Matching Items (91)
Description
Predicting nonlinear dynamical systems has been a long-standing challenge in science. This field is currently witnessing a revolution with the advent of machine learning methods. Concurrently, the analysis of dynamics in various nonlinear complex systems continues to be crucial. Guided by these directions, I conduct the following studies. Predicting critical transitions and transient states in nonlinear dynamics is a complex problem. I developed a solution called parameter-aware reservoir computing, which uses machine learning to track how system dynamics change with a driving parameter. I show that the transition point can be accurately predicted while trained in a sustained functioning regime before the transition. Notably, it can also predict if the system will enter a transient state, the distribution of transient lifetimes, and their average before a final collapse, which are crucial for management. I introduce a machine-learning-based digital twin for monitoring and predicting the evolution of externally driven nonlinear dynamical systems, where reservoir computing is exploited. Extensive tests on various models, encompassing optics, ecology, and climate, verify the approach’s effectiveness. The digital twins can extrapolate unknown system dynamics, continually forecast and monitor under non-stationary external driving, infer hidden variables, adapt to different driving waveforms, and extrapolate bifurcation behaviors across varying system sizes. Integrating engineered gene circuits into host cells poses a significant challenge in synthetic biology due to circuit-host interactions, such as growth feedback. I conducted systematic studies on hundreds of circuit structures exhibiting various functionalities, and identified a comprehensive categorization of growth-induced failures. I discerned three dynamical mechanisms behind these circuit failures. Moreover, my comprehensive computations reveal a scaling law between the circuit robustness and the intensity of growth feedback. A class of circuits with optimal robustness is also identified. Chimera states, a phenomenon of symmetry-breaking in oscillator networks, traditionally have transient lifetimes that grow exponentially with system size. However, my research on high-dimensional oscillators leads to the discovery of ’short-lived’ chimera states. Their lifetime increases logarithmically with system size and decreases logarithmically with random perturbations, indicating a unique fragility. To understand these states, I use a transverse stability analysis supported by simulations.
ContributorsKong, Lingwei (Author) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Thesis advisor) / Tian, Xiaojun (Committee member) / Papandreou-Suppappola, Antonia (Committee member) / Alkhateeb, Ahmed (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
A notable challenge when assembling synthetic gene circuits is that modularity often fails to function as intended. A crucial underlying reason for this modularity failure is the existence of competition for shared and limited gene expression resources. By designing a synthetic cascading bistable switches (Syn-CBS) circuit in a single strain with two coupled self-activation modules to achieve successive cell fate transitions, nonlinear resource competition within synthetic gene circuits is unveiled. However, in vivo it can be seen that the transition path was redirected with the activation of one switch always prevailing over that of the other, contradictory to coactivation theoretically expected. This behavior is a result of resource competition between genes and follows a ‘winner-takes-all’ rule, where the winner is determined by the relative connection strength between the two modules. Despite investigation demonstrating that resource competition between gene modules can significantly alter circuit deterministic behaviors, how resource competition contributes to gene expression noise and how this noise can be controlled is still an open issue of fundamental importance in systems biology and biological physics. By utilizing a two-gene circuit, the effects of resource competition on protein expression noise levels can be closely studied. A surprising double-edged role is discovered: the competition for these resources decreases noise while the constraint on resource availability adds its own term of noise into the system, denoted “resource competitive” noise. Noise reduction effects are then studied using orthogonal resources. Results indicate that orthogonal resources are a good strategy for eliminating the contribution of resource competition to gene expression noise.
Noise propagation through a cascading circuit has been considered without resource competition. It has been noted that the noise from upstream genes can be transmitted downstream. However, resource competition’s effects on this cascading noise have yet to be studied. When studied, it is found that resource competition can induce stochastic state
switching and perturb noise propagation. Orthogonal resources can remove some of the resource competitive behavior and allow for a system with less noise.
ContributorsGoetz, Hanah Elizabeth (Author) / Tian, Xiaojun (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Xiao (Committee member) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
Maternal morbidity and mortality rates in the United States continues to rise, with a wide range of contributing factors such as mental illness, cardiovascular disease and systemic inequality. This metastudy provides a holistic view of the research that has been published on the issue of U.S. maternal healthcare from 2000-2022. The patterns of publications on specific topics over time can tell us what is perceived as a current major cause by physicians, public leaders, researchers, and the public. A deeper dive into systemic inequality as a cause of maternal morbidity and mortality highlights it as a major contributor to these high rates, but that progress is slowly being made through the implementation of detection and prevention tactics, as well as accessible prenatal programs and care.
ContributorsRettig, Lelia (Author) / Amdam, Gro (Thesis director) / Bang, Christofer (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Human Evolution & Social Change (Contributor) / School of Life Sciences (Contributor)
Created2023-05
Description
The research on the topology and dynamics of complex networks is one of the most focused area in complex system science. The goals are to structure our understanding of the real-world social, economical, technological, and biological systems in the aspect of networks consisting a large number of interacting units and to develop corresponding detection, prediction, and control strategies. In this highly interdisciplinary field, my research mainly concentrates on universal estimation schemes, physical controllability, as well as mechanisms behind extreme events and cascading failure for complex networked systems.
Revealing the underlying structure and dynamics of complex networked systems from observed data without of any specific prior information is of fundamental importance to science, engineering, and society. We articulate a Markov network based model, the sparse dynamical Boltzmann machine (SDBM), as a universal network structural estimator and dynamics approximator based on techniques including compressive sensing and K-means algorithm. It recovers the network structure of the original system and predicts its short-term or even long-term dynamical behavior for a large variety of representative dynamical processes on model and real-world complex networks.
One of the most challenging problems in complex dynamical systems is to control complex networks.
Upon finding that the energy required to approach a target state with reasonable precision
is often unbearably large, and the energy of controlling a set of networks with similar structural properties follows a fat-tail distribution, we identify fundamental structural ``short boards'' that play a dominant role in the enormous energy and offer a theoretical interpretation for the fat-tail distribution and simple strategies to significantly reduce the energy.
Extreme events and cascading failure, a type of collective behavior in complex networked systems, often have catastrophic consequences. Utilizing transportation and evolutionary game dynamics as prototypical
settings, we investigate the emergence of extreme events in simplex complex networks, mobile ad-hoc networks and multi-layer interdependent networks. A striking resonance-like phenomenon and the emergence of global-scale cascading breakdown are discovered. We derive analytic theories to understand the mechanism of
control at a quantitative level and articulate cost-effective control schemes to significantly suppress extreme events and the cascading process.
Revealing the underlying structure and dynamics of complex networked systems from observed data without of any specific prior information is of fundamental importance to science, engineering, and society. We articulate a Markov network based model, the sparse dynamical Boltzmann machine (SDBM), as a universal network structural estimator and dynamics approximator based on techniques including compressive sensing and K-means algorithm. It recovers the network structure of the original system and predicts its short-term or even long-term dynamical behavior for a large variety of representative dynamical processes on model and real-world complex networks.
One of the most challenging problems in complex dynamical systems is to control complex networks.
Upon finding that the energy required to approach a target state with reasonable precision
is often unbearably large, and the energy of controlling a set of networks with similar structural properties follows a fat-tail distribution, we identify fundamental structural ``short boards'' that play a dominant role in the enormous energy and offer a theoretical interpretation for the fat-tail distribution and simple strategies to significantly reduce the energy.
Extreme events and cascading failure, a type of collective behavior in complex networked systems, often have catastrophic consequences. Utilizing transportation and evolutionary game dynamics as prototypical
settings, we investigate the emergence of extreme events in simplex complex networks, mobile ad-hoc networks and multi-layer interdependent networks. A striking resonance-like phenomenon and the emergence of global-scale cascading breakdown are discovered. We derive analytic theories to understand the mechanism of
control at a quantitative level and articulate cost-effective control schemes to significantly suppress extreme events and the cascading process.
ContributorsChen, Yuzhong (Author) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Thesis advisor) / Spanias, Andreas (Committee member) / Tepedelenlioğlu, Cihan (Committee member) / Ying, Lei (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
The purpose of information source detection problem (or called rumor source detection) is to identify the source of information diffusion in networks based on available observations like the states of the nodes and the timestamps at which nodes adopted the information (or called infected). The solution of the problem can be used to answer a wide range of important questions in epidemiology, computer network security, etc. This dissertation studies the fundamental theory and the design of efficient and robust algorithms for the information source detection problem.
For tree networks, the maximum a posterior (MAP) estimator of the information source is derived under the independent cascades (IC) model with a complete snapshot and a Short-Fat Tree (SFT) algorithm is proposed for general networks based on the MAP estimator. Furthermore, the following possibility and impossibility results are established on the Erdos-Renyi (ER) random graph: $(i)$ when the infection duration $<\frac{2}{3}t_u,$ SFT identifies the source with probability one asymptotically, where $t_u=\left\lceil\frac{\log n}{\log \mu}\right\rceil+2$ and $\mu$ is the average node degree, $(ii)$ when the infection duration $>t_u,$ the probability of identifying the source approaches zero asymptotically under any algorithm; and $(iii)$ when infection duration $
In practice, other than the nodes' states, side information like partial timestamps may also be available. Such information provides important insights of the diffusion process. To utilize the partial timestamps, the information source detection problem is formulated as a ranking problem on graphs and two ranking algorithms, cost-based ranking (CR) and tree-based ranking (TR), are proposed. Extensive experimental evaluations of synthetic data of different diffusion models and real world data demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of CR and TR compared with existing algorithms.
For tree networks, the maximum a posterior (MAP) estimator of the information source is derived under the independent cascades (IC) model with a complete snapshot and a Short-Fat Tree (SFT) algorithm is proposed for general networks based on the MAP estimator. Furthermore, the following possibility and impossibility results are established on the Erdos-Renyi (ER) random graph: $(i)$ when the infection duration $<\frac{2}{3}t_u,$ SFT identifies the source with probability one asymptotically, where $t_u=\left\lceil\frac{\log n}{\log \mu}\right\rceil+2$ and $\mu$ is the average node degree, $(ii)$ when the infection duration $>t_u,$ the probability of identifying the source approaches zero asymptotically under any algorithm; and $(iii)$ when infection duration $
In practice, other than the nodes' states, side information like partial timestamps may also be available. Such information provides important insights of the diffusion process. To utilize the partial timestamps, the information source detection problem is formulated as a ranking problem on graphs and two ranking algorithms, cost-based ranking (CR) and tree-based ranking (TR), are proposed. Extensive experimental evaluations of synthetic data of different diffusion models and real world data demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of CR and TR compared with existing algorithms.
ContributorsZhu, Kai (Author) / Ying, Lei (Thesis advisor) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Committee member) / Liu, Huan (Committee member) / Shakarian, Paulo (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
Conductance fluctuations associated with quantum transport through quantumdot systems are currently understood to depend on the nature of the corresponding classical dynamics, i.e., integrable or chaotic. There are a couple of interesting phenomena about conductance fluctuation and quantum tunneling related to geometrical shapes of graphene systems. Firstly, in graphene quantum-dot systems, when a magnetic field is present, as the Fermi energy or the magnetic flux is varied, both regular oscillations and random fluctuations in the conductance can occur, with alternating transitions between the two. Secondly, a scheme based on geometrical rotation of rectangular devices to effectively modulate the conductance fluctuations is presented. Thirdly, when graphene is placed on a substrate of heavy metal, Rashba spin-orbit interaction of substantial strength can occur. In an open system such as a quantum dot, the interaction can induce spin polarization. Finally, a problem using graphene systems with electron-electron interactions described by the Hubbard Hamiltonian in the setting of resonant tunneling is investigated.
Another interesting problem in quantum transport is the effect of disorder or random impurities since it is inevitable in real experiments. At first, for a twodimensional Dirac ring, as the disorder density is systematically increased, the persistent current decreases slowly initially and then plateaus at a finite nonzero value, indicating remarkable robustness of the persistent currents, which cannot be discovered in normal metal and semiconductor rings. In addition, in a Floquet system with a ribbon structure, the conductance can be remarkably enhanced by onsite disorder.
Recent years have witnessed significant interest in nanoscale physical systems, such as semiconductor supperlattices and optomechanical systems, which can exhibit distinct collective dynamical behaviors. Firstly, a system of two optically coupled optomechanical cavities is considered and the phenomenon of synchronization transition associated with quantum entanglement transition is discovered. Another useful issue is nonlinear dynamics in semiconductor superlattices caused by its key potential application lies in generating radiation sources, amplifiers and detectors in the spectral range of terahertz. In such a system, transition to multistability, i.e., the emergence of multistability with chaos as a system parameter passes through a critical point, is found and argued to be abrupt.
Another interesting problem in quantum transport is the effect of disorder or random impurities since it is inevitable in real experiments. At first, for a twodimensional Dirac ring, as the disorder density is systematically increased, the persistent current decreases slowly initially and then plateaus at a finite nonzero value, indicating remarkable robustness of the persistent currents, which cannot be discovered in normal metal and semiconductor rings. In addition, in a Floquet system with a ribbon structure, the conductance can be remarkably enhanced by onsite disorder.
Recent years have witnessed significant interest in nanoscale physical systems, such as semiconductor supperlattices and optomechanical systems, which can exhibit distinct collective dynamical behaviors. Firstly, a system of two optically coupled optomechanical cavities is considered and the phenomenon of synchronization transition associated with quantum entanglement transition is discovered. Another useful issue is nonlinear dynamics in semiconductor superlattices caused by its key potential application lies in generating radiation sources, amplifiers and detectors in the spectral range of terahertz. In such a system, transition to multistability, i.e., the emergence of multistability with chaos as a system parameter passes through a critical point, is found and argued to be abrupt.
ContributorsYing, Lei (Author) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Thesis advisor) / Vasileska, Dragica (Committee member) / Chen, Tingyong (Committee member) / Yao, Yu (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
Neurotoxicology has historically focused on substances that directly damage nervous tissue. Behavioral assays that test sensory, cognitive, or motor function are used to identify neurotoxins. But, the outcomes of behavioral assays may also be influenced by the physiological status of non-neural organs. Therefore, toxin induced damage to non- neural organs may contribute to behavioral modifications. Heavy metals and metalloids are persistent environmental pollutants and induce neurological deficits in multiple organisms. However, in the honey bee, an important insect pollinator, little is known about the sublethal effects of heavy metal and metalloid toxicity though they are exposed to these toxins chronically in some environments. In this thesis I investigate the sublethal effects of copper, cadmium, lead, and selenium on honey bee behavior and identify potential mechanisms mediating the behavioral modifications. I explore the honey bees’ ability to detect these toxins, their sensory perception of sucrose following toxin exposure, and the effects of toxin ingestion on performance during learning and memory tasks. The effects depend on the specific metal. Honey bees detect and reject copper containing solutions, but readily consume those contaminated with cadmium and lead. And, exposure to lead may alter the sensory perception of sucrose. I also demonstrate that acute selenium exposure impairs learning and long-term memory formation or recall. Localizing selenium accumulation following chronic exposure reveals that damage to non-neural organs and peripheral sensory structures is more likely than direct neurotoxicity. Probable mechanisms include gut microbiome alterations, gut lining
damage, immune system activation, impaired protein function, or aberrant DNA methylation. In the case of DNA methylation, I demonstrate that inhibiting DNA methylation dynamics can impair long-term memory formation, while the nurse-to- forager transition is not altered. These experiments could serve as the bases for and reference groups of studies testing the effects of metal or metalloid toxicity on DNA methylation. Each potential mechanism provides an avenue for investigating how neural function is influenced by the physiological status of non-neural organs. And from an ecological perspective, my results highlight the need for environmental policy to consider sublethal effects in determining safe environmental toxin loads for honey bees and other insect pollinators.
damage, immune system activation, impaired protein function, or aberrant DNA methylation. In the case of DNA methylation, I demonstrate that inhibiting DNA methylation dynamics can impair long-term memory formation, while the nurse-to- forager transition is not altered. These experiments could serve as the bases for and reference groups of studies testing the effects of metal or metalloid toxicity on DNA methylation. Each potential mechanism provides an avenue for investigating how neural function is influenced by the physiological status of non-neural organs. And from an ecological perspective, my results highlight the need for environmental policy to consider sublethal effects in determining safe environmental toxin loads for honey bees and other insect pollinators.
ContributorsBurden, Christina Marie (Author) / Amdam, Gro (Thesis advisor) / Smith, Brian H. (Thesis advisor) / Gallitano-Mendel, Amelia (Committee member) / Harrison, Jon (Committee member) / Vu, Eric (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
This dissertation treats a number of related problems in control and data analysis of complex networks.
First, in existing linear controllability frameworks, the ability to steer a network from any initiate state toward any desired state is measured by the minimum number of driver nodes. However, the associated optimal control energy can become unbearably large, preventing actual control from being realized. Here I develop a physical controllability framework and propose strategies to turn physically uncontrollable networks into physically controllable ones. I also discover that although full control can be guaranteed by the prevailing structural controllability theory, it is necessary to balance the number of driver nodes and control energy to achieve actual control, and my work provides a framework to address this issue.
Second, in spite of recent progresses in linear controllability, controlling nonlinear dynamical networks remains an outstanding problem. Here I develop an experimentally feasible control framework for nonlinear dynamical networks that exhibit multistability. The control objective is to apply parameter perturbation to drive the system from one attractor to another. I introduce the concept of attractor network and formulate a quantifiable framework: a network is more controllable if the attractor network is more strongly connected. I test the control framework using examples from various models and demonstrate the beneficial role of noise in facilitating control.
Third, I analyze large data sets from a diverse online social networking (OSN) systems and find that the growth dynamics of meme popularity exhibit characteristically different behaviors: linear, “S”-shape and exponential growths. Inspired by cell population growth model in microbial ecology, I construct a base growth model for meme popularity in OSNs. Then I incorporate human interest dynamics into the base model and propose a hybrid model which contains a small number of free parameters. The model successfully predicts the various distinct meme growth dynamics.
At last, I propose a nonlinear dynamics model to characterize the controlling of WNT signaling pathway in the differentiation of neural progenitor cells. The model is able to predict experiment results and shed light on the understanding of WNT regulation mechanisms.
First, in existing linear controllability frameworks, the ability to steer a network from any initiate state toward any desired state is measured by the minimum number of driver nodes. However, the associated optimal control energy can become unbearably large, preventing actual control from being realized. Here I develop a physical controllability framework and propose strategies to turn physically uncontrollable networks into physically controllable ones. I also discover that although full control can be guaranteed by the prevailing structural controllability theory, it is necessary to balance the number of driver nodes and control energy to achieve actual control, and my work provides a framework to address this issue.
Second, in spite of recent progresses in linear controllability, controlling nonlinear dynamical networks remains an outstanding problem. Here I develop an experimentally feasible control framework for nonlinear dynamical networks that exhibit multistability. The control objective is to apply parameter perturbation to drive the system from one attractor to another. I introduce the concept of attractor network and formulate a quantifiable framework: a network is more controllable if the attractor network is more strongly connected. I test the control framework using examples from various models and demonstrate the beneficial role of noise in facilitating control.
Third, I analyze large data sets from a diverse online social networking (OSN) systems and find that the growth dynamics of meme popularity exhibit characteristically different behaviors: linear, “S”-shape and exponential growths. Inspired by cell population growth model in microbial ecology, I construct a base growth model for meme popularity in OSNs. Then I incorporate human interest dynamics into the base model and propose a hybrid model which contains a small number of free parameters. The model successfully predicts the various distinct meme growth dynamics.
At last, I propose a nonlinear dynamics model to characterize the controlling of WNT signaling pathway in the differentiation of neural progenitor cells. The model is able to predict experiment results and shed light on the understanding of WNT regulation mechanisms.
ContributorsWang, Lezhi (Author) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Thesis advisor) / Wang, Xiao (Thesis advisor) / Papandreoou-Suppappola, Antonia (Committee member) / Brafman, David (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
Description
Online social media is popular due to its real-time nature, extensive connectivity and a large user base. This motivates users to employ social media for seeking information by reaching out to their large number of social connections. Information seeking can manifest in the form of requests for personal and time-critical information or gathering perspectives on important issues. Social media platforms are not designed for resource seeking and experience large volumes of messages, leading to requests not being fulfilled satisfactorily. Designing frameworks to facilitate efficient information seeking in social media will help users to obtain appropriate assistance for their needs
and help platforms to increase user satisfaction.
Several challenges exist in the way of facilitating information seeking in social media. First, the characteristics affecting the user’s response time for a question are not known, making it hard to identify prompt responders. Second, the social context in which the user has asked the question has to be determined to find personalized responders. Third, users employ rhetorical requests, which are statements having the
syntax of questions, and systems assisting information seeking might be hindered from focusing on genuine questions. Fouth, social media advocates of political campaigns employ nuanced strategies to prevent users from obtaining balanced perspectives on
issues of public importance.
Sociological and linguistic studies on user behavior while making or responding to information seeking requests provides concepts drawing from which we can address these challenges. We propose methods to estimate the response time of the user for a given question to identify prompt responders. We compute the question specific social context an asker shares with his social connections to identify personalized responders. We draw from theories of political mobilization to model the behaviors arising from the strategies of people trying to skew perspectives. We identify rhetorical questions by modeling user motivations to post them.
and help platforms to increase user satisfaction.
Several challenges exist in the way of facilitating information seeking in social media. First, the characteristics affecting the user’s response time for a question are not known, making it hard to identify prompt responders. Second, the social context in which the user has asked the question has to be determined to find personalized responders. Third, users employ rhetorical requests, which are statements having the
syntax of questions, and systems assisting information seeking might be hindered from focusing on genuine questions. Fouth, social media advocates of political campaigns employ nuanced strategies to prevent users from obtaining balanced perspectives on
issues of public importance.
Sociological and linguistic studies on user behavior while making or responding to information seeking requests provides concepts drawing from which we can address these challenges. We propose methods to estimate the response time of the user for a given question to identify prompt responders. We compute the question specific social context an asker shares with his social connections to identify personalized responders. We draw from theories of political mobilization to model the behaviors arising from the strategies of people trying to skew perspectives. We identify rhetorical questions by modeling user motivations to post them.
ContributorsRanganath, Suhas (Author) / Liu, Huan (Thesis advisor) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Thesis advisor) / Tong, Hanghang (Committee member) / Vaculin, Roman (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
Description
Resilience is emerging as the preferred way to improve the protection of infrastructure systems beyond established risk management practices. Massive damages experienced during tragedies like Hurricane Katrina showed that risk analysis is incapable to prevent unforeseen infrastructure failures and shifted expert focus towards resilience to absorb and recover from adverse events. Recent, exponential growth in research is now producing consensus on how to think about infrastructure resilience centered on definitions and models from influential organizations like the US National Academy of Sciences. Despite widespread efforts, massive infrastructure failures in 2017 demonstrate that resilience is still not working, raising the question: Are the ways people think about resilience producing resilient infrastructure systems?
This dissertation argues that established thinking harbors misconceptions about infrastructure systems that diminish attempts to improve their resilience. Widespread efforts based on the current canon focus on improving data analytics, establishing resilience goals, reducing failure probabilities, and measuring cascading losses. Unfortunately, none of these pursuits change the resilience of an infrastructure system, because none of them result in knowledge about how data is used, goals are set, or failures occur. Through the examination of each misconception, this dissertation results in practical, new approaches for infrastructure systems to respond to unforeseen failures via sensing, adapting, and anticipating processes. Specifically, infrastructure resilience is improved by sensing when data analytics include the modeler-in-the-loop, adapting to stress contexts by switching between multiple resilience strategies, and anticipating crisis coordination activities prior to experiencing a failure.
Overall, results demonstrate that current resilience thinking needs to change because it does not differentiate resilience from risk. The majority of research thinks resilience is a property that a system has, like a noun, when resilience is really an action a system does, like a verb. Treating resilience as a noun only strengthens commitment to risk-based practices that do not protect infrastructure from unknown events. Instead, switching to thinking about resilience as a verb overcomes prevalent misconceptions about data, goals, systems, and failures, and may bring a necessary, radical change to the way infrastructure is protected in the future.
This dissertation argues that established thinking harbors misconceptions about infrastructure systems that diminish attempts to improve their resilience. Widespread efforts based on the current canon focus on improving data analytics, establishing resilience goals, reducing failure probabilities, and measuring cascading losses. Unfortunately, none of these pursuits change the resilience of an infrastructure system, because none of them result in knowledge about how data is used, goals are set, or failures occur. Through the examination of each misconception, this dissertation results in practical, new approaches for infrastructure systems to respond to unforeseen failures via sensing, adapting, and anticipating processes. Specifically, infrastructure resilience is improved by sensing when data analytics include the modeler-in-the-loop, adapting to stress contexts by switching between multiple resilience strategies, and anticipating crisis coordination activities prior to experiencing a failure.
Overall, results demonstrate that current resilience thinking needs to change because it does not differentiate resilience from risk. The majority of research thinks resilience is a property that a system has, like a noun, when resilience is really an action a system does, like a verb. Treating resilience as a noun only strengthens commitment to risk-based practices that do not protect infrastructure from unknown events. Instead, switching to thinking about resilience as a verb overcomes prevalent misconceptions about data, goals, systems, and failures, and may bring a necessary, radical change to the way infrastructure is protected in the future.
ContributorsEisenberg, Daniel Alexander (Author) / Seager, Thomas P. (Thesis advisor) / Park, Jeryang (Thesis advisor) / Alderson, David L. (Committee member) / Lai, Ying-Cheng (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018