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Sacred apocalyptic texts claim to foretell coming events, warning the faithful of some terrible fate that lies beyond the present. Such texts often derive their power from successfully recasting past events in such a way as they appear to be "predicted" by the text and thus take on additional meanings beyond the superficial. This ex eventu status allows apocalyptic texts to increase the credibility of their future predictions and connect emotionally with the reader by playing on present fears. The fifth-century Daoist apocalyptic text, the Scripture on the Cycles of Heaven and Earth (Tiandi yundu jing, 天地運度經), is no exception. This thesis examines the apocalyptic markers in the poetic sections of the text, attempting to develop a strategy for separating the generic imagery (both to Chinese texts and the apocalyptic literary genre as a whole) from the more significant recoverable references to contemporary events such as the fall of the Jin dynasty and the subsequent founding of the Liu-Song dynasty.
ContributorsBussio, Jennifer Jean (Author) / Bokenkamp, Stephen (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Huaiyu (Committee member) / Cutter, Robert J (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2011
Description
In recent years, China and Japan have both experienced the serious challenge of handling some of the most destructive natural disasters in human history with the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and the 2011 Fukushima incident. After careful examination of geological surveys and further evidence released in the aftermath, these two incidents can be regarded as man-made or technological disasters, which differentiate them from the multitude of natural disasters that have happened previously. Their unique causation also creates a need for separate analysis of the public reaction towards these disasters. Due to existing knowledge and communication gaps within the Chinese and Japanese governments, the official media reports of these disasters also hold many problems, such as a lack of clarity, consistency, and transparency caused by a shortage of investigative journalism. Japan, in particular, has grappled with the bias of "nuclear nationalism" since post-World War II. These issues and ideas can change public opinion drastically, which makes it necessary to evaluate the combined effects on the psychology of people trying to come to terms with these technological disasters and examine possible solutions for this problem.
ContributorsPaschke, Lauren Anne (Author) / Spring, Madeline (Thesis director) / Zhu, Jie (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of International Letters and Cultures (Contributor)
Created2014-05
Description
Using historical data from the third-party payment acquiring industry, I develop a statistical model to predict the probability of fraudulent transactions by the merchants. The model consists of two levels of analysis – the first focuses on fraud detection at the store level, and the second focuses on fraud detection at the merchant level by aggregating store level data to the merchant level for merchants with multiple stores. My purpose is to put the model into business operations, helping to identify fraudulent merchants at the time of transactions and thus mitigate the risk exposure of the payment acquiring businesses. The model developed in this study is distinct from existing fraud detection models in three important aspects. First, it predicts the probability of fraud at the merchant level, as opposed to at the transaction level or by the cardholders. Second, it is developed by applying machine learning algorithms and logistical regressions to all the transaction level and merchant level variables collected from real business operations, rather than relying on the experiences and analytical abilities of business experts as in the development of traditional expert systems. Third, instead of using a small sample, I develop and test the model using a huge sample that consists of over 600,000 merchants and 10 million transactions per month. I conclude this study with a discussion of the model’s possible applications in practice as well as its implications for future research.
ContributorsZhou, Ye (Author) / Chen, Hong (Thesis advisor) / Gu, Bin (Thesis advisor) / Chao, Xiuli (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
This study investigates three issues that are relevant for the development of multinational investment banks in China. The first is about the domestic market conditions that are necessary for a country to develop multinational investment banks. The second issue is about the degree to which China has met these conditions. The last issue focuses on the potential strategies Chinese investment banks can undertake to become multinational corporations.
To address the first issue, I draw an important distinction between international investment banks and multinational investment banks. For an international investment bank to be regarded as a multinational, I propose that it must have a strong presence (i.e., holding at least one percent of the market share) in at least two of the seven major capital markets in the world. Using this criterion, I identify 25 multinational investment banks. I then analyze their home countries’ domestic market conditions and propose that the following six factors are important to the development of multinational investment banks: the size of the home country’s gross domestic product (GDP), the total capitalization of its domestic security market, the number of its Global 500 firms, the volume of its foreign direct investment (FDI), the internationalization of its currency, and the openness of its capital market to foreign investors.
By comparisons, I find that China’s domestic market conditions are comparable to the home countries of multinational investment banks with respect to the size of GDP, total market capitalization, the number of Global 500 firms, and the volume of FDI. What China lags behind are the internationalization of currency and the openness of capital market to foreign investors. Given the current trends of development, it is very likely that China will be able to catch up on the latter within ten years, thus meeting all the conditions necessary for the development of multinational investment banks.
Based on the above findings, I suggest that Chinese investment banks seize this historical opportunity, speed up the internationalization of their businesses, and learn from the experiences of global industry leaders to become truly multinational corporations.
To address the first issue, I draw an important distinction between international investment banks and multinational investment banks. For an international investment bank to be regarded as a multinational, I propose that it must have a strong presence (i.e., holding at least one percent of the market share) in at least two of the seven major capital markets in the world. Using this criterion, I identify 25 multinational investment banks. I then analyze their home countries’ domestic market conditions and propose that the following six factors are important to the development of multinational investment banks: the size of the home country’s gross domestic product (GDP), the total capitalization of its domestic security market, the number of its Global 500 firms, the volume of its foreign direct investment (FDI), the internationalization of its currency, and the openness of its capital market to foreign investors.
By comparisons, I find that China’s domestic market conditions are comparable to the home countries of multinational investment banks with respect to the size of GDP, total market capitalization, the number of Global 500 firms, and the volume of FDI. What China lags behind are the internationalization of currency and the openness of capital market to foreign investors. Given the current trends of development, it is very likely that China will be able to catch up on the latter within ten years, thus meeting all the conditions necessary for the development of multinational investment banks.
Based on the above findings, I suggest that Chinese investment banks seize this historical opportunity, speed up the internationalization of their businesses, and learn from the experiences of global industry leaders to become truly multinational corporations.
ContributorsLiu, Xin (Author) / Chang, Chun (Thesis advisor) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Hong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
Accompanying with the development of economy system and the completion of legal framework, Chinese domestic PE industry not only transfused vigor and vividness to capital market, but also generated contribution to substantial economy with a rapid pace in recent decades.
Depending on the first move advantage and an affinity with Chinese government, PE industry initially was led by state-owned enterprises. However, these non-market-oriented PE institutions confronted challenge from the perspective of culture, structure and mechanism and crises of outflow of human capital and lacking capability of sustainable development while private section and foreign capital enter the market.
Based on the figure of PE investment and the pattern of historical development in foreign and domestic market, this article specifically analyzed the history of state-backed PE industry‘s development and both advantage and disadvantage of state-backed PE institutions according to real cases intending to improve the competitive strength of state-backed enterprises and to promote a state-backed PE institutions to world-class enterprises through the application of a multi-dimensional stock equity structure, the advantage in accessibility of resource as state-backed enterprises, a market-oriented system and the ability of key staffs.
Depending on the first move advantage and an affinity with Chinese government, PE industry initially was led by state-owned enterprises. However, these non-market-oriented PE institutions confronted challenge from the perspective of culture, structure and mechanism and crises of outflow of human capital and lacking capability of sustainable development while private section and foreign capital enter the market.
Based on the figure of PE investment and the pattern of historical development in foreign and domestic market, this article specifically analyzed the history of state-backed PE industry‘s development and both advantage and disadvantage of state-backed PE institutions according to real cases intending to improve the competitive strength of state-backed enterprises and to promote a state-backed PE institutions to world-class enterprises through the application of a multi-dimensional stock equity structure, the advantage in accessibility of resource as state-backed enterprises, a market-oriented system and the ability of key staffs.
ContributorsChen, Zhihai (Author) / Wang, Tan (Thesis advisor) / Hwang, Yuhchang (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Hong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
In this thesis I examine the opportunities and challenges faced by the community banks in China. Rooted in the local communities, community banks generally focus on serving the local residents, farmers, and micro and small business enterprises (MSBE) through relationship building. Although community banks tend to be small relative to the other financial institutions, their unique market positions and business strategies have helped them to survive the competition and secure some market shares. Thus, it is important to understand the business strategies of community banks and to explore their future business opportunities and challenges.
I first provide a brief overview about the importance of local communities, community economy, and community banking, on the basis of an analysis about mismatch in the demand and supply of community financial services due to information asymmetry. Next, I review and analyze how commercial banks have utilized different types of information in their operations. I classify the information used by commercial banks into different categories and discuss their importance to the operations of commercial banks. After that, I conduct a case analysis to illustrate the role of non-financial information in the development of community banks’ business strategy. I conclude this thesis with a discussion of how community banks can better utilize data analysis to develop their core competencies in the era of “Big Data”.
I first provide a brief overview about the importance of local communities, community economy, and community banking, on the basis of an analysis about mismatch in the demand and supply of community financial services due to information asymmetry. Next, I review and analyze how commercial banks have utilized different types of information in their operations. I classify the information used by commercial banks into different categories and discuss their importance to the operations of commercial banks. After that, I conduct a case analysis to illustrate the role of non-financial information in the development of community banks’ business strategy. I conclude this thesis with a discussion of how community banks can better utilize data analysis to develop their core competencies in the era of “Big Data”.
ContributorsHou, Funing (Author) / Li, Feng (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Jiang (Thesis advisor) / Gu, Bin (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
In this study I investigate the organizational mechanisms (pathways) through which strategic investors can help a firm improve performance. Many commercial banks in China have recently invited foreign banks as strategic investors since China’s entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO), hoping to gain managerial and technological knowhow from the foreign banks. Using Shanghai Pudong Development Bank as a representative example, I conduct an in-depth qualitative analysis about how the joining of Citi Bank as a strategic investor has helped the local Chinese bank improve its financial performance. On the basis of a comprehensive review of the relevant literature, I first develop a theoretical model that describes the organizational mechanisms (pathways) through which foreign strategic investors can influence the local bank’s performance. Specifically, by participation in corporate governance, the foreign strategic investor can have a positive influence over the local bank’s strategy development, operational targets, incentive systems, and organizational culture, which consequently lead to improvements in the local banks operations and financial performance. I then use a case study method to substantiate the logic and the pathways of the model with the detailed information collected from the Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Citi Bank strategic alliance. The results are consistent with the model’s descriptive validity.
ContributorsLiu, Xinyi (Author) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Hong (Committee member) / Shen, Wei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
Chinese commercial banks have experienced a period of fast and stable development since 2007. The adoption of a comprehensive enterprise risk management (ERM) system based on the Basel Accords was a significant event for the banking supervisory authority and the commercial banks during this period. This study investigates the impact of ERM adoption on the financial performance of the commercial banks as well as the underlying mechanisms using longitudinal data of 96 commercial banks from 2007 to 2016. Results from quantitative analyses suggest the following findings. First, ERM adoption had a positive impact on commercial banks’ financial performance after controlling for the negative impacts of factors such as macro economic conditions and fiscal and monetary policies. Second, although this positive impact was partially attributed to increased risk appetite after the adoption of ERM, results show that ERM adoption also increased risk-adjusted financial performance. Lastly, ERM adoption improved commercial banks’ competence in risk management, as indicated by their sensitivity of financial returns to risk exposures. The above findings also received support from interviews and surveys of senior executives of commercial banks and officials of the banking supervisory authorities.
This study contributes to the understanding of how the adoption of ERM influences the financial performance of Chinese commercial banks, and has important practical implications. Based on the empirical findings, I recommend all commercial banks in China to adopt and implement ERM so that they can better cope with the challenges presented by macroeconomic uncertainty, marketization, and internationalization. In the process, it is critical for them to understand the mechanisms through which ERM influences their performance. Meanwhile, they shall be aware of the operational costs associated with the initial adoption of ERM, learn from the experiences of those that have already adopted ERM, and have a long-term orientation about performance effect of ERM adoption. Supervisory authorities can also play a key role in guiding commercial banks to be more effective and efficient in the adoption of ERM.
This study contributes to the understanding of how the adoption of ERM influences the financial performance of Chinese commercial banks, and has important practical implications. Based on the empirical findings, I recommend all commercial banks in China to adopt and implement ERM so that they can better cope with the challenges presented by macroeconomic uncertainty, marketization, and internationalization. In the process, it is critical for them to understand the mechanisms through which ERM influences their performance. Meanwhile, they shall be aware of the operational costs associated with the initial adoption of ERM, learn from the experiences of those that have already adopted ERM, and have a long-term orientation about performance effect of ERM adoption. Supervisory authorities can also play a key role in guiding commercial banks to be more effective and efficient in the adoption of ERM.
ContributorsJia, Guoqing (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Qian, Jun (Thesis advisor) / Cheng, Shijun (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description企业并购是经济管理领域长盛不衰的研究话题，也是企业高投资与高风险并行的战略举措。并购后对品牌进行有效整合是实现并购价值的重要过程，只有对并购后的品牌进行整合，才能使并购取得应有的并购协同效应。在消费者导向意识不断深化，服务导向逐渐成为服务行业的主流导向的背景下，研究品牌并购中消费者感知及其忠诚显得尤为重要。企业并购过程中面临的风险与挑战之一就是消费者未必对商家的品牌并购行为买账，消费者忠诚受到影响。尽管已有学者提出品牌并购的企业更应关注消费者及其忠诚，但目前从消费者感知角度研究企业或品牌并购行为的研究较少。为了揭示消费者感知品牌并购的过程，探究品牌并购是否及如何影响消费者感知及忠诚，本文基于深度访谈法与情境下问卷调查法分析了消费者对品牌并购的感知及结果，并设计两项研究：研究一在理论分析与前人研究基础上，通过对消费者的深度访谈，确立了消费者感知的品牌并购价值的四个维度，分别为品牌联想、产品联想、组织联想与人员服务品质，并在借鉴前人研究结合本研究的具体背景，得出消费者感知的品牌并购价值的测量条目。研究二通过情境模拟下的问卷调查法，检验了消费者感知品牌并购价值、感知质量、感知价值、品牌忠诚、产品涉入以及品牌知名度之间的关系。在此基础上，本文对L教育集团在实践运营过程中的品牌并购案例进行详细分析，发现了L教育集团发起品牌并购的原因以及并购过程中存在的问题和改进建议。
研究结果显示：（1）消费者感知的品牌并购价值的四个维度分别为品牌联想、产品联想、组织联想与人员服务品质；（2）消费者感知品牌并购价值与感知质量有显著正相关关系，表明消费者感知品牌并购价值能够提高消费者的感知质量；（3）消费者感知质量对其感知价值有显著的正向影响，表明感知质量正向预测消费者的感知价值水平；（4）消费者感知质量对其品牌忠诚有显著的积极作用；（5）消费者感知品牌并购价值与消费者感知价值存在显著的正相关关系；（6）消费者感知品牌并购价值对消费者品牌忠诚的路径系数达到显著性水平；（7）消费者感知质量在感知并购价值与感知价值、品牌忠诚之间起部分中介作用；（8）产品涉入与品牌知名度在消费者感知并购价值与感知质量的关系之间起调节作用。
研究结果显示：（1）消费者感知的品牌并购价值的四个维度分别为品牌联想、产品联想、组织联想与人员服务品质；（2）消费者感知品牌并购价值与感知质量有显著正相关关系，表明消费者感知品牌并购价值能够提高消费者的感知质量；（3）消费者感知质量对其感知价值有显著的正向影响，表明感知质量正向预测消费者的感知价值水平；（4）消费者感知质量对其品牌忠诚有显著的积极作用；（5）消费者感知品牌并购价值与消费者感知价值存在显著的正相关关系；（6）消费者感知品牌并购价值对消费者品牌忠诚的路径系数达到显著性水平；（7）消费者感知质量在感知并购价值与感知价值、品牌忠诚之间起部分中介作用；（8）产品涉入与品牌知名度在消费者感知并购价值与感知质量的关系之间起调节作用。
ContributorsHan, Liqing (Author) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Thesis advisor) / Zhang, Anmin (Thesis advisor) / Zhu, Qigui (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description我国金融市场长期以来实行分业经营，但近年我国金融控股公司迅速发展，其体量极其庞大，对金融行业乃至整个经济体系产生系统性影响。随着金融全球化和经济金融化发展，金融业竞争日渐激烈，金融机构间跨行业以及金融集团化经营成为金融市场成熟完善的必然趋势。此外，中美贸易战迫使我国金融业加快开放步伐，意味着国内分业经营的金融机构将面临空前激烈的海外竞争。在内部需求以及外部压力的推动下，亟需提升我国金融机构的竞争力。在促使银行混业经营合规发展的同时，产生了一些问题：混业经营是否可以促进银行的绩效提升？混业经营通过何种渠道来作用于银行绩效？
本文通过案例分析与实证相结合的方式来解答上述问题。在案例分析部分，分别就银行拓展信托业务和保险业务两个方面展开分析，具体来说，在拓展信托业务方面，以浦发银行收购上海信托为案例分析了浦发银行开拓信托业务后对其经营绩效的影响；在拓展保险业务方面，以北京银行并购首创安泰为例，分析银保混业对北京银行带来的协同效应。在实证分析部分，首先，基于相关的理论以及文献提出三个假说：银行实施混业经营战略，可以提高银行的绩效水平；混业经营通过提高银行规模，增强规模经济优势，促进银行的绩效水平较高；混业经营会提高银行势力水平，从而提升银行的绩效水平。其次，建立回归模型来验证上述三个假说，研究了是否混业以及混业经营的程度对银行绩效的影响。最后，构建中介效应模型验证混业经营作用于银行绩效的渠道，本文主要检验了规模、市场势力两个渠道。
综合上述分析，本文认为混业经营会显著正向影响公司业绩，并且银行势力存在显著的中介传导效应，即银行通过混业经营增加了市场势力、提高了规模经济，从而影响了公司业绩。
案例分析结果支持上述结论，即混业经营会带来银行经营绩效的提升，但是同时也可能会带来短期的风险。
银行是否需要采取混业经营需要根据自身的经营情况，不能盲目扩张。业务的拓展需要与自身现有的业务形成互补，才能实现协同发展效应。在拓展业务的同时，需要注意开拓新的业务是否会给自身带来更多的经营风险。
关键词：混业经营；银行绩效；市场竞争；银行势力
本文通过案例分析与实证相结合的方式来解答上述问题。在案例分析部分，分别就银行拓展信托业务和保险业务两个方面展开分析，具体来说，在拓展信托业务方面，以浦发银行收购上海信托为案例分析了浦发银行开拓信托业务后对其经营绩效的影响；在拓展保险业务方面，以北京银行并购首创安泰为例，分析银保混业对北京银行带来的协同效应。在实证分析部分，首先，基于相关的理论以及文献提出三个假说：银行实施混业经营战略，可以提高银行的绩效水平；混业经营通过提高银行规模，增强规模经济优势，促进银行的绩效水平较高；混业经营会提高银行势力水平，从而提升银行的绩效水平。其次，建立回归模型来验证上述三个假说，研究了是否混业以及混业经营的程度对银行绩效的影响。最后，构建中介效应模型验证混业经营作用于银行绩效的渠道，本文主要检验了规模、市场势力两个渠道。
综合上述分析，本文认为混业经营会显著正向影响公司业绩，并且银行势力存在显著的中介传导效应，即银行通过混业经营增加了市场势力、提高了规模经济，从而影响了公司业绩。
案例分析结果支持上述结论，即混业经营会带来银行经营绩效的提升，但是同时也可能会带来短期的风险。
银行是否需要采取混业经营需要根据自身的经营情况，不能盲目扩张。业务的拓展需要与自身现有的业务形成互补，才能实现协同发展效应。在拓展业务的同时，需要注意开拓新的业务是否会给自身带来更多的经营风险。
关键词：混业经营；银行绩效；市场竞争；银行势力
ContributorsMiao, Rong (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Li, Feng (Thesis advisor) / Chiu, Tzu-Kuan (Committee member) / Shao, Benjamin (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020