DECADES WHAT THE TRENDS TELL US Transportation Declining Highway User Revenue Fund By Kristin Borns Senior Analyst Morrison Institute for Public Policy Arizona State University Q: What were the most interesting and important trends in Arizona transportation that occurred in the previous decade? What is the significance of these trends and what insights can we apply to the new decade? A: While the pace of growth has slowed, Arizona’s infrastructure needs will continue to increase in the coming decade. One of the primary sources of transportation funding is the Highway User Revenue Fund (HURF), a state fund administered by the Arizona Department of Transportation (ADOT), which is rapidly declining in available dollars. While annual fund growth was relatively healthy during boom times, the economic recession has exposed HURF’s vulnerability to business cycle fluctuations. HURF is funded largely by gasoline taxes, as well as motor carrier fees and vehicle licensing fees. Just like state revenues across the board, the down economy has had a direct impact on HURF. As more Arizonans are out of work, less commute miles translates to less gasoline purchased. Additionally, a general reduction in spending impacted all household categories, including gasoline purchases. Other components of HURF, including registration and licensing fees, also took a hit as fewer Arizona families spent money on big purchases like new vehicles. Additionally, the gasoline tax has remained constant at a flat $0.18 per gallon since 1991, not keeping up with inflation or rising fuel costs. This is a problem that will persist even as the economy makes a slow come back. Percent Change The fund’s balance was down 7% between fiscal year 2008 and 2009 and was 10% below projected revenue. According to ADOT, the recently closed fiscal year was the worst performance for HURF on record and Percent Change in the Arizona Highway User Revenue Fund Balance the first time there were Last Updated: 2/8/2011 two straight years of 10% negative growth. As Arizona moves forward, we need to determine if we want 5% to augment these dollars, and if so, how to best do it. In addition to simply 0% maintaining the status quo, options include increasing the amount of gasoline tax -5% collected, increasing the sales tax to provide dedicated funding, or entering into -10% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 public-private partnerships to build toll roads. Source: Highway User Revenue Fund Fiscal Year 2010 Year-End Report ARIZONA INDICATORS DECADES VOLUME 1 / ISSUE 8 JANUARY 2010 arizonaindicators.org Arizona Indicators is an online information resource and analysis tool that centralizes data about the state and its communities. Arizona Indicators presents interactive visualizations, clear data descriptions, and public opinion data in a broad range of content areas. This project is made possible by generous support from the Arizona Community Foundation and Arizona State University. For more information, contact Andrea Whitsett at (602) 496-0217 or andrea.whitsett@asu.edu. Arizona Indicators is a project of Morrison Institute for Public Policy. 411 N Central Ave Suite 900 Phoenix, Arizona 85004-0692 (602) 496-0900 Main (602) 496-0964 Fax MorrisonInstitute.asu.edu