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- Creators: Liu, Yongming
Description
Uncertainty quantification is critical for engineering design and analysis. Determining appropriate ways of dealing with uncertainties has been a constant challenge in engineering. Statistical methods provide a powerful aid to describe and understand uncertainties. This work focuses on applying Bayesian methods and machine learning in uncertainty quantification and prognostics among all the statistical methods. This study focuses on the mechanical properties of materials, both static and fatigue, the main engineering field on which this study focuses. This work can be summarized in the following items: First, maintaining the safety of vintage pipelines requires accurately estimating the strength. The objective is to predict the reliability-based strength using nondestructive multimodality surface information. Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is implemented for fusing multimodality non-destructive testing results for gas pipeline strength estimation. Several incremental improvements are proposed in the algorithm implementation. Second, the objective is to develop a statistical uncertainty quantification method for fatigue stress-life (S-N) curves with sparse data.Hierarchical Bayesian data augmentation (HBDA) is proposed to integrate hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) and Bayesian data augmentation (BDA) to deal with sparse data problems for fatigue S-N curves. The third objective is to develop a physics-guided machine learning model to overcome limitations in parametric regression models and classical machine learning models for fatigue data analysis. A Probabilistic Physics-guided Neural Network (PPgNN) is proposed for probabilistic fatigue S-N curve estimation. This model is further developed for missing data and arbitrary output distribution problems. Fourth, multi-fidelity modeling combines the advantages of low- and high-fidelity models to achieve a required accuracy at a reasonable computation cost. The fourth objective is to develop a neural network approach for multi-fidelity modeling by learning the correlation between low- and high-fidelity models. Finally, conclusions are drawn, and future work is outlined based on the current study.
ContributorsChen, Jie (Author) / Liu, Yongming (Thesis advisor) / Chattopadhyay, Aditi (Committee member) / Mignolet, Marc (Committee member) / Ren, Yi (Committee member) / Yan, Hao (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
In-situ fatigue damage diagnosis and prognosis is a challenging problem for both metallic and composite materials and structures. There are various uncertainties arising from material properties, component geometries, measurement noise, feature extraction techniques, and modeling errors. It is essential to manage and incorporate these uncertainties in order to achieve accurate damage detection and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction.
The aim of this study is to develop an integrated fatigue damage diagnosis and prognosis framework for both metallic and composite materials. First, Lamb waves are used as the in-situ damage detection technique to interrogate the damaged structures. Both experimental and numerical analysis for the Lamb wave propagation within aluminum are conducted. The RUL of lap joints under variable and constant fatigue loading is predicted using the Bayesian updating by incorporating damage detection information and various sources of uncertainties. Following this, the effect of matrix cracking and delamination in composite laminates on the Lamb wave propagation is investigated and a generalized probabilistic delamination size and location detection framework using Bayesian imaging method (BIM) is proposed and validated using the composite fatigue testing data. The RUL of the open-hole specimen is predicted using the overall stiffness degradation under fatigue loading. Next, the adjoint method-based damage detection framework is proposed considering the physics of heat conduction or elastic wave propagation. Different from the classical wave propagation-based method, the received signal under pristine condition is not necessary for estimating the damage information. This method can be successfully used for arbitrary damage location and shape profiling for any materials with higher accuracy and resolution. Finally, some conclusions and future work are generated based on the current investigation.
The aim of this study is to develop an integrated fatigue damage diagnosis and prognosis framework for both metallic and composite materials. First, Lamb waves are used as the in-situ damage detection technique to interrogate the damaged structures. Both experimental and numerical analysis for the Lamb wave propagation within aluminum are conducted. The RUL of lap joints under variable and constant fatigue loading is predicted using the Bayesian updating by incorporating damage detection information and various sources of uncertainties. Following this, the effect of matrix cracking and delamination in composite laminates on the Lamb wave propagation is investigated and a generalized probabilistic delamination size and location detection framework using Bayesian imaging method (BIM) is proposed and validated using the composite fatigue testing data. The RUL of the open-hole specimen is predicted using the overall stiffness degradation under fatigue loading. Next, the adjoint method-based damage detection framework is proposed considering the physics of heat conduction or elastic wave propagation. Different from the classical wave propagation-based method, the received signal under pristine condition is not necessary for estimating the damage information. This method can be successfully used for arbitrary damage location and shape profiling for any materials with higher accuracy and resolution. Finally, some conclusions and future work are generated based on the current investigation.
ContributorsPeng, Tishun (Author) / Liu, Yongming (Thesis advisor) / Chattopadhyay, Aditi (Committee member) / Mignolet, Marc (Committee member) / Papandreou-Suppappola, Antonia (Committee member) / Tang, Pingbo (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016