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- All Subjects: Phylogeography
- Creators: Scotch, Matthew
Description
Influenza remains a constant concern for public health agencies across the nation and worldwide. Current methods of surveillance suffice but they fall short of their true potential. Incorporation of evolutionary data and analysis through studies such as phylogeography could reveal geographic sources of variation. Identification and targeting of such sources for public health initiatives could yield increased effectiveness of influenza treatments. As it stands there is a lack of evolutionary data available for such use, particularly in the southwest. Our study focused on the sequencing and phylogeography of southwestern Influenza A samples from the Mayo Clinic. We fully sequenced two neuraminidase genes and combined them with archived sequence data from the Influenza Research Database. Using RAxML we identified the clade containing our sequences and performed a phylogeographic analysis using ZooPhy. The resultant data were analyzed using programs such as SPREAD and Tracer. Our results show that the southwest sequences emerged from California and the ancestral root of the clade came from New York. Our Bayesian maximum clade credibility (MCC) tree data and SPREAD analysis implicates California as a source of influenza variation in the United States. This study demonstrates that phylogeography is a viable tool to incorporate evolutionary data into existing forms of influenza surveillance.
ContributorsTurnock, Adam Ryan (Author) / Scotch, Matthew (Thesis director) / Halden, Rolf (Committee member) / Pycke, Benny (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Life Sciences (Contributor)
Created2013-05
Description
Accounting for over a third of all emerging and re-emerging infections, viruses represent a major public health threat, which researchers and epidemiologists across the world have been attempting to contain for decades. Recently, genomics-based surveillance of viruses through methods such as virus phylogeography has grown into a popular tool for infectious disease monitoring. When conducting such surveillance studies, researchers need to manually retrieve geographic metadata denoting the location of infected host (LOIH) of viruses from public sequence databases such as GenBank and any publication related to their study. The large volume of semi-structured and unstructured information that must be reviewed for this task, along with the ambiguity of geographic locations, make it especially challenging. Prior work has demonstrated that the majority of GenBank records lack sufficient geographic granularity concerning the LOIH of viruses. As a result, reviewing full-text publications is often necessary for conducting in-depth analysis of virus migration, which can be a very time-consuming process. Moreover, integrating geographic metadata pertaining to the LOIH of viruses from different sources, including different fields in GenBank records as well as full-text publications, and normalizing the integrated metadata to unique identifiers for subsequent analysis, are also challenging tasks, often requiring expert domain knowledge. Therefore, automated information extraction (IE) methods could help significantly accelerate this process, positively impacting public health research. However, very few research studies have attempted the use of IE methods in this domain.
This work explores the use of novel knowledge-driven geographic IE heuristics for extracting, integrating, and normalizing the LOIH of viruses based on information available in GenBank and related publications; when evaluated on manually annotated test sets, the methods were found to have a high accuracy and shown to be adequate for addressing this challenging problem. It also presents GeoBoost, a pioneering software system for georeferencing GenBank records, as well as a large-scale database containing over two million virus GenBank records georeferenced using the algorithms introduced here. The methods, database and software developed here could help support diverse public health domains focusing on sequence-informed virus surveillance, thereby enhancing existing platforms for controlling and containing disease outbreaks.
This work explores the use of novel knowledge-driven geographic IE heuristics for extracting, integrating, and normalizing the LOIH of viruses based on information available in GenBank and related publications; when evaluated on manually annotated test sets, the methods were found to have a high accuracy and shown to be adequate for addressing this challenging problem. It also presents GeoBoost, a pioneering software system for georeferencing GenBank records, as well as a large-scale database containing over two million virus GenBank records georeferenced using the algorithms introduced here. The methods, database and software developed here could help support diverse public health domains focusing on sequence-informed virus surveillance, thereby enhancing existing platforms for controlling and containing disease outbreaks.
ContributorsTahsin, Tasnia (Author) / Gonzalez, Graciela (Thesis advisor) / Scotch, Matthew (Thesis advisor) / Runger, George C. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
The severity of the health and economic devastation resulting from outbreaks of viruses such as Zika, Ebola, SARS-CoV-1 and, most recently, SARS-CoV-2 underscores the need for tools which aim to delineate critical disease dynamical features underlying observed patterns of infectious disease spread. The growing emphasis placed on genome sequencing to support pathogen outbreak response highlights the need to adapt traditional epidemiological metrics to leverage this increasingly rich data stream. Further, the rapidity with which pathogen molecular sequence data is now generated, coupled with advent of sophisticated, Bayesian statistical techniques for pathogen molecular sequence analysis, creates an unprecedented opportunity to disrupt and innovate public health surveillance using 21st century tools. Bayesian phylogeography is a modeling framework which assumes discrete traits -- such as age, location of sampling, or species -- evolve according to a continuous-time Markov chain process along a phylogenetic tree topology which is inferred from molecular sequence data.
While myriad studies exist which reconstruct patterns of discrete trait evolution along an inferred phylogeny, attempts to translate the results of phyloegographic analyses into actionable metrics that can be used by public health agencies to direct the development of interventions aimed at reducing pathogen spread are conspicuously absent from the literature. In this dissertation, I focus on developing an intuitive metric, the phylogenetic risk ratio (PRR), which I use to translate the results of Bayesian phylogeographic modeling studies into a form actionable by public health agencies. I apply the PRR to two case studies: i) age-associated diffusion of influenza A/H3N2 during the 2016-17 US epidemic and ii) host associated diffusion of West Nile virus in the US. I discuss the limitations of this (and Bayesian phylogeographic) approaches when studying non-geographic traits for which limited metadata is available in public molecular sequence databases and statistically principled solutions to the missing metadata problem in the phylogenetic context. Then, I perform a simulation study to evaluate the statistical performance of the missing metadata solution. Finally, I provide a solution for researchers whom are interested in using the PRR and phylogenetic UTMs in their own genomic epidemiological studies yet are deterred by the idiosyncratic, error-prone processes required to implement these methods using popular Bayesian phylogenetic inference software packages. My solution, Build-A-BEAST, is a publicly available, object-oriented system written in python which aims to reduce the complexity and idiosyncrasy of creating XML files necessary to perform the aforementioned analyses. This dissertation extends the conceptual framework of Bayesian phylogeographic methods, develops a method to translates the output of phylogenetic models into an actionable form, evaluates the use of priors for missing metadata, and, finally, provides a solution which eases the implementation of these methods. In doing so, I lay the foundation for future work in disseminating and implementing Bayesian phylogeographic methods for routine public health surveillance.
While myriad studies exist which reconstruct patterns of discrete trait evolution along an inferred phylogeny, attempts to translate the results of phyloegographic analyses into actionable metrics that can be used by public health agencies to direct the development of interventions aimed at reducing pathogen spread are conspicuously absent from the literature. In this dissertation, I focus on developing an intuitive metric, the phylogenetic risk ratio (PRR), which I use to translate the results of Bayesian phylogeographic modeling studies into a form actionable by public health agencies. I apply the PRR to two case studies: i) age-associated diffusion of influenza A/H3N2 during the 2016-17 US epidemic and ii) host associated diffusion of West Nile virus in the US. I discuss the limitations of this (and Bayesian phylogeographic) approaches when studying non-geographic traits for which limited metadata is available in public molecular sequence databases and statistically principled solutions to the missing metadata problem in the phylogenetic context. Then, I perform a simulation study to evaluate the statistical performance of the missing metadata solution. Finally, I provide a solution for researchers whom are interested in using the PRR and phylogenetic UTMs in their own genomic epidemiological studies yet are deterred by the idiosyncratic, error-prone processes required to implement these methods using popular Bayesian phylogenetic inference software packages. My solution, Build-A-BEAST, is a publicly available, object-oriented system written in python which aims to reduce the complexity and idiosyncrasy of creating XML files necessary to perform the aforementioned analyses. This dissertation extends the conceptual framework of Bayesian phylogeographic methods, develops a method to translates the output of phylogenetic models into an actionable form, evaluates the use of priors for missing metadata, and, finally, provides a solution which eases the implementation of these methods. In doing so, I lay the foundation for future work in disseminating and implementing Bayesian phylogeographic methods for routine public health surveillance.
ContributorsVaiente, Matteo (Author) / Scotch, Matthew (Thesis advisor) / Mubayi, Anuj (Committee member) / Liu, Li (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020