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- Creators: Bansal, Ajay
- Member of: ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Description
This dissertation presents methods for addressing research problems that currently can only adequately be solved using Quality Reliability Engineering (QRE) approaches especially accelerated life testing (ALT) of electronic printed wiring boards with applications to avionics circuit boards. The methods presented in this research are generally applicable to circuit boards, but the data generated and their analysis is for high performance avionics. Avionics equipment typically requires 20 years expected life by aircraft equipment manufacturers and therefore ALT is the only practical way of performing life test estimates. Both thermal and vibration ALT induced failure are performed and analyzed to resolve industry questions relating to the introduction of lead-free solder product and processes into high reliability avionics. In chapter 2, thermal ALT using an industry standard failure machine implementing Interconnect Stress Test (IST) that simulates circuit board life data is compared to real production failure data by likelihood ratio tests to arrive at a mechanical theory. This mechanical theory results in a statistically equivalent energy bound such that failure distributions below a specific energy level are considered to be from the same distribution thus allowing testers to quantify parameter setting in IST prior to life testing. In chapter 3, vibration ALT comparing tin-lead and lead-free circuit board solder designs involves the use of the likelihood ratio (LR) test to assess both complete failure data and S-N curves to present methods for analyzing data. Failure data is analyzed using Regression and two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and reconciled with the LR test results that indicating that a costly aging pre-process may be eliminated in certain cases. In chapter 4, vibration ALT for side-by-side tin-lead and lead-free solder black box designs are life tested. Commercial models from strain data do not exist at the low levels associated with life testing and need to be developed because testing performed and presented here indicate that both tin-lead and lead-free solders are similar. In addition, earlier failures due to vibration like connector failure modes will occur before solder interconnect failures.
ContributorsJuarez, Joseph Moses (Author) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Thesis advisor) / Borror, Connie M. (Thesis advisor) / Gel, Esma (Committee member) / Mignolet, Marc (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
Description
Gathering and managing software requirements, known as Requirement Engineering (RE), is a significant and basic step during the Software Development Life Cycle (SDLC). Any error or defect during the RE step will propagate to further steps of SDLC and resolving it will be more costly than any defect in other steps. In order to produce better quality software, the requirements have to be free of any defects. Verification and Validation (V&V;) of requirements are performed to improve their quality, by performing the V&V; process on the Software Requirement Specification (SRS) document. V&V; of the software requirements focused to a specific domain helps in improving quality. A large database of software requirements from software projects of different domains is created. Software requirements from commercial applications are focus of this project; other domains embedded, mobile, E-commerce, etc. can be the focus of future efforts. The V&V; is done to inspect the requirements and improve the quality. Inspections are done to detect defects in the requirements and three approaches for inspection of software requirements are discussed; ad-hoc techniques, checklists, and scenario-based techniques. A more systematic domain-specific technique is presented for performing V&V; of requirements.
ContributorsChughtai, Rehman (Author) / Ghazarian, Arbi (Thesis advisor) / Bansal, Ajay (Committee member) / Millard, Bruce (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
Description
In mixture-process variable experiments, it is common that the number of runs is greater than in mixture-only or process-variable experiments. These experiments have to estimate the parameters from the mixture components, process variables, and interactions of both variables. In some of these experiments there are variables that are hard to change or cannot be controlled under normal operating conditions. These situations often prohibit a complete randomization for the experimental runs due to practical and economical considerations. Furthermore, the process variables can be categorized into two types: variables that are controllable and directly affect the response, and variables that are uncontrollable and primarily affect the variability of the response. These uncontrollable variables are called noise factors and assumed controllable in a laboratory environment for the purpose of conducting experiments. The model containing both noise variables and control factors can be used to determine factor settings for the control factor that makes the response "robust" to the variability transmitted from the noise factors. These types of experiments can be analyzed in a model for the mean response and a model for the slope of the response within a split-plot structure. When considering the experimental designs, low prediction variances for the mean and slope model are desirable. The methods for the mixture-process variable designs with noise variables considering a restricted randomization are demonstrated and some mixture-process variable designs that are robust to the coefficients of interaction with noise variables are evaluated using fraction design space plots with the respect to the prediction variance properties. Finally, the G-optimal design that minimizes the maximum prediction variance over the entire design region is created using a genetic algorithm.
ContributorsCho, Tae Yeon (Author) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Thesis advisor) / Borror, Connie M. (Thesis advisor) / Shunk, Dan L. (Committee member) / Gel, Esma S (Committee member) / Kulahci, Murat (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2010
Description
One persisting problem in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) is the issue of student dropout from these courses. The prediction of student dropout from MOOC courses can identify the factors responsible for such an event and it can further initiate intervention before such an event to increase student success in MOOC. There are different approaches and various features available for the prediction of student’s dropout in MOOC courses.In this research, the data derived from the self-paced math course ‘College Algebra and Problem Solving’ offered on the MOOC platform Open edX offered by Arizona State University (ASU) from 2016 to 2020 was considered. This research aims to predict the dropout of students from a MOOC course given a set of features engineered from the learning of students in a day. Machine Learning (ML) model used is Random Forest (RF) and this model is evaluated using the validation metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, Area Under the Curve (AUC), Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. The average rate of student learning progress was found to have more impact than other features. The model developed can predict the dropout or continuation of students on any given day in the MOOC course with an accuracy of 87.5%, AUC of 94.5%, precision of 88%, recall of 87.5%, and F1-score of 87.5% respectively. The contributing features and interactions were explained using Shapely values for the prediction of the model. The features engineered in this research are predictive of student dropout and could be used for similar courses to predict student dropout from the course. This model can also help in making interventions at a critical time to help students succeed in this MOOC course.
ContributorsDominic Ravichandran, Sheran Dass (Author) / Gary, Kevin (Thesis advisor) / Bansal, Ajay (Committee member) / Cunningham, James (Committee member) / Sannier, Adrian (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
A significant proportion of medical errors exist in crucial medical information, and most stem from misinterpreting non-standardized clinical notes. Clinical Skills exam offered by the United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE) was put in place to certify patient note-taking skills before medical students joined professional practices, offering the first line of defense in protecting patients from medical errors. Nonetheless, the exams were discontinued in 2021 following high costs and resource usage in scoring the exams. This thesis compares four transformer-based models, namely BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) Base Uncased, Emilyalsentzer Bio_ClinicalBERT, RoBERTa (Robustly Optimized BERT Pre-Training Approach), and DeBERTa (Decoding-enhanced BERT with disentangled attention), with the goal to map free text in patient notes to clinical concepts present in the exam rubric. The impact of context-specific embeddings on BERT was also studied to determine the need for a clinical BERT in Clinical Skills exam. This thesis proposes the use of DeBERTa as a backbone model in patient note scoring for the USMLE Clinical Skills exam after comparing it with three other transformer models. Disentangled attention and enhanced mask decoder integrated into DeBERTa were credited for the high performance of DeBERTa as compared to the other models. Besides, the effect of meta pseudo labeling was also investigated in this thesis, which in turn, further enhanced DeBERTa’s performance.
ContributorsGanesh, Jay (Author) / Bansal, Ajay (Thesis advisor) / Mehlhase, Alexandra (Committee member) / Findler, Michael (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial in assessing the reliability of predictivemodels that make decisions for human experts in a data-rich world. The Bayesian approach to UQ for inverse problems has gained popularity. However, addressing UQ in high-dimensional inverse problems is challenging due to the intensity and inefficiency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based Bayesian inference methods. Consequently, the first primary focus of this thesis is enhancing efficiency and scalability for UQ in inverse problems.
On the other hand, the omnipresence of spatiotemporal data, particularly in areas like traffic analysis, underscores the need for effectively addressing inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations. Conventional solutions often overlook spatial or temporal correlations, resulting in underutilization of spatiotemporal interactions for parameter learning. Appropriately modeling spatiotemporal observations in inverse problems thus forms another pivotal research avenue.
In terms of UQ methodologies, the calibration-emulation-sampling (CES) scheme has emerged as effective for large-dimensional problems. I introduce a novel CES approach by employing deep neural network (DNN) models during the emulation and sampling phase. This approach not only enhances computational efficiency but also diminishes sensitivity to training set variations. The newly devised “Dimension- Reduced Emulative Autoencoder Monte Carlo (DREAM)” algorithm scales Bayesian UQ up to thousands of dimensions in physics-constrained inverse problems. The algorithm’s effectiveness is exemplified through elliptic and advection-diffusion inverse problems.
In the realm of spatiotemporal modeling, I propose to use Spatiotemporal Gaussian processes (STGP) in likelihood modeling and Spatiotemporal Besov processes (STBP) in prior modeling separately. These approaches highlight the efficacy of incorporat- ing spatial and temporal information for enhanced parameter estimation and UQ. Additionally, the superiority of STGP is demonstrated compared to static and time- averaged methods in time-dependent advection-diffusion partial differential equation
(PDE) and three chaotic ordinary differential equations (ODE). Expanding upon Besov Process (BP), a method known for sparsity-promotion and edge-preservation, STBP is introduced to capture spatial data features and model temporal correlations by replacing the random coefficients in the series expansion with stochastic time functions following Q-exponential process(Q-EP). This advantage is showcased in dynamic computerized tomography (CT) reconstructions through comparison with classic STGP and a time-uncorrelated approach.
ContributorsLi, Shuyi (Author) / Lan, Shiwei (Thesis advisor) / Hahn, Paul (Committee member) / McCulloch, Robert (Committee member) / Dan, Cheng (Committee member) / Lopes, Hedibert (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
This dissertation centers on treatment effect estimation in the field of causal inference, and aims to expand the toolkit for effect estimation when the treatment variable is binary. Two new stochastic tree-ensemble methods for treatment effect estimation in the continuous outcome setting are presented. The Accelerated Bayesian Causal Forrest (XBCF) model handles variance via a group-specific parameter, and the Heteroskedastic version of XBCF (H-XBCF) uses a separate tree ensemble to learn covariate-dependent variance. This work also contributes to the field of survival analysis by proposing a new framework for estimating survival probabilities via density regression. Within this framework, the Heteroskedastic Accelerated Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (H-XBART) model, which is also developed as part of this work, is utilized in treatment effect estimation for right-censored survival outcomes. All models have been implemented as part of the XBART R package, and their performance is evaluated via extensive simulation studies with appropriate sets of comparators. The contributed methods achieve similar levels of performance, while being orders of magnitude (sometimes as much as 100x) faster than comparator state-of-the-art methods, thus offering an exciting opportunity for treatment effect estimation in the large data setting.
ContributorsKrantsevich, Nikolay (Author) / Hahn, P Richard (Thesis advisor) / McCulloch, Robert (Committee member) / Zhou, Shuang (Committee member) / Lan, Shiwei (Committee member) / He, Jingyu (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Open Information Extraction (OIE) is a subset of Natural Language Processing (NLP) that constitutes the processing of natural language into structured and machine-readable data. This thesis uses data in Resource Description Framework (RDF) triple format that comprises of a subject, predicate, and object. The extraction of RDF triples from natural language is an essential step towards importing data into web ontologies as part of the linked open data cloud on the Semantic web. There have been a number of related techniques for extraction of triples from plain natural language text including but not limited to ClausIE, OLLIE, Reverb, and DeepEx. This proposed study aims to reduce the dependency on conventional machine learning models since they require training datasets, and the models are not easily customizable or explainable. By leveraging a context-free grammar (CFG) based model, this thesis aims to address some of these issues while minimizing the trade-offs on performance and accuracy. Furthermore, a deep-dive is conducted to analyze the strengths and limitations of the proposed approach.
ContributorsSingh, Varun (Author) / Bansal, Srividya (Thesis advisor) / Bansal, Ajay (Committee member) / Mehlhase, Alexandra (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Tracking disease cases is an essential task in public health; however, tracking the number of cases of a disease may be difficult not every infection can be recorded by public health authorities. Notably, this may happen with whole country measles case reports, even such countries with robust registration systems. Eilertson et al. (2019) propose using a state-space model combined with maximum likelihood methods for estimating measles transmission. A Bayesian approach that uses particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is proposed to estimate the parameters of the non-linear state-space model developed in Eilertson et al. (2019) and similar previous studies. This dissertation illustrates the performance of this approach by calculating posterior estimates of the model parameters and predictions of the unobserved states in simulations and case studies. Also, Iteration Filtering (IF2) is used as a support method to verify the Bayesian estimation and to inform the selection of prior distributions. In the second half of the thesis, a birth-death process is proposed to model the unobserved population size of a disease vector. This model studies the effect of a disease vector population size on a second affected population. The second population follows a non-homogenous Poisson process when conditioned on the vector process with a transition rate given by a scaled version of the vector population. The observation model also measures a potential threshold event when the host species population size surpasses a certain level yielding a higher transmission rate. A maximum likelihood procedure is developed for this model, which combines particle filtering with the Minorize-Maximization (MM) algorithm and extends the work of Crawford et al. (2014).
ContributorsMartinez Rivera, Wilmer Osvaldo (Author) / Fricks, John (Thesis advisor) / Reiser, Mark (Committee member) / Zhou, Shuang (Committee member) / Cheng, Dan (Committee member) / Lan, Shiwei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
This dissertation covers several topics in machine learning and causal inference. First, the question of “feature selection,” a common byproduct of regularized machine learning methods, is investigated theoretically in the context of treatment effect estimation. This involves a detailed review and extension of frameworks for estimating causal effects and in-depth theoretical study. Next, various computational approaches to estimating causal effects with machine learning methods are compared with these theoretical desiderata in mind. Several improvements to current methods for causal machine learning are identified and compelling angles for further study are pinpointed. Finally, a common method used for “explaining” predictions of machine learning algorithms, SHAP, is evaluated critically through a statistical lens.
ContributorsHerren, Andrew (Author) / Hahn, P Richard (Thesis advisor) / Kao, Ming-Hung (Committee member) / Lopes, Hedibert (Committee member) / McCulloch, Robert (Committee member) / Zhou, Shuang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023