This project aims to incorporate the aspect of sentiment analysis into traditional stock analysis to enhance stock rating predictions by applying a reliance on the opinion of various stocks from the Internet. Headlines from eight major news publications and conversations from Yahoo! Finance’s “Conversations” feature were parsed through the Valence Aware Dictionary for Sentiment Reasoning (VADER) natural language processing package to determine numerical polarities which represented positivity or negativity for a given stock ticker. These generated polarities were paired with stock metrics typically observed by stock analysts as the feature set for a Logistic Regression machine learning model. The model was trained on roughly 1500 major stocks to determine a binary classification between a “Buy” or “Not Buy” rating for each stock, and the results of the model were inserted into the back-end of the Agora Web UI which emulates search engine behavior specifically for stocks found in NYSE and NASDAQ. The model reported an accuracy of 82.5% and for most major stocks, the model’s prediction correlated with stock analysts’ ratings. Given the volatility of the stock market and the propensity for hive-mind behavior in online forums, the performance of the Logistic Regression model would benefit from incorporating historical stock data and more sources of opinion to balance any subjectivity in the model.

With the rapid increase of technological capabilities, particularly in processing power and speed, the usage of machine learning is becoming increasingly widespread, especially in fields where real-time assessment of complex data is extremely valuable. This surge in popularity of machine learning gives rise to an abundance of potential research and projects on further broadening applications of artificial intelligence. From these opportunities comes the purpose of this thesis. Our work seeks to meaningfully increase our understanding of current capabilities of machine learning and the problems they can solve. One extremely popular application of machine learning is in data prediction, as machines are capable of finding trends that humans often miss. Our effort to this end was to examine the CVE dataset and attempt to predict future entries with Random Forests. The second area of interest lies within the great promise being demonstrated by neural networks in the field of autonomous driving. We sought to understand the research being put out by the most prominent bodies within this field and to implement a model on one of the largest standing datasets, Berkeley DeepDrive 100k. This thesis describes our efforts to build, train, and optimize a Random Forest model on the CVE dataset and a convolutional neural network on the Berkeley DeepDrive 100k dataset. We document these efforts with the goal of growing our knowledge on (and usage of) machine learning in these topics.

Machine learning is a rapidly growing field, with no doubt in part due to its countless applications to other fields, including pedagogy and the creation of computer-aided tutoring systems. To extend the functionality of FACT, an automated teaching assistant, we want to predict, using metadata produced by student activity, whether a student is capable of fixing their own mistakes. Logs were collected from previous FACT trials with middle school math teachers and students. The data was converted to time series sequences for deep learning, and ordinary features were extracted for statistical machine learning. Ultimately, deep learning models attained an accuracy of 60%, while tree-based methods attained an accuracy of 65%, showing that some correlation, although small, exists between how a student fixes their mistakes and whether their correction is correct.