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Description
Predictive analytics have been used in a wide variety of settings, including healthcare,
sports, banking, and other disciplines. We use predictive analytics and modeling to
determine the impact of certain factors that increase the probability of a successful
fourth down conversion in the Power 5 conferences. The logistic regression models

Predictive analytics have been used in a wide variety of settings, including healthcare,
sports, banking, and other disciplines. We use predictive analytics and modeling to
determine the impact of certain factors that increase the probability of a successful
fourth down conversion in the Power 5 conferences. The logistic regression models
predict the likelihood of going for fourth down with a 64% or more probability based on
2015-17 data obtained from ESPN’s college football API. Offense type though important
but non-measurable was incorporated as a random effect. We found that distance to go,
play type, field position, and week of the season were key leading covariates in
predictability. On average, our model performed as much as 14% better than coaches
in 2018.
ContributorsBlinkoff, Joshua Ian (Co-author) / Voeller, Michael (Co-author) / Wilson, Jeffrey (Thesis director) / Graham, Scottie (Committee member) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / Department of Management and Entrepreneurship (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05
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Description
Predictive analytics have been used in a wide variety of settings, including healthcare, sports, banking, and other disciplines. We use predictive analytics and modeling to determine the impact of certain factors that increase the probability of a successful fourth down conversion in the Power 5 conferences. The logistic regression models

Predictive analytics have been used in a wide variety of settings, including healthcare, sports, banking, and other disciplines. We use predictive analytics and modeling to determine the impact of certain factors that increase the probability of a successful fourth down conversion in the Power 5 conferences. The logistic regression models predict the likelihood of going for fourth down with a 64% or more probability based on 2015-17 data obtained from ESPN’s college football API. Offense type though important but non-measurable was incorporated as a random effect. We found that distance to go, play type, field position, and week of the season were key leading covariates in predictability. On average, our model performed as much as 14% better than coaches in 2018.
ContributorsVoeller, Michael Jeffrey (Co-author) / Blinkoff, Josh (Co-author) / Wilson, Jeffrey (Thesis director) / Graham, Scottie (Committee member) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05
Description
This paper explores the ability to predict yields of soybeans based on genetics and environmental factors. Based on the biology of soybeans, it has been shown that yields are best when soybeans grow within a certain temperature range. The event a soybean is exposed to temperature outside their accepted range

This paper explores the ability to predict yields of soybeans based on genetics and environmental factors. Based on the biology of soybeans, it has been shown that yields are best when soybeans grow within a certain temperature range. The event a soybean is exposed to temperature outside their accepted range is labeled as an instance of stress. Currently, there are few models that use genetic information to predict how crops may respond to stress. Using data provided by an agricultural business, a model was developed that can categorically label soybean varieties by their yield response to stress using genetic data. The model clusters varieties based on their yield production in response to stress. The clustering criteria is based on variance distribution and correlation. A logistic regression is then fitted to identify significant gene markers in varieties with minimal yield variance. Such characteristics provide a probabilistic outlook of how certain varieties will perform when planted in different regions. Given changing global climate conditions, this model demonstrates the potential of using data to efficiently develop and grow crops adjusted to climate changes.
ContributorsDean, Arlen (Co-author) / Ozcan, Ozkan (Co-author) / Travis, Daniel (Co-author) / Gel, Esma (Thesis director) / Armbruster, Dieter (Committee member) / Parry, Sam (Committee member) / Industrial, Systems and Operations Engineering Program (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2018-05
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Description

We attempted to apply a novel approach to stock market predictions. The Logistic Regression machine learning algorithm (Joseph Berkson) was applied to analyze news article headlines as represented by a bag-of-words (tri-gram and single-gram) representation in an attempt to predict the trends of stock prices based on the Dow Jones

We attempted to apply a novel approach to stock market predictions. The Logistic Regression machine learning algorithm (Joseph Berkson) was applied to analyze news article headlines as represented by a bag-of-words (tri-gram and single-gram) representation in an attempt to predict the trends of stock prices based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The results showed that a tri-gram bag led to a 49% trend accuracy, a 1% increase when compared to the single-gram representation’s accuracy of 48%.

ContributorsBarolli, Adeiron (Author) / Jimenez Arista, Laura (Thesis director) / Wilson, Jeffrey (Committee member) / School of Life Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2021-05
Description

Suicide is a significant public health problem, with incidence rates and lethality continuing to increase yearly. Given the large human and financial cost of suicide worldwide alongside the lack of progress in suicide prediction, more research is needed to inform suicide prevention and intervention efforts. This study approaches suicide from

Suicide is a significant public health problem, with incidence rates and lethality continuing to increase yearly. Given the large human and financial cost of suicide worldwide alongside the lack of progress in suicide prediction, more research is needed to inform suicide prevention and intervention efforts. This study approaches suicide from the lens of suicide note-leaving behavior, which can provide important information on predictors of suicide. Specifically, this study adds to the existing literature on note-leaving by examining history of suicidality, mental health problems, and their interaction in predicting suicide note-leaving, in addition to demographic predictors of note-leaving examined in previous research using data from the National Violent Death Reporting System (NVDRS, n = 98,515). We fit a logistic regression model predicting leaving a suicide note or not, the results of which indicated that those with mental health problems or a history of suicidality were more likely to leave a suicide note than those without such histories, and those with both mental health problems and a history of suicidality were most likely to leave a suicide note. These findings reinforce the need to tailor suicide prevention efforts toward identifying and targeting higher risk populations.

ContributorsCarnesi, Gregory (Author) / O'Rourke, Holly (Thesis director) / Brewer, Gene (Committee member) / Corbin, William (Committee member) / Chassin, Laurie (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Psychology (Contributor) / Watts College of Public Service & Community Solut (Contributor) / Historical, Philosophical & Religious Studies, Sch (Contributor)
Created2022-05
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ContributorsCarnesi, Gregory (Author) / O'Rourke, Holly (Thesis director) / Brewer, Gene (Committee member) / Corbin, William (Committee member) / Chassin, Laurie (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Psychology (Contributor)
Created2022-05
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ContributorsCarnesi, Gregory (Author) / O'Rourke, Holly (Thesis director) / Brewer, Gene (Committee member) / Corbin, William (Committee member) / Chassin, Laurie (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Psychology (Contributor)
Created2022-05
Description

In the following paper, I aim to form relationships between different patient factors and no-show rates. The culmination of these relationships will then be used in a logistic regression model. Data collected from a survey at 26 HonorHealth clinics were analyzed using odds ratios and relative risk methods. Of 310,307

In the following paper, I aim to form relationships between different patient factors and no-show rates. The culmination of these relationships will then be used in a logistic regression model. Data collected from a survey at 26 HonorHealth clinics were analyzed using odds ratios and relative risk methods. Of 310,307 visits collected, 22,280 of them were no shows (7.2%), an 11% decrease from national averages (18.8%). This fueled the study, along with a grant filed by HonorHealth looking at the impact of telehealth on the working poor. A binary logistic regression method was run over the data, and less than 1% of patients' no-shows were predicted correctly. By adding factors, and improving the diversity in the data collected, model accuracy can be improved.

ContributorsHauxhurst, Spencer (Author) / Arquiza, Apollo (Thesis director) / Sharer, Rustan (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor) / Harrington Bioengineering Program (Contributor)
Created2022-05
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ContributorsHauxhurst, Spencer (Author) / Arquiza, Apollo (Thesis director) / Sharer, Rustan (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor)
Created2022-05
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ContributorsHauxhurst, Spencer (Author) / Arquiza, Apollo (Thesis director) / Sharer, Rustan (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor)
Created2022-05