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- All Subjects: Finance
- Creators: School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences
- Creators: Shen, Wei
- Member of: Theses and Dissertations
- Resource Type: Text
- Status: Published
Description冷链物流主要是指食品在生产到消费者食用前始终处于适宜的温度环境，以保障食品品质、降低流通过程中的损耗。冷链物流相比于传统物流而言是一项更复杂的系统性工程，受到政策和市场需求的影响呈现迅猛发展态势。但是，冷链物流企业长期以来因规模小、固定资产少、服务范围窄、服务规范性弱而发展困难重重，核心问题是资金的问题。政府引导和鼓励打造冷链物流产业园，推动产业园投资和建设主体打造平台，实现对园区内冷链企业的聚集效应并通过金融服务解决企业发展的资金问题。通过产融结合助力冷链物流企业发展，成为目前冷链物流行业发展的主要方式和未来趋势。
本研究聚焦冷链物流产业园金融服务助力冷链物流企业发展问题，主要研究内容包括：第一，基于产融结合理论，梳理冷链物流企业与产业园之间关系，从供需两侧探索冷链物流企业和产业园的金融服务的范围、类型和特点。第二，基于平台理论，构建冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的研究模型，探索金融服务影响冷链物流企业的经营因素，分析冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的因素和途径。第三，基于信息不对称理论，关切信息技术支持和知识分享在冷链物流企业采纳产业园提供金融服务过程中的调节作用。同时，梳理产业园提供金融服务可能面临哪些风险，制订冷链物流企业入驻园区的标准，防范风险。
本文运用实证研究方法，通过对国内18家冷链物流相关的产业园、物流园、冷链物流、商贸流通、金融等企业实地考察和专家访谈基础上，拟定问卷并对268家企业进行调查收集数据，使用结构方程模型进行假设检验。研究发现：金融服务的有形性、可靠性、移情性、经济性对冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务影响显著，而响应性的影响不显著。同时
信息技术支持和知识共享的调节作用不显著。最后，针对产业园吸引冷链物流企业提供金融服务、冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的风险，提出防范策略措施。
本研究聚焦冷链物流产业园金融服务助力冷链物流企业发展问题，主要研究内容包括：第一，基于产融结合理论，梳理冷链物流企业与产业园之间关系，从供需两侧探索冷链物流企业和产业园的金融服务的范围、类型和特点。第二，基于平台理论，构建冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的研究模型，探索金融服务影响冷链物流企业的经营因素，分析冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的因素和途径。第三，基于信息不对称理论，关切信息技术支持和知识分享在冷链物流企业采纳产业园提供金融服务过程中的调节作用。同时，梳理产业园提供金融服务可能面临哪些风险，制订冷链物流企业入驻园区的标准，防范风险。
本文运用实证研究方法，通过对国内18家冷链物流相关的产业园、物流园、冷链物流、商贸流通、金融等企业实地考察和专家访谈基础上，拟定问卷并对268家企业进行调查收集数据，使用结构方程模型进行假设检验。研究发现：金融服务的有形性、可靠性、移情性、经济性对冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务影响显著，而响应性的影响不显著。同时
信息技术支持和知识共享的调节作用不显著。最后，针对产业园吸引冷链物流企业提供金融服务、冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的风险，提出防范策略措施。
ContributorsYang, Su (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Xinlei (Thesis advisor) / Gu, Bin (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description财富管理是一个高度信息不对称的行业，因此投资人需要尽可能减少自身的不确定来做投资决策，通过文献整理，本文发现通过建立信任来消除不确定性是很多投资人都会选择的帮助投资决策的方法。纵观历史，美国2007-2008年的金融危机也恰恰导致金融市场投资人对于理财机构信任的严重缺失，相同的情况也可能发生在中国财富管理市场，因此本文将此选作研究重点，希望深入研究财富管理公司投资人对理财师的信任来得到一系列结论。本文最终发现就平台和理财师相比，投资人更看重平台的信誉度。 投资人大多认为平台的信誉度要高于理财师的信誉度，但是这并不意味着理财师不重要。本文进一步的分析发现，多数投资人会和理财师建立起一种私人联系，且该私人关系有助于加强客户和平台的联系。投资人认为行业经验、为人诚恳，说话可信以及责任心是加强这种私人关系的重要因素。最后，投资人对于钜派平台的信任主要由对于理财师的信任来维持，同时对于理财师的信任主要来自与情感信任。本文的发现对财富管理平台具有战略意义。
ContributorsWu, Qimin (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chang, Chun (Thesis advisor) / Zhu, Hongquan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
The purpose of our research was to develop recommendations and/or strategies for Company A's data center group in the context of the server CPU chip industry. We used data collected from the International Data Corporation (IDC) that was provided by our team coaches, and data that is accessible on the internet. As the server CPU industry expands and transitions to cloud computing, Company A's Data Center Group will need to expand their server CPU chip product mix to meet new demands of the cloud industry and to maintain high market share. Company A boasts leading performance with their x86 server chips and 95% market segment share. The cloud industry is dominated by seven companies Company A calls "The Super 7." These seven companies include: Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. In the long run, the growing market share of the Super 7 could give them substantial buying power over Company A, which could lead to discounts and margin compression for Company A's main growth engine. Additionally, in the long-run, the substantial growth of the Super 7 could fuel the development of their own design teams and work towards making their own server chips internally, which would be detrimental to Company A's data center revenue. We first researched the server industry and key terminology relevant to our project. We narrowed our scope by focusing most on the cloud computing aspect of the server industry. We then researched what Company A has already been doing in the context of cloud computing and what they are currently doing to address the problem. Next, using our market analysis, we identified key areas we think Company A's data center group should focus on. Using the information available to us, we developed our strategies and recommendations that we think will help Company A's Data Center Group position themselves well in an extremely fast growing cloud computing industry.
ContributorsJurgenson, Alex (Co-author) / Nguyen, Duy (Co-author) / Kolder, Sean (Co-author) / Wang, Chenxi (Co-author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Hertzel, Michael (Committee member) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / Department of Management (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / School of Accountancy (Contributor) / WPC Graduate Programs (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2016-05
Description
A Guide to Financial Mathematics is a comprehensive and easy-to-use study guide for students studying for the one of the first actuarial exams, Exam FM. While there are many resources available to students to study for these exams, this study is free to the students and offers an approach to the material similar to that of which is presented in class at ASU. The guide is available to students and professors in the new Actuarial Science degree program offered by ASU. There are twelve chapters, including financial calculator tips, detailed notes, examples, and practice exercises. Included at the end of the guide is a list of referenced material.
ContributorsDougher, Caroline Marie (Author) / Milovanovic, Jelena (Thesis director) / Boggess, May (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor)
Created2015-05
Description
This paper provides evidence through an event study, portfolio simulation, and regression analysis that insider trading, when appropriately aggregated, has predictive power for abnormal risk-adjusted returns on some country and sector exchange traded funds (ETFs). I examine ETFs because of their broad scope and liquidity. ETF markets are relatively efficient and, thus, the effects I document are unlikely to appear in ETF markets. My evidence that aggregated insider trading predicts abnormal returns in some ETFs suggests that aggregated insider trading is likely to have predictive power for financial assets traded in less efficient markets. My analysis depends on specialized insider trading data covering 88 countries is generously provided by 2iQ.
ContributorsKerker, Mackenzie Alan (Author) / Coles, Jeffrey (Thesis director) / Mcauley, Daniel (Committee member) / Licon, Wendell (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Economics (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor)
Created2014-05
Description
Over the course of six months, we have worked in partnership with Arizona State University and a leading producer of semiconductor chips in the United States market (referred to as the "Company"), lending our skills in finance, statistics, model building, and external insight. We attempt to design models that help predict how much time it takes to implement a cost-saving project. These projects had previously been considered only on the merit of cost savings, but with an added dimension of time, we hope to forecast time according to a number of variables. With such a forecast, we can then apply it to an expense project prioritization model which relates time and cost savings together, compares many different projects simultaneously, and returns a series of present value calculations over different ranges of time. The goal is twofold: assist with an accurate prediction of a project's time to implementation, and provide a basis to compare different projects based on their present values, ultimately helping to reduce the Company's manufacturing costs and improve gross margins. We believe this approach, and the research found toward this goal, is most valuable for the Company. Two coaches from the Company have provided assistance and clarified our questions when necessary throughout our research. In this paper, we begin by defining the problem, setting an objective, and establishing a checklist to monitor our progress. Next, our attention shifts to the data: making observations, trimming the dataset, framing and scoping the variables to be used for the analysis portion of the paper. Before creating a hypothesis, we perform a preliminary statistical analysis of certain individual variables to enrich our variable selection process. After the hypothesis, we run multiple linear regressions with project duration as the dependent variable. After regression analysis and a test for robustness, we shift our focus to an intuitive model based on rules of thumb. We relate these models to an expense project prioritization tool developed using Microsoft Excel software. Our deliverables to the Company come in the form of (1) a rules of thumb intuitive model and (2) an expense project prioritization tool.
ContributorsAl-Assi, Hashim (Co-author) / Chiang, Robert (Co-author) / Liu, Andrew (Co-author) / Ludwick, David (Co-author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Hertzel, Michael (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / Department of Economics (Contributor) / Department of Supply Chain Management (Contributor) / School of Accountancy (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Program (Contributor) / WPC Graduate Programs (Contributor)
Created2015-05
Description
Catastrophe events occur rather infrequently, but upon their occurrence, can lead to colossal losses for insurance companies. Due to their size and volatility, catastrophe losses are often treated separately from other insurance losses. In fact, many property and casualty insurance companies feature a department or team which focuses solely on modeling catastrophes. Setting reserves for catastrophe losses is difficult due to their unpredictable and often long-tailed nature. Determining loss development factors (LDFs) to estimate the ultimate loss amounts for catastrophe events is one method for setting reserves. In an attempt to aid Company XYZ set more accurate reserves, the research conducted focuses on estimating LDFs for catastrophes which have already occurred and have been settled. Furthermore, the research describes the process used to build a linear model in R to estimate LDFs for Company XYZ's closed catastrophe claims from 2001 \u2014 2016. This linear model was used to predict a catastrophe's LDFs based on the age in weeks of the catastrophe during the first year. Back testing was also performed, as was the comparison between the estimated ultimate losses and actual losses. Future research consideration was proposed.
ContributorsSwoverland, Robert Bo (Author) / Milovanovic, Jelena (Thesis director) / Zicarelli, John (Committee member) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2018-05
Description
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) in many ways are similar to more traditional closed-end mutual funds, although thee differ in a crucial way. ETFs rely on a creation and redemption feature to achieve their functionality and this mechanism is designed to minimize the deviations that occur between the ETF’s listed price and the net asset value of the ETF’s underlying assets. However while this does cause ETF deviations to be generally lower than their mutual fund counterparts, as our paper explores this process does not eliminate these deviations completely. This article builds off an earlier paper by Engle and Sarkar (2006) that investigates these properties of premiums (discounts) of ETFs from their fair market value. And looks to see if these premia have changed in the last 10 years. Our paper then diverges from the original and takes a deeper look into the standard deviations of these premia specifically.
Our findings show that over 70% of an ETFs standard deviation of premia can be explained through a linear combination consisting of two variables: a categorical (Domestic[US], Developed, Emerging) and a discrete variable (time-difference from US). This paper also finds that more traditional metrics such as market cap, ETF price volatility, and even 3rd party market indicators such as the economic freedom index and investment freedom index are insignificant predictors of an ETFs standard deviation of premia when combined with the categorical variable. These findings differ somewhat from existing literature which indicate that these factors should have a significant impact on the predictive ability of an ETFs standard deviation of premia.
Our findings show that over 70% of an ETFs standard deviation of premia can be explained through a linear combination consisting of two variables: a categorical (Domestic[US], Developed, Emerging) and a discrete variable (time-difference from US). This paper also finds that more traditional metrics such as market cap, ETF price volatility, and even 3rd party market indicators such as the economic freedom index and investment freedom index are insignificant predictors of an ETFs standard deviation of premia when combined with the categorical variable. These findings differ somewhat from existing literature which indicate that these factors should have a significant impact on the predictive ability of an ETFs standard deviation of premia.
ContributorsZhang, Jingbo (Co-author, Co-author) / Henning, Thomas (Co-author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Licon, L. Wendell (Committee member) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / Department of Information Systems (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05
Description
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) in many ways are similar to more traditional closed-end mutual
funds, although thee differ in a crucial way. ETFs rely on a creation and redemption feature to
achieve their functionality and this mechanism is designed to minimize the deviations that occur
between the ETF’s listed price and the net asset value of the ETF’s underlying assets. However
while this does cause ETF deviations to be generally lower than their mutual fund counterparts,
as our paper explores this process does not eliminate these deviations completely. This article
builds off an earlier paper by Engle and Sarkar (2006) that investigates these properties of
premiums (discounts) of ETFs from their fair market value. And looks to see if these premia
have changed in the last 10 years. Our paper then diverges from the original and takes a deeper
look into the standard deviations of these premia specifically.
Our findings show that over 70% of an ETFs standard deviation of premia can be
explained through a linear combination consisting of two variables: a categorical (Domestic[US],
Developed, Emerging) and a discrete variable (time-difference from US). This paper also finds
that more traditional metrics such as market cap, ETF price volatility, and even 3rd party market
indicators such as the economic freedom index and investment freedom index are insignificant
predictors of an ETFs standard deviation of premia. These findings differ somewhat from
existing literature which indicate that these factors should have a significant impact on the
predictive ability of an ETFs standard deviation of premia.
funds, although thee differ in a crucial way. ETFs rely on a creation and redemption feature to
achieve their functionality and this mechanism is designed to minimize the deviations that occur
between the ETF’s listed price and the net asset value of the ETF’s underlying assets. However
while this does cause ETF deviations to be generally lower than their mutual fund counterparts,
as our paper explores this process does not eliminate these deviations completely. This article
builds off an earlier paper by Engle and Sarkar (2006) that investigates these properties of
premiums (discounts) of ETFs from their fair market value. And looks to see if these premia
have changed in the last 10 years. Our paper then diverges from the original and takes a deeper
look into the standard deviations of these premia specifically.
Our findings show that over 70% of an ETFs standard deviation of premia can be
explained through a linear combination consisting of two variables: a categorical (Domestic[US],
Developed, Emerging) and a discrete variable (time-difference from US). This paper also finds
that more traditional metrics such as market cap, ETF price volatility, and even 3rd party market
indicators such as the economic freedom index and investment freedom index are insignificant
predictors of an ETFs standard deviation of premia. These findings differ somewhat from
existing literature which indicate that these factors should have a significant impact on the
predictive ability of an ETFs standard deviation of premia.
ContributorsHenning, Thomas Louis (Co-author) / Zhang, Jingbo (Co-author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Wendell, Licon (Committee member) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05
Description
This paper investigates whether measures of investor sentiment can be used to predict future total returns of the S&P 500 index. Rolling regressions and other statistical techniques are used to determine which indicators contain the most predictive information and which time horizons' returns are "easiest" to predict in a three year data set. The five "most predictive" indicators are used to predict 180 calendar day future returns of the market and simulated investment of hypothetical accounts is conducted in an independent six year data set based on the rolling regression future return predictions. Some indicators, most notably the VIX index, appear to contain predictive information which led to out-performance of the accounts that invested based on the rolling regression model's predictions.
ContributorsDundas, Matthew William (Author) / Boggess, May (Thesis director) / Budolfson, Arthur (Committee member) / Hedegaard, Esben (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor)
Created2013-12