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Climate is a critical determinant of agricultural productivity, and the ability to accurately predict this productivity is necessary to provide guidance regarding food security and agricultural management. Previous predictions vary in approach due to the myriad of factors influencing agricultural productivity but generally suggest long-term declines in productivity and agricultural land suitability under climate change. In this paper, I relate predicted climate changes to yield for three major United States crops, namely corn, soybeans, and wheat, using a moderate emissions scenario. By adopting data-driven machine learning approaches, I used the following machine learning methods: random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and artificial neural networks (ANN) to perform comparative analysis and ensemble methodology. I omitted the western US due to the region's susceptibility to water stress and the prevalence of artificial irrigation as a means to compensate for dry conditions. By considering only climate, the model's results suggest an ensemble mean decline in crop yield of 23.4\% for corn, 19.1\% for soybeans, and 7.8\% for wheat between the years of 2017 and 2100. These results emphasize potential negative impacts of climate change on the current agricultural industry as a result of shifting bio-climactic conditions.
Vertebrate studies suggest that surviving anoxia requires the maintenance of ATP despite the loss of aerobic metabolism in a manner that prevents a disruption of ionic homeostasis. Instead, the abilities to maintain a hypometabolic state with low ATP and tolerate large disturbances in ionic status appear to contribute to the higher anoxia tolerance of adults. Furthermore, metabolomics experiments support this notion by showing that larvae had higher metabolic rates during the initial 30 min of anoxia and that protective metabolites were upregulated in adults but not larvae. Lastly, I investigated the genetic variation in anoxia tolerance using a genome wide association study (GWAS) to identify target genes associated with anoxia tolerance. Results from the GWAS also suggest mechanisms related to protection from ionic and oxidative stress, in addition to a protective role for immune function.