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- All Subjects: Climate Change
Description
Flowering phenology offers a sensitive and reliable biological indicator of climate change because plants use climatic and other environmental cues to initiate flower production. Drylands are the largest terrestrial biome, but with unpredictable precipitation patterns and infertile soils, they are particularly vulnerable to climate change. There is a need to increase our comprehension of how dryland plants might respond and adapt to environmental changes. I conducted a meta-analysis on the flowering phenology of dryland plants and showed that some species responded to climate change through accelerated flowering, while others delayed their flowering dates. Dryland plants advanced their mean flowering dates by 2.12 days decade-1, 2.83 days °C-1 and 2.91 days mm-1, respectively, responding to time series, temperature, and precipitation. Flowering phenology responses varied across taxonomic and functional groups, with the grass family Poaceae (-3.91 days decade1) and bulb forming Amaryllidaceae (-0.82 days decade1) showing the highest and lowest time series responses respectively, while Brassicaceae was not responsive. Analysis from herbarium specimens collected across Namibian drylands, spanning 26 species and six families, revealed that plants in hyper-arid to arid regions have lower phenological sensitivity to temperature (-9 days °C-1) and greater phenological responsiveness to precipitation (-0.56 days mm-1) than those in arid to semi-arid regions (-17 days °C-1, -0.35 days mm-1). The flowering phenology of serotinous plants showed greater sensitivity to both temperature and precipitation than that of non-serotinous plants. I used rainout shelters to reduce rainfall in a field experiment and showed that drought treatment advanced the vegetative and reproductive phenology of Cleome gynandra, a highly nutritional and medicinal semi-wild vegetable species. The peak leaf length date, peak number of leaves date, and peak flowering date of Cleome gynandra advanced by six, 10 and seven days, respectively. Lastly, I simulated drought and flood in a greenhouse experiment and found that flooding conditions resulted in higher germination percentage of C. gynandra than drought. My study found that the vegetative, and flowering phenology of dryland plants is responsive to climate change, with differential responses across taxonomic and functional groups, and aridity zones, which could alter the structure and function of these systems.
ContributorsKangombe, Fransiska Ndiiteela (Author) / Throop, Heather (Thesis advisor) / Sala, Osvaldo (Committee member) / Vivoni, Enrique (Committee member) / Pigg, Kathleen (Committee member) / Hultine, Kevin (Committee member) / Kwembeya, Ezekeil (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Climate change is increasing global surface temperatures, intensifying droughts and increasing rainfall variation, particularly in drylands. Understanding how dryland plant communities respond to climate change-induced rainfall changes is crucial for implementing effective conservation strategies. Concurrent with climate change impacts on drylands is woody encroachment: an increase in abundance of woody plant species in areas formerly dominated by grasslands or savannahs. For example, the woody plant, Prosopis velutina (velvet mesquite), has encroached into grasslands regionally over the past century. From an agricultural perspective, P. velutina is an invasive weed that hinders cattle forage. Understanding how P. velutina will respond to climate change-induced rainfall changes can be useful for management and conservation efforts. Prosopis velutina was used to answer the following question: Is there a significant interactive effect of mean soil water moisture content and pulse frequency on woody seedling survival and growth in dryland ecosystems? There were 256 P. velutina seedlings sourced from the Santa Rita Experimental Range in southern Arizona grown under four watering treatments where mean and pulse frequency were manipulated over two months. Data were collected on mortality, stem height, number of leaves, instantaneous gas exchange, chlorophyll fluorescence, biomass, and the leaf carbon to nitrogen (C:N) ratio. Mortality was low across treatments. Pulse frequency had less impact across response variables than the mean amount of water received. This may indicate that P. velutina seedlings are relatively insensitive to rainfall timing and are more responsive to rainfall amount. Prosopis velutina in the low mean soil moisture treatments lost a majority of their leaves and had greater biomass allocation to roots. Prosopis velutina’s ability to survive in low soil moisture conditions and invest in root biomass can allow it to persist as drylands are further affected by climate change. Prosopis velutina could benefit ecosystems where native plants are at risk due to rainfall variation if P. velutina occupies a similar niche space. Due to conflicting viewpoints of P. velutina as an invasive species, it’s important to examine P. velutina from both agricultural and conservation perspectives. Further analysis on the benefits to P. velutina in these ecosystems is recommended.
ContributorsDavis, Ashley R. (Author) / Throop, Heather (Thesis advisor) / Hultine, Kevin (Committee member) / Sala, Osvaldo (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020
Description
Desert organisms lead harsh lives owing to the extreme, often unpredictable environmental conditions they endure. Climate change will likely make their existence even harsher. Predicting the ecological consequences of future climate scenarios thus requires understanding how the biota will be affected by climatic shifts. Biological soil crusts (biocrusts) are an important ecosystem component in arid lands, one that covers large portions of the landscape, improving soil stability and fertility. Because cyanobacteria are biocrust’s preeminent primary producers, eking out an existence during short pulses of precipitation, they represent a relevant global change object of study. I assessed how climate scenarios predicted for the Southwestern United States (US) will affect biocrusts using long-term, rainfall-modifying experimental set-ups that imposed either more intense drought, a seasonally delayed monsoon season, or a shift to smaller but more frequent precipitation events. I expected drought to be detrimental, but not a delay in the monsoon season. Surprisingly, both treatments showed similar effects on cyanobacterial community composition and population size after four years. While successionally incipient biocrusts were unaffected, mature biocrusts lost biomass and diversity with treatment, especially among nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria. In separate experiments, I assessed the effect of rainfall with modified event size and frequency after a decade of treatment. Small, frequent rainfall events surprisingly enhanced the diversity and biomass of bacteria and cyanobacteria, with clear winners and losers: nitrogen-fixing Scytonema sp. benefited, while Microcoleus vaginatus lost its dominance. As an additional finding, I could also show that water addition is not always beneficial to biocrusts, calling into question the notion that these are strictly water-limited systems.
Finally, results interpretation was severely hampered by a lack of appropriate systematic treatment for an important group of biocrust cyanobacteria, the “Microcoleus steenstrupii complex”. I characterized the complex using a polyphasic approach, leading to the formal description of a new family (Porphyrosiphonaceae) of desiccation resistant cyanobacteria that includes 11 genera, of which 5 had to be newly described. Under the new framework, the distribution and abundance of biocrust cyanobacteria with respect to environmental conditions can now be understood. This body of work contributes significantly to explain current distributional patterns of biocrust cyanobacteria and to predict their fate in the face of climate change.
Finally, results interpretation was severely hampered by a lack of appropriate systematic treatment for an important group of biocrust cyanobacteria, the “Microcoleus steenstrupii complex”. I characterized the complex using a polyphasic approach, leading to the formal description of a new family (Porphyrosiphonaceae) of desiccation resistant cyanobacteria that includes 11 genera, of which 5 had to be newly described. Under the new framework, the distribution and abundance of biocrust cyanobacteria with respect to environmental conditions can now be understood. This body of work contributes significantly to explain current distributional patterns of biocrust cyanobacteria and to predict their fate in the face of climate change.
ContributorsMoreira Camara Fernandes, Vanessa (Author) / Garcia-Pichel, Ferran (Thesis advisor) / Rudgers, Jennifer (Committee member) / Sala, Osvaldo (Committee member) / Penton, Christopher (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020