Matching Items (80)
Description
The mutual inhibition between synthetic gene circuits and cell growth produces growth feedback in the host-circuit system. Previous studies have demonstrated that the growth feedback has an marked impact on the molecular dynamics of the host-circuit system. However, the complexity of the growth feedback effect is not fully understood. A theoretical framework was developed to study the dynamics of the coupling between growth feedback and synthetic gene circuits. The study’s results reveal three major points about the impact of growth feedback. First, a nonlinear emergent behavior mediated by growth feedback. The unexpected behavior depends on the dynamic ribosome allocation between gene circuit expression and host cell growth. Second, the emergence and loss of unexpected qualitative states on the host-circuit system generated by ultrasensitive growth feedback. Third, the growth feedback-induced cooperativity behavior in synthetic gene modules competing for resources. In addition, growth feedback attenuated the winner-takes-all rules on resource competition between the two self-activating modules. These results demonstrate that growth feedback plays an important role in the host-circuit system’s molecular dynamics. Characterizing general principles from the effect of growth facilitates the ability to minimize or even harness unexpected gene expression behaviors derived from the effect of growth feedback.
ContributorsMelendez-Alvarez, Juan Ramon (Author) / Tian, Xiaojun (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Xiao (Committee member) / Kuang, Yang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
In the last two decades, fantasy sports have grown massively in popularity. Fantasy football in particular is the most popular fantasy sport in the United States. People spend hours upon hours every year building, researching, and perfecting their teams to compete with others for money or bragging rights. One problem, however, is that National Football League (NFL) players are human and will not perform the same as they did last week or last season. Because of this, there is a need to create a machine learning model to help predict when players will have a tough game or when they can perform above average. This report discusses the history and science of fantasy football, gathering large amounts of player data, manipulating the information to create more insightful data points, creating a machine learning model, and how to use this tool in a real-world situation. The initial model created significantly accurate predictions for quarterbacks and running backs but not receivers and tight ends. Improvements significantly increased the accuracy by reducing the mean average error to below one for all positions, resulting in a successful model for all four positions.
ContributorsCase, Spencer (Author) / Johnson, Jarod (Co-author) / Kostelich, Eric (Thesis director) / Zhuang, Houlong (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Psychology (Contributor) / Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Program (Contributor)
Created2023-05
Description
The main purpose of this project is to create a method for determining the absolute position of an accelerometer. Acceleration and angular speed were obtained from an accelerometer attached to a vehicle as it moves around. As the vehicle moves to collect information the orientation of the accelerometer changes, so a rotation matrix is applied to the data based on the angular change at each time. The angular change and distance are obtained by using the trapezoidal approximation of the integrals. This method was first validated by using simple sets of "true" data which are explicitly known sets of data to compare the results to. Then, an analysis of how different time steps and levels of noise affect the error of the results was performed to determine the optimal time step of 0.1 sec that was then used for the actual tests. The tests that were performed were: a stationary test for uses of calibration, a straight line test to verify a simple test, and a closed loop test to test the accuracy. The graphs for these tests give no indication of the actual paths, so the final results can only show that the data from the accelerometer is too noisy and inaccurate for this method to be used by this sensor. The future work would be to test different ways to get more accurate data and then use it to verify this methods. These ways could include using more sensors to interpolate the data, reducing noise by using a different sensor, or adding a filter. Then, if this method is considered accurate enough, it could be implemented into control systems.
ContributorsHorner, Devon (Author) / Kostelich, Eric (Thesis director) / Crook, Sharon (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Program (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor)
Created2023-05
Description
High-dimensional systems are difficult to model and predict. The underlying mechanisms of such systems are too complex to be fully understood with limited theoretical knowledge and/or physical measurements. Nevertheless, redcued-order models have been widely used to study high-dimensional systems, because they are practical and efficient to develop and implement. Although model errors (biases) are inevitable for reduced-order models, these models can still be proven useful to develop real-world applications. Evaluation and validation for idealized models are indispensable to serve the mission of developing useful applications. Data assimilation and uncertainty quantification can provide a way to assess the performance of a reduced-order model. Real data and a dynamical model are combined together in a data assimilation framework to generate corrected model forecasts of a system. Uncertainties in model forecasts and observations are also quantified in a data assimilation cycle to provide optimal updates that are representative of the real dynamics. In this research, data assimilation is applied to assess the performance of two reduced-order models. The first model is developed for predicting prostate cancer treatment response under intermittent androgen suppression therapy. A sequential data assimilation scheme, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), is used to quantify uncertainties in model predictions using clinical data of individual patients provided by Vancouver Prostate Center. The second model is developed to study what causes the changes of the state of stratospheric polar vortex. Two data assimilation schemes: EnKF and ES-MDA (ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation), are used to validate the qualitative properties of the model using ECMWF (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) reanalysis data. In both studies, the reduced-order model is able to reproduce the data patterns and provide insights to understand the underlying mechanism. However, significant model errors are also diagnosed for both models from the results of data assimilation schemes, which suggests specific improvements of the reduced-order models.
ContributorsWu, Zhimin (Author) / Kostelich, Eric (Thesis advisor) / Moustaoui, Mohamed (Thesis advisor) / Jones, Chris (Committee member) / Espanol, Malena (Committee member) / Platte, Rodrigo (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
The representation of a patient’s characteristics as the parameters of a model is a key component in many studies of personalized medicine, where the underlying mathematical models are used to describe, explain, and forecast the course of treatment. In this context, clinical observations form the bridge between the mathematical frameworks and applications. However, the formulation and theoretical studies of the models and the clinical studies are often not completely compatible, which is one of the main obstacles in the application of mathematical models in practice. The goal of my study is to extend a mathematical framework to model prostate cancer based mainly on the concept of cell-quota within an evolutionary framework and to study the relevant aspects for the model to gain useful insights in practice. Specifically, the first aim is to construct a mathematical model that can explain and predict the observed clinical data under various treatment combinations. The second aim is to find a fundamental model structure that can capture the dynamics of cancer progression within a realistic set of data. Finally, relevant clinical aspects such as how the patient's parameters change over the course of treatment and how to incorporate treatment optimization within a framework of uncertainty quantification, will be examined to construct a useful framework in practice.
ContributorsPhan, Tin (Author) / Kuang, Yang (Thesis advisor) / Kostelich, Eric J (Committee member) / Crook, Sharon (Committee member) / Maley, Carlo (Committee member) / Bryce, Alan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
Synthetic biology (SB) has become an important field of science focusing on designing and engineering new biological parts and systems, or re-designing existing biological systems for useful purposes. The dramatic growth of SB throughout the past two decades has not only provided us numerous achievements, but also brought us more timely and underexplored problems. In SB's entire history, mathematical modeling has always been an indispensable approach to predict the experimental outcomes, improve experimental design and obtain mechanism-understanding of the biological systems. \textit{Escherichia coli} (\textit{E. coli}) is one of the most important experimental platforms, its growth dynamics is the major research objective in this dissertation. Chapter 2 employs a reaction-diffusion model to predict the \textit{E. coli} colony growth on a semi-solid agar plate under multiple controls. In that chapter, a density-dependent diffusion model with non-monotonic growth to capture the colony's non-linear growth profile is introduced. Findings of the new model to experimental data are compared and contrasted with those from other proposed models. In addition, the cross-sectional profile of the colony are computed and compared with experimental data. \textit{E. coli} colony is also used to perform spatial patterns driven by designed gene circuits. In Chapter 3, a gene circuit (MINPAC) and its corresponding pattern formation results are presented. Specifically, a series of partial differential equation (PDE) models are developed to describe the pattern formation driven by the MINPAC circuit. Model simulations of the patterns based on different experimental conditions and numerical analysis of the models to obtain a deeper understanding of the mechanisms are performed and discussed. Mathematical analysis of the simplified models, including traveling wave analysis and local stability analysis, is also presented and used to explore the control strategies of the pattern formation. The interaction between the gene circuit and the host \textit{E. coli} may be crucial and even greatly affect the experimental outcomes. Chapter 4 focuses on the growth feedback between the circuit and the host cell under different nutrient conditions. Two ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are developed to describe such feedback with nutrient variation. Preliminary results on data fitting using both two models and the model dynamical analysis are included.
ContributorsHe, Changhan (Author) / Kuang, Yang (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Xiao (Committee member) / Kostelich, Eric (Committee member) / Tian, Xiaojun (Committee member) / Gumel, Abba (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
Since the 20th century, Arizona has undergone shifts in agricultural practices, driven by urban expansion and crop irrigation regulations. These changes present environmental challenges, altering atmospheric processes and influencing climate dynamics. Given the potential threats of climate change and drought on water availability for agriculture, further modifications in the agricultural landscape are expected. To understand these land use changes and their impact on carbon dynamics, our study quantified aboveground carbon storage in both cultivated and
abandoned agricultural fields. To accomplish this, we employed Python and various geospatial libraries in Jupyter Notebook files, for thorough dataset assembly and visual, quantitative analysis. We focused on nine counties known for high cultivation levels, primarily located in the lower latitudes of Arizona. Our analysis investigated carbon dynamics across not only abandoned and actively cultivated croplands but also neighboring uncultivated land, for which we estimated the extent. Additionally, we compared these trends with those observed in developed land areas.
The findings revealed a hierarchy in aboveground carbon storage, with currently cultivated lands having the lowest levels, followed by abandoned croplands and uncultivated wilderness. However, wilderness areas exhibited significant variation in carbon storage by county compared to cultivated and abandoned lands. Developed lands ranked highest in aboveground carbon storage, with the median value being the highest. Despite county-wide variations, abandoned croplands generally contained more carbon than currently cultivated areas, with adjacent wilderness lands containing even more than both. This trend suggests that cultivating croplands in the region reduces aboveground carbon stores, while abandonment allows for some replenishment, though only to a limited extent. Enhancing carbon stores in Arizona can be achieved through active restoration efforts on abandoned cropland. By promoting native plant regeneration and boosting aboveground carbon levels, these measures are crucial for improving carbon sequestration. We strongly advocate for implementing this step to facilitate the regrowth of native plants and enhance overall carbon storage in the region.
ContributorsGoodwin, Emily (Author) / Eikenberry, Steffen (Thesis director) / Kuang, Yang (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor)
Created2024-05
Description
Glioblastoma Multiforme is a prevalent and aggressive brain tumor. It has an average 5-year survival rate of 6% and average survival time of 14 months. Using patient-specific MRI data from the Barrow Neurological Institute, this thesis investigates the impact of parameter manipulation on reaction-diffusion models for predicting and simulating glioblastoma growth. The study aims to explore key factors influencing tumor morphology and to contribute to enhancing prediction techniques for treatment.
ContributorsShayegan, Tara (Author) / Kostelich, Eric (Thesis director) / Kuang, Yang (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Human Evolution & Social Change (Contributor)
Created2024-05
Description
Advancements to a dual scale Large Eddy Simulation (LES) modeling approach for immiscible turbulent phase interfaces are presented. In the dual scale LES approach, a high resolution auxiliary grid, used to capture a fully resolved interface geometry realization, is linked to an LES grid that solves the filtered Navier-Stokes equations. Exact closure of the sub-filter interface terms is provided by explicitly filtering the fully resolved quantities from the auxiliary grid. Reconstructing a fully resolved velocity field to advance the phase interface requires modeling several sub-filter effects, including shear and accelerational instabilities and phase change. Two sub-filter models were developed to generate these sub-filter hydrodynamic instabilities: an Orr-Sommerfeld model and a Volume-of-Fluid (VoF) vortex sheet method. The Orr-Sommerfeld sub-filter model was found to be incompatible with the dual scale approach, since it is unable to generate interface rollup and a process to separate filtered and sub-filter scales could not be established. A novel VoF vortex sheet method was therefore proposed, since prior vortex methods have demonstrated interface rollup and following the LES methodology, the vortex sheet strength could be decomposed into its filtered and sub-filter components. In the development of the VoF vortex sheet method, it was tested with a variety of classical hydrodynamic instability problems, compared against prior work and linear theory, and verified using Direct Numerical Simulations (DNS). An LES consistent approach to coupling the VoF vortex sheet with the LES filtered equations is presented and compared against DNS. Finally, a sub-filter phase change model is proposed and assessed in the dual scale LES framework with an evaporating interface subjected to decaying homogeneous isotropic turbulence. Results are compared against DNS and the interplay between surface tension forces and evaporation are discussed.
ContributorsGoodrich, Austin Chase (Author) / Herrmann, Marcus (Thesis advisor) / Dahm, Werner (Committee member) / Kim, Jeonglae (Committee member) / Huang, Huei-Ping (Committee member) / Kostelich, Eric (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
A pneumonia-like illness emerged late in 2019 (coined COVID-19), caused by SARSCoV-2, causing a devastating global pandemic on a scale never before seen sincethe 1918/1919 influenza pandemic. This dissertation contributes in providing deeper
qualitative insights into the transmission dynamics and control of the disease in the
United States. A basic mathematical model, which incorporates the key pertinent
epidemiological features of SARS-CoV-2 and fitted using observed COVID-19 data,
was designed and used to assess the population-level impacts of vaccination and face
mask usage in mitigating the burden of the pandemic in the United States. Conditions
for the existence and asymptotic stability of the various equilibria of the model were
derived. The model was shown to undergo a vaccine-induced backward bifurcation
when the associated reproduction number is less than one. Conditions for achieving
vaccine-derived herd immunity were derived for three of the four FDA-approved vaccines (namely Pfizer, Moderna and Johnson & Johnson vaccine), and the vaccination
coverage level needed to achieve it decreases with increasing coverage of moderately and highly-effective face masks. It was also shown that using face masks as a singular
intervention strategy could lead to the elimination of the pandemic if moderate or
highly-effective masks are prioritized and pandemic elimination prospects are greatly
enhanced if the vaccination program is combined with a face mask use strategy that
emphasizes the use of moderate to highly-effective masks with at least moderate coverage. The model was extended in Chapter 3 to allow for the assessment of the
impacts of waning and boosting of vaccine-derived and natural immunity against
the BA.1 Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2. It was shown that vaccine-derived herd
immunity can be achieved in the United States via a vaccination-boosting strategy
which entails fully vaccinating at least 72% of the susceptible populace. Boosting
of vaccine-derived immunity was shown to be more beneficial than boosting of natural immunity. Overall, this study showed that the prospects of the elimination of
the pandemic in the United States were highly promising using the two intervention
measures.
ContributorsSafdar, Salman (Author) / Gumel, Abba (Thesis advisor) / Kostelich, Eric (Committee member) / Kang, Yun (Committee member) / Fricks, John (Committee member) / Espanol, Malena (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023