Matching Items (29)
Description
Infrastructure systems are facing non-stationary challenges that stem from climate change and the increasingly complex interactions between the social, ecological, and technological systems (SETSs). It is crucial for transportation infrastructures—which enable residents to access opportunities and foster prosperity, quality of life, and social connections—to be resilient under these non-stationary challenges. Vulnerability assessment (VA) examines the potential consequences a system is likely to experience due to exposure to perturbation or stressors and lack of the capacity to adapt. Post-fire debris flow and heat represent particularly challenging problems for infrastructure and users in the arid U.S. West. Post-fire debris flow, which is manifested with heat and drought, produces powerful runoff threatening physical transportation infrastructures. And heat waves have devastating health effects on transportation infrastructure users, including increased mortality rates. VA anticipates the potential consequences of these perturbations and enables infrastructure stakeholders to improve the system's resilience. The current transportation climate VA—which only considers a single direct climate stressor on the infrastructure—falls short of addressing the wildfire and heat challenges. This work proposes advanced transportation climate VA methods to address the complex and multiple climate stressors and the vulnerability of infrastructure users. Two specific regions were chosen to carry out the progressive transportation climate VA: 1) the California transportation networks’ vulnerability to post-fire debris flows, and 2) the transportation infrastructure user’s vulnerability to heat exposure in Phoenix.
ContributorsLi, Rui (Author) / Chester, Mikhail V. (Thesis advisor) / Middel, Ariane (Committee member) / Hondula, David M. (Committee member) / Pendyala, Ram (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
The last two decades have seen growing awareness of and emphasis on the replication of empirical findings. While this is a large literature, very little of it has focused on or considered the interaction of replication and psychometrics. This is unfortunate given that sound measurement is crucial when considering the complex constructs studied in psychological research. If the psychometric properties of a scale fail to replicate, then inferences made using scores from that scale are questionable at best. In this dissertation, I begin to address replication issues in factor analysis – a widely used psychometric method in psychology. After noticing inconsistencies across results for studies that factor analyzed the same scale, I sought to gain a better understanding of what replication means in factor analysis as well as address issues that affect the replicability of factor analytic models. With this work, I take steps toward integrating factor analysis into the broader replication discussion. Ultimately, the goal of this dissertation was to highlight the importance of psychometric replication and bring attention to its role in fostering a more replicable scientific literature.
ContributorsManapat, Patrick D. (Author) / Edwards, Michael C. (Thesis advisor) / Anderson, Samantha F. (Thesis advisor) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / Levy, Roy (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
The primary objective of this dissertation is to advance the existing empirical literature on the relationship between transportation and quality of life, with a specific focus on wellbeing indicators and their applicability in the transportation sector. To achieve this, the dissertation is structured around four primary areas of inquiry. Firstly, it introduces a subjective wellbeing scoring method that generates episode-level wellbeing scores, which can be aggregated to produce daily person-level wellbeing scores. This method can be utilized as a post-processor of activity-based travel demand model outputs to assess equity implications in various planning scenarios. Secondly, the dissertation examines the intricate relationships between mobility poverty, time poverty, and subjective wellbeing. It compares the rates of time poverty and zero-trip making among different socio-demographic groups and evaluates their alignment with subjective wellbeing. Thirdly, this research investigates the association between automobile use and satisfaction with daily travel routines (thus, wellbeing). This analysis aims to provide an understanding of why automobile use remains the primary mode of transportation, despite attempts to shift towards alternative modes of transportation. The fourth area of investigation focuses on the wellbeing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, the chapter examines the resurgence in travel and discretionary out-of-home activities, as well as the slow return of workers to workplaces by using the subjective wellbeing indicator and time poverty. Additionally, the chapter identifies groups that were disproportionately impacted and provides strategies to mitigate adverse consequences for vulnerable socio-economic and demographic groups in future disruptions. Overall, this dissertation contributes to the literature on transportation and quality of life by introducing a reliable subjective wellbeing scoring method that can be used to evaluate the quality of life implications of transportation systems. It also offers practical applications of wellbeing indicators in identifying differences in wellbeing across the population and provides opportunities for targeted interventions and the development of transportation policies to address equity and sustainability issues. Furthermore, to demonstrate the practicality of the generated knowledge in this dissertation, a web-based wellbeing platform is developed to track changes in the wellbeing of individuals that arise from their daily activity and travel patterns.
ContributorsBatur, Irfan (Author) / Pendyala, Ram M. (Thesis advisor) / Chester, Mikhail V. (Committee member) / Polzin, Steven E. (Committee member) / Zhou, Xuesong S. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
This project studied a four-variable single mediator model, a single mediator model: X (independent variable) to M (mediator) to Y (dependent variable), and a confounder (U) that influences M and Y. Confounding represents a threat to the causal interpretation in mediation analysis. For instance, if X represents random assignment to control and treatment conditions, the effect of X on M and the effect of X on Y have a causal interpretation under certain reasonable assumptions. However, the randomization of X does not allow for a causal interpretation of the M to Y effect unless certain confounding assumptions are satisfied. The aim of this project was to develop a significance test and an effect size comparison for two sensitivity to confounding analyses methods: Left Out Variables Error (L.O.V.E.) and the correlated residuals method. Further, the project assessed the accuracy of the methods for identifying confounding bias by simulating data with and without confounding bias.
ContributorsAlvarez Bartolo, Diana (Author) / Mackinnon, David P. (Thesis advisor) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / McNeish, Daniel (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
To reduce the environmental burden of transport, previous studies have resorted on solutions that accentuate towards techno-economical pathways. However, there is growing evidence that transport behaviors, lifestyle choices, and the role of individuals' attitudes/perceptions are considered influential factors in shaping households’ engagement with sustainable technologies in the face of environmental crises. The objective of this dissertation is to develop multidimensional econometric model systems to explore complex relationships that can help us understand travel behaviors' implications for transport and household energy use. To this end, the second chapter of this dissertation utilizes the latent segmentation approach to quantify and unravel the relationship between attitudes and behaviors while recognizing the presence of unobserved heterogeneity in the population. It was found that two-thirds of the population fall in the causal structure where behavioral experiences are shaping attitudes, while for one-third attitudes are shaping behaviors. The findings have implications on the energy-behavior modeling paradigm and forecasting household energy use. Building on chapter two, the third chapter develops an integrated modeling framework to explore the factors that influence the adoption of on-demand mobility services and electric vehicle ownership while placing special emphasis on attitudes/perceptions. Results indicated that attitudes and values significantly affect the use of on-demand transportation services and electric vehicle ownership, suggesting that information campaigns and free trials/demonstrations would help advance towards the sustainable transportation future and decarbonize the transport sector. The integrated modeling framework is enhanced, in chapter four, to explore the interrelationship between transport and residential energy consumption. The findings indicated the existence of small but significant net complimentary relationships between transport and residential energy consumption. Additionally, the modeling framework enabled the comparison of energy consumption patterns across market segments. The resulting integrated transport and residential energy consumption model system is utilized, in chapter fifth, to shed light on the overall household energy footprint implications of shifting vehicle/fuel type choices. Results indicated that electric vehicles are driven as much as gasoline vehicles are. Interestingly, while an increase in residential energy consumption was observed with the wide-scale adoption of electric vehicles, the total household energy use decreased, indicating benefits associated with transportation electrification.
ContributorsSharda, Shivam (Author) / Pendyala, Ram M. (Thesis advisor) / Khoeini, Sara (Committee member) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / Chester, Mikhail V. (Committee member) / Garikapati, Venu M. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the fault lines in society. Whether it be remote work, remote learning, online shopping, grocery and meal deliveries, or medical care, disparities and inequities among socio-economic and demographic groups leave some segments of society more vulnerable and less adaptable. This thesis aims to identify vulnerable and less adaptable groups in the context of access to food. Using a comprehensive behavioral survey data set collected during the height of the pandemic in 2020, this thesis aims to provide insights on the groups that may have experienced food access vulnerability during the disruption when businesses and establishments were restricted, the risk of contagion was high, and accessing online platforms required technology-savviness and the ability to afford delivery charges. This thesis presents estimation results for a simultaneous equations model of six endogenous choice variables defined by a combination of two food types (groceries and meals) and three access modalities (in-person, online with in-person pickup, and online with delivery). The model estimation results show that attitudes and perceptions play a significant role in shaping pandemic-era access modalities. The model revealed that even after controlling for a host of attitudinal indicators, minorities, those having low household incomes, those living in low-density or rural locations, females, and those with lower educational attainment are particularly vulnerable to being left behind and experiencing challenges in accessing food during a severe and prolonged disruption. Social programs should aim to provide these vulnerable groups with tools and financial resources to leverage online activity engagement and access modalities. Policy recommendations to increase food access for the mostvulnerable in future disruption scenarios are explored.
ContributorsDirks, Abbie Clara (Author) / Pendyala, Ram M. (Thesis advisor) / Chester, Mikhail V. (Committee member) / Polzin, Steven E. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
The current dissertation combines the results of three recently published papers focused on impulsive personality traits, alcohol and cannabis co-use, and alcohol misuse. The first study used alcohol administration to test whether different impulsivity facets conferred risk for heightened alcohol craving through subjective alcohol response patterns. The second study built on this study by incorporating alcohol and cannabis co-use into the acquired preparedness model, using longitudinal data. This study tested whether generalized impulsivity and sensation seeking during late adolescence predisposed individuals to co-use alcohol and cannabis, and whether co-use was indirectly associated with alcohol problems ten years later through positive expectancies and heavy drinking. The third study tested whether impulsive traits moderated the day-level effect of alcohol and cannabis co-use (vs. alcohol-only) on within-person deviations in drinking quantity on drinking days. Through the combination of these three studies, this dissertation seeks to further advance the literature on multiplicative ways in which personality enacts risk for heavy drinking, alcohol and cannabis co-use, and alcohol problems.
ContributorsWaddell, Jack T. (Author) / Corbin, William R. (Thesis advisor) / Chassin, Laurie (Committee member) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / Meier, Madeline H. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2024
Description
Do individuals flexibly and adaptively calibrate their motivation, thoughts, feelings, and behaviors in response to changing ecological opportunities and threats? Using a longitudinal six-wave survey data set collected during the COVID-19 pandemic, the study addresses three research questions: are some psychological features or characteristics more or less likely to be calibrated in response to environmental change, are certain types of people more sensitive to these ecological changes, and do individuals become more sensitized or habituated to these changes over time? The results demonstrate that individuals can flexibly adjust their psychology directly relevant to managing COVID-19 infection: people were more strongly motivated to avoid disease and perceived that they were more vulnerable to COVID-19 infection during periods when the threat of COVID-19 infection was high. Political liberals were particularly sensitive to ecological infection changes in adjusting their disease avoidance motivation. Importantly, the study also found a significant quadratic effect of COVID-19 cases on disease avoidance motivation, perceived COVID vulnerability, and preventative behaviors. This indicates that the effect of COVID-19 cases was especially pronounced during the early phase of the pandemic when new cases were relatively low, but diminished as time passed and new cases increased. These findings highlight the adaptive nature of human behavior in response to changing environmental circumstances and underscore the importance of considering both individual and contextual factors in understanding psychological flexibility.
ContributorsKo, Ahra (Author) / Neuberg, Steven L. (Thesis advisor, Committee member) / Kenrick, Douglas T. (Committee member) / Varnum, Michael E.W. (Committee member) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Previous research has shown functional mixed-effects models and traditional mixed-effects models perform similarly when recovering mean and individual trajectories (Fine, Suk, & Grimm, 2019). However, Fine et al. (2019) showed traditional mixed-effects models were able to more accurately recover the underlying mean curves compared to functional mixed-effects models. That project generated data following a parametric structure. This paper extended previous work and aimed to compare nonlinear mixed-effects models and functional mixed-effects models on their ability to recover underlying trajectories which were generated from an inherently nonparametric process. This paper introduces readers to nonlinear mixed-effects models and functional mixed-effects models. A simulation study is then presented where the mean and random effects structure of the simulated data were generated using B-splines. The accuracy of recovered curves was examined under various conditions including sample size, number of time points per curve, and measurement design. Results showed the functional mixed-effects models recovered the underlying mean curve more accurately than the nonlinear mixed-effects models. In general, the functional mixed-effects models recovered the underlying individual curves more accurately than the nonlinear mixed-effects models. Progesterone cycle data from Brumback and Rice (1998) were then analyzed to demonstrate the utility of both models. Both models were shown to perform similarly when analyzing the progesterone data.
ContributorsFine, Kimberly L (Author) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Thesis advisor) / Edward, Mike (Committee member) / O'Rourke, Holly (Committee member) / McNeish, Dan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
Description
The goal of diagnostic assessment is to discriminate between groups. In many cases, a binary decision is made conditional on a cut score from a continuous scale. Psychometric methods can improve assessment by modeling a latent variable using item response theory (IRT), and IRT scores can subsequently be used to determine a cut score using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Psychometric methods provide reliable and interpretable scores, but the prediction of the diagnosis is not the primary product of the measurement process. In contrast, machine learning methods, such as regularization or binary recursive partitioning, can build a model from the assessment items to predict the probability of diagnosis. Machine learning predicts the diagnosis directly, but does not provide an inferential framework to explain why item responses are related to the diagnosis. It remains unclear whether psychometric and machine learning methods have comparable accuracy or if one method is preferable in some situations. In this study, Monte Carlo simulation methods were used to compare psychometric and machine learning methods on diagnostic classification accuracy. Results suggest that classification accuracy of psychometric models depends on the diagnostic-test correlation and prevalence of diagnosis. Also, machine learning methods that reduce prediction error have inflated specificity and very low sensitivity compared to the data-generating model, especially when prevalence is low. Finally, machine learning methods that use ROC curves to determine probability thresholds have comparable classification accuracy to the psychometric models as sample size, number of items, and number of item categories increase. Therefore, results suggest that machine learning models could provide a viable alternative for classification in diagnostic assessments. Strengths and limitations for each of the methods are discussed, and future directions are considered.
ContributorsGonzález, Oscar (Author) / Mackinnon, David P (Thesis advisor) / Edwards, Michael C (Thesis advisor) / Grimm, Kevin J. (Committee member) / Zheng, Yi (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018