beadle and Tatum used several tubes with the minimal media, supplementing each one with a different vitamin, and then they attempted to grow the mutant mold in each tube. They found that different mutant strains of the mold grew only on media supplemented with different kinds of vitamins, for instance vitamin B6 for one strain, and vitamin B1 for another. In experiments not pictured, Beadle and Tatum found in step (4) that other strains of mutant mold grew on minimal media supplemented only with amino acids but not on minimal media supplemented only with vitamins. When they repeated step (5) on those strains and with specific kinds of amino acids in the different test tubes, they found that the some mutated mold strains grew on minimal media supplemented solely with one kind of amino acid, and others strains grew only on minimal media supplemented with other kinds of amino acids. For both the vitamins and amino acid cases, Beadle and Tatum concluded that the X-rays had mutated different genes in Neurospora, resulting in different mutant strains of Neurospora cells. In a cell of a given strain, the X-rays had changed the gene normally responsible for producing an enzyme that catalyzed a vitamin or an amino acid. As a result, the Neurospora cell could no longer produce that enzyme, and thus couldn't catalyze a specific nutrient.

Created2016-10-12
Description

The Southern Gastric Brooding Frog (Rheobotrahcus silus) was a frog species that lived in Australia. It was declared extinct in 2002. Once adult males fertilized the eggs of females, the females swallowed their eggs. The stomachs of the females then functioned somewhat like wombs, protecting the eggs while they gestated.

The Southern Gastric Brooding Frog (Rheobotrahcus silus) was a frog species that lived in Australia. It was declared extinct in 2002. Once adult males fertilized the eggs of females, the females swallowed their eggs. The stomachs of the females then functioned somewhat like wombs, protecting the eggs while they gestated. Once the eggs developed into juveniles, female frogs performed oral birth and regurgitated their young.

Created2017-02-06
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Description

Mechanism of Notch Signaling: The image depicts a type of cell signaling, in which two animal cells interact and transmit a molecular signal from one to the other. The process results in the production of proteins, which influence the cells as they differentiate, move, and contribute to embryological development. In

Mechanism of Notch Signaling: The image depicts a type of cell signaling, in which two animal cells interact and transmit a molecular signal from one to the other. The process results in the production of proteins, which influence the cells as they differentiate, move, and contribute to embryological development. In the membrane of the signaling cell, there is a ligand (represented by a green oval). The ligand functions to activate a change in a receptor molecule. In the receiving cell, there are receptors; in this case, Notch proteins (represented by orange forks). The Notch proteins are embedded in the receiving cell membrane, and they have at least two parts: an intracellular domain (inside the cell) and the receptor (outside the cell). Once the ligand and receptor bind to each other, a protease (represented by the dark red triangle) can sever the intracellular domain from the rest of the Notch receptor. Inside the nucleus of the receiving cell (represented by the gray area) are the cellês DNA (represented by the multi-colored helices) and its transcription factors (blue rectangles). Transcription factors are proteins that bind to DNA to regulate transcription, the first step in gene expression, which eventually yields proteins or other products. Initially, repressor proteins (represented by a red irregular hexagon) prevent transcription factors from allowing transcription. When the severed Notch receptor intracellular domain reaches the nucleus, it displaces the repressor. The transcription factor can then signal for transcription to occur. 1) There is a Notch receptor protein in the membrane of a receiving cell, and a ligand for this receptor (for example, Delta) in the membrane of the signaling cell. When the ligand binds to the receptor, the intracellular domain of the receptor changes shape. 2) Inside the receiving cell, there are proteases. Once the intracellular domain of the receptor changes shape, the protease can bind to it and shear the intracellular domain away from the rest of the receptor molecule. 3) The severed intracellular domain is shuttled to the receiving cell nucleus. Here, the intracellular domain displaces a repressor protein. This allows a transcription factor to initiate DNA transcription. During transcription, DNA is used as a template to create RNA. Following transcription, the process of translation occurs, which uses RNA as a template to create proteins. These proteins influence the behavior, fate, and differentiation of cells, which contribute to normal embryonic development

Created2014-08-21