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The purpose of this paper serves to act as a continuation of a prior study conducted by Gaurav Jetley and Xinyu Ji explaining the decrease in merger arbitrage spread returns for the time period 1990-2007. Based on further research and analysis, it was concluded the merger arbitrage spread has continued

The purpose of this paper serves to act as a continuation of a prior study conducted by Gaurav Jetley and Xinyu Ji explaining the decrease in merger arbitrage spread returns for the time period 1990-2007. Based on further research and analysis, it was concluded the merger arbitrage spread has continued to decline for the years 2008-2012. Part of the decline may be explained by a reduction in trading costs associated to merger arbitrage, capacity constraints (given an increase in devoted capital to the merger arbitrage investment strategy with a limited number of deals), as well as decreased risks. The narrowing arbitrage spread can also be attributed to transaction characteristics and their effect on deals' spreads. The findings conclude that a portion of the decline is likely to be permanent, and that investors seeking to invest using the merger arbitrage strategy should consider spread returns from the most recent years and over a shorter time period.
ContributorsKrause, Chase James (Author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Aragon, George (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / Department of Finance (Contributor) / W. P. Carey School of Business (Contributor)
Created2014-12
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Description
This paper classifies private equity groups (PEGs) seeking to engage in public to private transactions (PTPs) and determines (primarily through an examination of the implied merger arbitrage spread), whether certain reputational factors associated with the private equity industry affect a firm's ability to acquire a publicly-traded company. We use a

This paper classifies private equity groups (PEGs) seeking to engage in public to private transactions (PTPs) and determines (primarily through an examination of the implied merger arbitrage spread), whether certain reputational factors associated with the private equity industry affect a firm's ability to acquire a publicly-traded company. We use a sample of 1,027 US-based take private transactions announced between January 5, 2009 and August 2, 2018, where 333 transactions consist of private-equity led take-privates, to investigate how merger arbitrage spreads, offer premiums, and deal closure are impacted based on PEG- and PTP-specific input variables. We find that the merger arbitrage spread of PEG-backed deals are 2-3% wider than strategic deals, hostile deals have a greater merger arbitrage spread, larger bid premiums widen spreads and markets accurately identify deals that will close through a narrower spread. PEG deals offer lower premiums, as well as friendly deals and larger deals. Offer premiums are 8.2% larger among deals that eventually consummate. In a logistic regression, we identified that PEG deals are less likely to close than strategic deals, however friendly deals are much more likely to close and Mega Funds are more likely to consummate deals among their PEG peers. These findings support previous research on PTP deals. The insignificance of PEG-classified variables on arbitrage spreads and premiums suggest that investors do not differentiate PEG-backed deals by PEG due to most PEGs equal ability to raise competitive financing. However, Mega Funds are more likely to close deals, and thus, we identify that merger arbitrage spreads should be narrower among this PEG classification.
ContributorsSliwicki, Austin James (Co-author) / Schifman, Eli (Co-author) / Simonson, Mark (Thesis director) / Hertzel, Michael (Committee member) / Department of Economics (Contributor) / School of Accountancy (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2019-05