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- Genre: Doctoral Dissertation
- Creators: Gu, Bin
- Creators: Pei, Ker-Wei
- Resource Type: Text
Description城投债是地方政府投融资平台作为发行主体发行的债券，所融资金多被投入地方政府基础设施建设或者公益性项目，拥有地方政府信用的隐性担保。城投债在一定程度上缓解了地方政府在城市发展过程中资金的短缺问题，在我国城市化进程，促进当地经济发展，引导产业转型升级等方面做出了重大贡献。 随着城投债不断发展，代表城投债信用风险的主要考量点-城投债信用利差愈发备受关注。因为无论是城投债的承销机构，还是城投债的投资机构，包括涉及到城投债风险管控的政策制定部门，都会关注到城投债信用利差，那么影响城投债信用利差的影响因素有哪些呢，这些影响因素有哪些是对城投债信用利差有显著影响呢。 本文首先对城投债相关理论概念，包括政府投融资平台、城投债概念以及相关文献综述做了介绍；并指出了之前研究的一些不足之处等问题。同时对城投债的发展概况做了简要描述并进行了相关统计；其次针对影响城投债信用风险的相关因素进行了详细的分析，主要包括宏观经济因素分析、地方政府影响因素分析、发债主体影响因素分析和债项自身影响因素分析；通过分析每一种影响因素的具体情况，假设相关因素与信用利差的关系。然后再提取二手数据通过实证验证回归分析的方法分别验证假设是否成立，找出影响城投债信用风险的主要共同影响因素，同时得出影响最为强烈的几种因素。最后根据上述分析得出的相关结论， 提出防范与降低城投债信用风险的对策和建议。 该研究一方面引导市场正视城投债信用利差的各种因素，明确我们平时认为的影响因素和理论研究得出的影响因素是否一致；继而找到影响城投债信用利差的关键因素，供城 投债承销机构及投资机构做参考，同时提示城投债风险防范应重点关注的核心问题，为防范和降低城投债风险提供重要参考。
ContributorsLi, Juhui (Author) / Gu, Bin (Thesis advisor) / Liang, Bing (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Tan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description冷链物流主要是指食品在生产到消费者食用前始终处于适宜的温度环境，以保障食品品质、降低流通过程中的损耗。冷链物流相比于传统物流而言是一项更复杂的系统性工程，受到政策和市场需求的影响呈现迅猛发展态势。但是，冷链物流企业长期以来因规模小、固定资产少、服务范围窄、服务规范性弱而发展困难重重，核心问题是资金的问题。政府引导和鼓励打造冷链物流产业园，推动产业园投资和建设主体打造平台，实现对园区内冷链企业的聚集效应并通过金融服务解决企业发展的资金问题。通过产融结合助力冷链物流企业发展，成为目前冷链物流行业发展的主要方式和未来趋势。
本研究聚焦冷链物流产业园金融服务助力冷链物流企业发展问题，主要研究内容包括：第一，基于产融结合理论，梳理冷链物流企业与产业园之间关系，从供需两侧探索冷链物流企业和产业园的金融服务的范围、类型和特点。第二，基于平台理论，构建冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的研究模型，探索金融服务影响冷链物流企业的经营因素，分析冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的因素和途径。第三，基于信息不对称理论，关切信息技术支持和知识分享在冷链物流企业采纳产业园提供金融服务过程中的调节作用。同时，梳理产业园提供金融服务可能面临哪些风险，制订冷链物流企业入驻园区的标准，防范风险。
本文运用实证研究方法，通过对国内18家冷链物流相关的产业园、物流园、冷链物流、商贸流通、金融等企业实地考察和专家访谈基础上，拟定问卷并对268家企业进行调查收集数据，使用结构方程模型进行假设检验。研究发现：金融服务的有形性、可靠性、移情性、经济性对冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务影响显著，而响应性的影响不显著。同时
信息技术支持和知识共享的调节作用不显著。最后，针对产业园吸引冷链物流企业提供金融服务、冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的风险，提出防范策略措施。
本研究聚焦冷链物流产业园金融服务助力冷链物流企业发展问题，主要研究内容包括：第一，基于产融结合理论，梳理冷链物流企业与产业园之间关系，从供需两侧探索冷链物流企业和产业园的金融服务的范围、类型和特点。第二，基于平台理论，构建冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的研究模型，探索金融服务影响冷链物流企业的经营因素，分析冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的因素和途径。第三，基于信息不对称理论，关切信息技术支持和知识分享在冷链物流企业采纳产业园提供金融服务过程中的调节作用。同时，梳理产业园提供金融服务可能面临哪些风险，制订冷链物流企业入驻园区的标准，防范风险。
本文运用实证研究方法，通过对国内18家冷链物流相关的产业园、物流园、冷链物流、商贸流通、金融等企业实地考察和专家访谈基础上，拟定问卷并对268家企业进行调查收集数据，使用结构方程模型进行假设检验。研究发现：金融服务的有形性、可靠性、移情性、经济性对冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务影响显著，而响应性的影响不显著。同时
信息技术支持和知识共享的调节作用不显著。最后，针对产业园吸引冷链物流企业提供金融服务、冷链物流企业采纳产业园金融服务的风险，提出防范策略措施。
ContributorsYang, Su (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Xinlei (Thesis advisor) / Gu, Bin (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
Working memory capacity and fluid intelligence are important predictors of performance in educational settings. Thus, understanding the processes underlying the relation between working memory capacity and fluid intelligence is important. Three large scale individual differences experiments were conducted to determine the mechanisms underlying the relation between working memory capacity and fluid intelligence. Experiments 1 and 2 were designed to assess whether individual differences in strategic behavior contribute to the variance shared between working memory capacity and fluid intelligence. In Experiment 3, competing theories for describing the underlying processes (cognitive vs. strategy) were evaluated in a comprehensive examination of potential underlying mechanisms. These data help inform existing theories about the mechanisms underlying the relation between WMC and gF. However, these data also indicate that the current theoretical model of the shared variance between WMC and gF would need to be revised to account for the data in Experiment 3. Possible sources of misfit are considered in the discussion along with a consideration of the theoretical implications of observing those relations in the Experiment 3 data.
ContributorsWingert, Kimberly Marie (Author) / Brewer, Gene A. (Thesis advisor) / McNamara, Danielle (Thesis advisor) / McClure, Samuel (Committee member) / Redick, Thomas (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
Due to the growing popularity of the Internet and smart mobile devices, massive data has been produced every day, particularly, more and more users’ online behavior and activities have been digitalized. Making a better usage of the massive data and a better understanding of the user behavior become at the very heart of industrial firms as well as the academia. However, due to the large size and unstructured format of user behavioral data, as well as the heterogeneous nature of individuals, it leveled up the difficulty to identify the SPECIFIC behavior that researchers are looking at, HOW to distinguish, and WHAT is resulting from the behavior. The difference in user behavior comes from different causes; in my dissertation, I am studying three circumstances of behavior that potentially bring in turbulent or detrimental effects, from precursory culture to preparatory strategy and delusory fraudulence. Meanwhile, I have access to the versatile toolkit of analysis: econometrics, quasi-experiment, together with machine learning techniques such as text mining, sentiment analysis, and predictive analytics etc. This study creatively leverages the power of the combined methodologies, and apply it beyond individual level data and network data. This dissertation makes a first step to discover user behavior in the newly boosting contexts. My study conceptualize theoretically and test empirically the effect of cultural values on rating and I find that an individualist cultural background are more likely to lead to deviation and more expression in review behaviors. I also find evidence of strategic behavior that users tend to leverage the reporting to increase the likelihood to maximize the benefits. Moreover, it proposes the features that moderate the preparation behavior. Finally, it introduces a unified and scalable framework for delusory behavior detection that meets the current needs to fully utilize multiple data sources.
ContributorsLi, Chunxiao (Author) / Gu, Bin (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Pei-Yu (Committee member) / Xiong, Hui (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
By collecting and analyzing more than two million tweets, U.S. House Representatives’ voting records in 111th and 113th Congress, and data from other resources I study several aspects of adoption and use of Twitter by Representatives. In the first chapter, I study the overall impact of Twitter use by Representatives on their political orientation and their political alignment with their constituents. The findings show that Representatives who adopted Twitter moved closer to their constituents in terms of political orientation.
By using supervised machine learning and text mining techniques, I shift the focus to synthesizing the actual content shared by Representatives on Twitter to evaluate their effects on Representatives’ political polarization in the second chapter. I found support for the effects of repeated expressions and peer influence in Representatives’ political polarization.
Last but not least, by employing a recently developed dynamic network model (separable temporal exponential-family random graph model), I study the effects of homophily on formation and dissolution of Representatives’ Twitter communications in the third chapter. The results signal the presence of demographic homophily and value homophily in Representatives’ Twitter communications networks.
These three studies altogether provide a comprehensive picture about the overall consequences and dynamics of use of online social networking platforms by Representatives.
By using supervised machine learning and text mining techniques, I shift the focus to synthesizing the actual content shared by Representatives on Twitter to evaluate their effects on Representatives’ political polarization in the second chapter. I found support for the effects of repeated expressions and peer influence in Representatives’ political polarization.
Last but not least, by employing a recently developed dynamic network model (separable temporal exponential-family random graph model), I study the effects of homophily on formation and dissolution of Representatives’ Twitter communications in the third chapter. The results signal the presence of demographic homophily and value homophily in Representatives’ Twitter communications networks.
These three studies altogether provide a comprehensive picture about the overall consequences and dynamics of use of online social networking platforms by Representatives.
ContributorsMosuavi, Seyedreza (Author) / Gu, Bin (Thesis advisor) / Vinzé, Ajay S. (Committee member) / Shi, Zhan (Michael) (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
This thesis starts with an analysis of the current situation of the pharmaceutical industry in China, and discusses the strategic mergers and acquisitions (M&A) by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the pharmaceutical industry in China. It elaborates on the rationale for the development of the mergers and acquisitions of the pharmaceutical SMEs. Then a literature review is provided on the causes of corporate mergers and acquisitions such as the economies of scale, synergistic effect, transaction costs, market power, and strategic diversification.Next,the thesis analyzes the underlying rationale for the M&A transactions in the pharmaceutical industry in China, and explores the likely path of successful value creation for pharmaceutical SMEs in China. Specifically, with five in-depth case studies of M&A transactions of pharmaceutical firms, this thesis reveals the critical success factors leading to value creation and growth in the practice of mergers and acquisitions of the pharmaceutical SMEs in China.
ContributorsZhou, Yan (Author) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Hong (Committee member) / Shen, Wei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
Financing lease has bloomed as a new financing tool in China for the last several years. In this thesis I investigate the factors that influence China’s automobile financial leasing decisions by both lessors and lessees through market surveys. Based on Probit regression analysis of the data collected from 250 companies and 300 individuals, I find that a firm is more likely to use automobile financial leasing when its corporate tax rate is lower, growth potential is more stabilized, and profit is higher. It is also more likely to happen when a firm's long-term debt ratio and its degree of internationalization are higher. At the individual level, I find that the likelihood of individuals’ leasing decision is influenced by their risk preference, income level, and car price. Individuals’ gender, age and education level show no effect.
Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) analysis, I further find that financing costs, service value-added, and products diversity are the three most important competitive factors for the auto financial leasing service providers. This is the case for both the corporate and individual customers in the sample. By contrast, the factors of sales channel and government relationship are found to be much less important. Finally, through an in-depth case study of the leasing company Shanghai Auto Financial Leasing, I find that the key factors determining the customers’ credit default risk are interest rate and automobile type. I also investigate factors that influence business risk during the automobile procurement stage, at the selling stage, and toward the disposition stage. The managerial implications of the above results are discussed throughout the thesis.
Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) analysis, I further find that financing costs, service value-added, and products diversity are the three most important competitive factors for the auto financial leasing service providers. This is the case for both the corporate and individual customers in the sample. By contrast, the factors of sales channel and government relationship are found to be much less important. Finally, through an in-depth case study of the leasing company Shanghai Auto Financial Leasing, I find that the key factors determining the customers’ credit default risk are interest rate and automobile type. I also investigate factors that influence business risk during the automobile procurement stage, at the selling stage, and toward the disposition stage. The managerial implications of the above results are discussed throughout the thesis.
ContributorsLin, Zhen, Ph.D (Author) / Zhang, Anming (Thesis advisor) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Hong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
In this study I investigate the organizational strategies that Chinese power generation companies may use to reduce the impact of coal price increases on their profits. Organizations are open systems in that no organization possesses all the resources that it needs and all organizations must obtain resources from their external environments in order to survive. Resource dependent theory suggests that the most important goal of an organization is to find effective mechanisms to cope with its dependence on the external environments for resources that are critical to its survival. Chinese power generation companies traditionally rely heavily on coal as their raw materials, and an increase in coal price can have a significant negative impact on their profits. To address this issue, I first provide a systematic review of the resource dependence theory and research, with a focus on the strategies such as vertical integration, diversification, and hedging that organizations can undertake to reduce their dependence on the external environment as well as their respective benefits and costs. Next, I conduct a qualitative case analysis of the primary strategies the largest Chinese power generation companies have used to reduce their dependence on coal. I then explore a new approach that Chinese power generation companies may use to cope with increases in coal price, namely, by investing in an index of coal companies in the stock market. My regression analysis shows that coal price has a strong positive relation with the price of the coal company index. This finding suggests that it is possible for firms to reduce the negative impact of raw material price increase on their profits by investing in a stock market index of the companies that supply the raw materials that they depend on.
ContributorsSun, Min (Author) / Shen, Wei (Thesis advisor) / Liu, Jun (Committee member) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
There has been much debate in the world of academia over the valuation of conglomerates. This thesis proposes the use of the EVA theory in explaining fluctuations in conglomerates’ valuation, and we believe that ROIC, WACC, and ROIC-WACC are three indicators that to a certain extent explain these valuation fluctuations. Through analysis of a sample containing 23 conglomerates, this thesis finds that ROIC, WACC, and ROIC-WACC exhibit positive correlation with valuation fluctuations. In the case study on Fosun, this thesis finds that ROIC-WACC is highly correlated with Fosun’s valuation fluctuations and next with ROIC. Thus this thesis conjectures that for investment companies for which investment capital is derived largely from insurance float, such as Fosun, ROIC-WACC is a better valuation tool.
ContributorsLiang, Xinjun (Author) / Chen, Hong (Thesis advisor) / Pei, Ker-Wei (Thesis advisor) / Zhu, Ning (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
With years of continuous Chinese economic growth and accelerating aging population, better serving the changing demands in wealth management has become the new market development directions. As evidenced in international experiences, the embedded nature of privacy and isolation of managed assets in the trust business have demonstrated built-in consistency with the needs of high-end wealth management and inheritance; hence, trust has become a very fitting vehicle for wealth management. By 2014, total assets under trust management have reached RMB14trillion.
However, there is as yet a massive gap between the current service levels received by high net worth individuals and their requirements; a gap that is adverse in establishing a stable customer service relationship; which eventually hinders the vigorous development of the overall industry.
With modeling the gaps in service levels as the basic foundation, this paper first and foremost starts with the discussion on the issues in listening to service needs. This paper conducted customer surveys in such categories as customer expected and perceived service quality, service level design and standards, service provided in accordance with the design, and service commitment actually fulfilled. By correlation and regression analyses, this paper analyzed the characteristics of high net worth population, concluding that high net worth individuals with different gender, profession, age exhibit varying needs, preferences and other determining factors in wealth management.
This Paper has designed wealth management service standards and value-added asset allocation systems; the Paper has structured a systematic and disciplined framework in wealth management, which serves as a guideline in the implementation of leading wealth management and in the establishment of superior trust management services. It serves as an impetus for the trust industry to thrive as the leader in China’s wealth management domain, enhance industry brand image, accumulate stable customer segments and develop sustainable market core competencies.
However, there is as yet a massive gap between the current service levels received by high net worth individuals and their requirements; a gap that is adverse in establishing a stable customer service relationship; which eventually hinders the vigorous development of the overall industry.
With modeling the gaps in service levels as the basic foundation, this paper first and foremost starts with the discussion on the issues in listening to service needs. This paper conducted customer surveys in such categories as customer expected and perceived service quality, service level design and standards, service provided in accordance with the design, and service commitment actually fulfilled. By correlation and regression analyses, this paper analyzed the characteristics of high net worth population, concluding that high net worth individuals with different gender, profession, age exhibit varying needs, preferences and other determining factors in wealth management.
This Paper has designed wealth management service standards and value-added asset allocation systems; the Paper has structured a systematic and disciplined framework in wealth management, which serves as a guideline in the implementation of leading wealth management and in the establishment of superior trust management services. It serves as an impetus for the trust industry to thrive as the leader in China’s wealth management domain, enhance industry brand image, accumulate stable customer segments and develop sustainable market core competencies.
ContributorsZhao, Nuan (Author) / Wang, Jiang (Thesis advisor) / Gu, Bin (Thesis advisor) / Chang, Chun (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015