Matching Items (69)
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Description
One of the greatest 21st century challenges is meeting the needs of a growing world population expected to increase 35% by 2050 given projected trends in diets, consumption and income. This in turn requires a 70-100% improvement on current production capability, even as the world is undergoing systemic climate

One of the greatest 21st century challenges is meeting the needs of a growing world population expected to increase 35% by 2050 given projected trends in diets, consumption and income. This in turn requires a 70-100% improvement on current production capability, even as the world is undergoing systemic climate pattern changes. This growth not only translates to higher demand for staple products, such as rice, wheat, and beans, but also creates demand for high-value products such as fresh fruits and vegetables (FVs), fueled by better economic conditions and a more health conscious consumer. In this case, it would seem that these trends would present opportunities for the economic development of environmentally well-suited regions to produce high-value products. Interestingly, many regions with production potential still exhibit a considerable gap between their current and ‘true’ maximum capability, especially in places where poverty is more common. Paradoxically, often high-value, horticultural products could be produced in these regions, if relatively small capital investments are made and proper marketing and distribution channels are created. The hypothesis is that small farmers within local agricultural systems are well positioned to take advantage of existing sustainable and profitable opportunities, specifically in high-value agricultural production. Unearthing these opportunities can entice investments in small farming development and help them enter the horticultural industry, thus expand the volume, variety and/or quality of products available for global consumption. In this dissertation, the objective is three-fold: (1) to demonstrate the hidden production potential that exist within local agricultural communities, (2) highlight the importance of supply chain modeling tools in the strategic design of local agricultural systems, and (3) demonstrate the application of optimization and machine learning techniques to strategize the implementation of protective agricultural technologies.

As part of this dissertation, a yield approximation method is developed and integrated with a mixed-integer program to estimate a region’s potential to produce non-perennial, vegetable items. This integration offers practical approximations that help decision-makers identify technologies needed to protect agricultural production, alter harvesting patterns to better match market behavior, and provide an analytical framework through which external investment entities can assess different production options.
ContributorsFlores, Hector M. (Author) / Villalobos, Rene (Thesis advisor) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Parker, Nathan (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
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Description
This research develops heuristics to manage both mandatory and optional network capacity reductions to better serve the network flows. The main application discussed relates to transportation networks, and flow cost relates to travel cost of users of the network. Temporary mandatory capacity reductions are required by maintenance activities. The objective

This research develops heuristics to manage both mandatory and optional network capacity reductions to better serve the network flows. The main application discussed relates to transportation networks, and flow cost relates to travel cost of users of the network. Temporary mandatory capacity reductions are required by maintenance activities. The objective of managing maintenance activities and the attendant temporary network capacity reductions is to schedule the required segment closures so that all maintenance work can be completed on time, and the total flow cost over the maintenance period is minimized for different types of flows. The goal of optional network capacity reduction is to selectively reduce the capacity of some links to improve the overall efficiency of user-optimized flows, where each traveler takes the route that minimizes the traveler’s trip cost. In this dissertation, both managing mandatory and optional network capacity reductions are addressed with the consideration of network-wide flow diversions due to changed link capacities.

This research first investigates the maintenance scheduling in transportation networks with service vehicles (e.g., truck fleets and passenger transport fleets), where these vehicles are assumed to take the system-optimized routes that minimize the total travel cost of the fleet. This problem is solved with the randomized fixed-and-optimize heuristic developed. This research also investigates the maintenance scheduling in networks with multi-modal traffic that consists of (1) regular human-driven cars with user-optimized routing and (2) self-driving vehicles with system-optimized routing. An iterative mixed flow assignment algorithm is developed to obtain the multi-modal traffic assignment resulting from a maintenance schedule. The genetic algorithm with multi-point crossover is applied to obtain a good schedule.

Based on the Braess’ paradox that removing some links may alleviate the congestion of user-optimized flows, this research generalizes the Braess’ paradox to reduce the capacity of selected links to improve the efficiency of the resultant user-optimized flows. A heuristic is developed to identify links to reduce capacity, and the corresponding capacity reduction amounts, to get more efficient total flows. Experiments on real networks demonstrate the generalized Braess’ paradox exists in reality, and the heuristic developed solves real-world test cases even when commercial solvers fail.
ContributorsPeng, Dening (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu B. (Thesis advisor) / Sefair, Jorge (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Zhou, Xuesong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
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Description
Healthcare operations have enjoyed reduced costs, improved patient safety, and

innovation in healthcare policy over a huge variety of applications by tackling prob-

lems via the creation and optimization of descriptive mathematical models to guide

decision-making. Despite these accomplishments, models are stylized representations

of real-world applications, reliant on accurate estimations from historical data to

Healthcare operations have enjoyed reduced costs, improved patient safety, and

innovation in healthcare policy over a huge variety of applications by tackling prob-

lems via the creation and optimization of descriptive mathematical models to guide

decision-making. Despite these accomplishments, models are stylized representations

of real-world applications, reliant on accurate estimations from historical data to jus-

tify their underlying assumptions. To protect against unreliable estimations which

can adversely affect the decisions generated from applications dependent on fully-

realized models, techniques that are robust against misspecications are utilized while

still making use of incoming data for learning. Hence, new robust techniques are ap-

plied that (1) allow for the decision-maker to express a spectrum of pessimism against

model uncertainties while (2) still utilizing incoming data for learning. Two main ap-

plications are investigated with respect to these goals, the first being a percentile

optimization technique with respect to a multi-class queueing system for application

in hospital Emergency Departments. The second studies the use of robust forecasting

techniques in improving developing countries’ vaccine supply chains via (1) an inno-

vative outside of cold chain policy and (2) a district-managed approach to inventory

control. Both of these research application areas utilize data-driven approaches that

feature learning and pessimism-controlled robustness.
ContributorsBren, Austin (Author) / Saghafian, Soroush (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
Technology advancements in diagnostic imaging, smart sensing, and health information systems have resulted in a data-rich environment in health care, which offers a great opportunity for Precision Medicine. The objective of my research is to develop data fusion and system informatics approaches for quality and performance improvement of health care.

Technology advancements in diagnostic imaging, smart sensing, and health information systems have resulted in a data-rich environment in health care, which offers a great opportunity for Precision Medicine. The objective of my research is to develop data fusion and system informatics approaches for quality and performance improvement of health care. In my dissertation, I focus on three emerging problems in health care and develop novel statistical models and machine learning algorithms to tackle these problems from diagnosis to care to system-level decision-making.

The first topic is diagnosis/subtyping of migraine to customize effective treatment to different subtypes of patients. Existing clinical definitions of subtypes use somewhat arbitrary boundaries primarily based on patient self-reported symptoms, which are subjective and error-prone. My research develops a novel Multimodality Factor Mixture Model that discovers subtypes of migraine from multimodality imaging MRI data, which provides complementary accurate measurements of the disease. Patients in the different subtypes show significantly different clinical characteristics of the disease. Treatment tailored and optimized for patients of the same subtype paves the road toward Precision Medicine.

The second topic focuses on coordinated patient care. Care coordination between nurses and with other health care team members is important for providing high-quality and efficient care to patients. The recently developed Nurse Care Coordination Instrument (NCCI) is the first of its kind that enables large-scale quantitative data to be collected. My research develops a novel Multi-response Multi-level Model (M3) that enables transfer learning in NCCI data fusion. M3 identifies key factors that contribute to improving care coordination, and facilitates the design and optimization of nurses’ training, workload assignment, and practice environment, which leads to improved patient outcomes.

The last topic is about system-level decision-making for Alzheimer’s disease early detection at the early stage of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), by predicting each MCI patient’s risk of converting to AD using imaging and proteomic biomarkers. My research proposes a systems engineering approach that integrates the multi-perspectives, including prediction accuracy, biomarker cost/availability, patient heterogeneity and diagnostic efficiency, and allows for system-wide optimized decision regarding the biomarker testing process for prediction of MCI conversion.
ContributorsSi, Bing (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Committee member) / Schwedt, Todd (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
Mathematical modeling and decision-making within the healthcare industry have given means to quantitatively evaluate the impact of decisions into diagnosis, screening, and treatment of diseases. In this work, we look into a specific, yet very important disease, the Alzheimer. In the United States, Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is the 6th leading

Mathematical modeling and decision-making within the healthcare industry have given means to quantitatively evaluate the impact of decisions into diagnosis, screening, and treatment of diseases. In this work, we look into a specific, yet very important disease, the Alzheimer. In the United States, Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is the 6th leading cause of death. Diagnosis of AD cannot be confidently confirmed until after death. This has prompted the importance of early diagnosis of AD, based upon symptoms of cognitive decline. A symptom of early cognitive decline and indicator of AD is Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). In addition to this qualitative test, Biomarker tests have been proposed in the medical field including p-Tau, FDG-PET, and hippocampal. These tests can be administered to patients as early detectors of AD thus improving patients’ life quality and potentially reducing the costs of the health structure. Preliminary work has been conducted in the development of a Sequential Tree Based Classifier (STC), which helps medical providers predict if a patient will contract AD or not, by sequentially testing these biomarker tests. The STC model, however, has its limitations and the need for a more complex, robust model is needed. In fact, STC assumes a general linear model as the status of the patient based upon the tests results. We take a simulation perspective and try to define a more complex model that represents the patient evolution in time.

Specifically, this thesis focuses on the formulation of a Markov Chain model that is complex and robust. This Markov Chain model emulates the evolution of MCI patients based upon doctor visits and the sequential administration of biomarker tests. Data provided to create this Markov Chain model were collected by the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. The data lacked detailed information of the sequential administration of the biomarker tests and therefore, different analytical approaches were tried and conducted in order to calibrate the model. The resulting Markov Chain model provided the capability to conduct experiments regarding different parameters of the Markov Chain and yielded different results of patients that contracted AD and those that did not, leading to important insights into effect of thresholds and sequence on patient prediction capability as well as health costs reduction.



The data in this thesis was provided from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database (adni.loni.usc.edu). ADNI investigators did not contribute to any analysis or writing of this thesis. A list of the ADNI investigators can be found at: http://adni.loni.usc.edu/about/governance/principal-investigators/ .
ContributorsCamarena, Raquel (Author) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Thesis advisor) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
A quantitative analysis of a system that has a complex reliability structure always involves considerable challenges. This dissertation mainly addresses uncertainty in- herent in complicated reliability structures that may cause unexpected and undesired results.

The reliability structure uncertainty cannot be handled by the traditional relia- bility analysis tools such as Fault

A quantitative analysis of a system that has a complex reliability structure always involves considerable challenges. This dissertation mainly addresses uncertainty in- herent in complicated reliability structures that may cause unexpected and undesired results.

The reliability structure uncertainty cannot be handled by the traditional relia- bility analysis tools such as Fault Tree and Reliability Block Diagram due to their deterministic Boolean logic. Therefore, I employ Bayesian network that provides a flexible modeling method for building a multivariate distribution. By representing a system reliability structure as a joint distribution, the uncertainty and correlations existing between system’s elements can effectively be modeled in a probabilistic man- ner. This dissertation focuses on analyzing system reliability for the entire system life cycle, particularly, production stage and early design stages.

In production stage, the research investigates a system that is continuously mon- itored by on-board sensors. With modeling the complex reliability structure by Bayesian network integrated with various stochastic processes, I propose several methodologies that evaluate system reliability on real-time basis and optimize main- tenance schedules.

In early design stages, the research aims to predict system reliability based on the current system design and to improve the design if necessary. The three main challenges in this research are: 1) the lack of field failure data, 2) the complex reliability structure and 3) how to effectively improve the design. To tackle the difficulties, I present several modeling approaches using Bayesian inference and nonparametric Bayesian network where the system is explicitly analyzed through the sensitivity analysis. In addition, this modeling approach is enhanced by incorporating a temporal dimension. However, the nonparametric Bayesian network approach generally accompanies with high computational efforts, especially, when a complex and large system is modeled. To alleviate this computational burden, I also suggest to building a surrogate model with quantile regression.

In summary, this dissertation studies and explores the use of Bayesian network in analyzing complex systems. All proposed methodologies are demonstrated by case studies.
ContributorsLee, Dongjin (Author) / Pan, Rong (Thesis advisor) / Montgomery, Douglas C. (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Du, Xiaoping (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
Under different environmental conditions, the relationship between the design and operational variables of a system and the system’s performance is likely to vary and is difficult to be described by a single model. The environmental variables (e.g., temperature, humidity) are not controllable while the variables of the system (e.g. heating,

Under different environmental conditions, the relationship between the design and operational variables of a system and the system’s performance is likely to vary and is difficult to be described by a single model. The environmental variables (e.g., temperature, humidity) are not controllable while the variables of the system (e.g. heating, cooling) are mostly controllable. This phenomenon has been widely seen in the areas of building energy management, mobile communication networks, and wind energy. To account for the complicated interaction between a system and the multivariate environment under which it operates, a Sparse Partitioned-Regression (SPR) model is proposed, which automatically searches for a partition of the environmental variables and fits a sparse regression within each subdivision of the partition. SPR is an innovative approach that integrates recursive partitioning and high-dimensional regression model fitting within a single framework. Moreover, theoretical studies of SPR are explicitly conducted to derive the oracle inequalities for the SPR estimators which could provide a bound for the difference between the risk of SPR estimators and Bayes’ risk. These theoretical studies show that the performance of SPR estimator is almost (up to numerical constants) as good as of an ideal estimator that can be theoretically achieved but is not available in practice. Finally, a Tree-Based Structure-Regularized Regression (TBSR) approach is proposed by considering the fact that the model performance can be improved by a joint estimation on different subdivisions in certain scenarios. It leverages the idea that models for different subdivisions may share some similarities and can borrow strength from each other. The proposed approaches are applied to two real datasets in the domain of building energy. (1) SPR is used in an application of adopting building design and operational variables, outdoor environmental variables, and their interactions to predict energy consumption based on the Department of Energy’s EnergyPlus data sets. SPR produces a high level of prediction accuracy and provides insights into the design, operation, and management of energy-efficient buildings. (2) TBSR is used in an application of predicting future temperature condition which could help to decide whether to activate or not the Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems in an energy-efficient manner.
ContributorsNing, Shuluo (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Rafi, Tanveer A (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
In healthcare facilities, health information systems (HISs) are used to serve different purposes. The radiology department adopts multiple HISs in managing their operations and patient care. In general, the HISs that touch radiology fall into two categories: tracking HISs and archive HISs. Electronic Health Records (EHR) is a typical tracking

In healthcare facilities, health information systems (HISs) are used to serve different purposes. The radiology department adopts multiple HISs in managing their operations and patient care. In general, the HISs that touch radiology fall into two categories: tracking HISs and archive HISs. Electronic Health Records (EHR) is a typical tracking HIS, which tracks the care each patient receives at multiple encounters and facilities. Archive HISs are typically specialized databases to store large-size data collected as part of the patient care. A typical example of an archive HIS is the Picture Archive and Communication System (PACS), which provides economical storage and convenient access to diagnostic images from multiple modalities. How to integrate such HISs and best utilize their data remains a challenging problem due to the disparity of HISs as well as high-dimensionality and heterogeneity of the data. My PhD dissertation research includes three inter-connected and integrated topics and focuses on designing integrated HISs and further developing statistical models and machine learning algorithms for process and patient care improvement.

Topic 1: Design of super-HIS and tracking of quality of care (QoC). My research developed an information technology that integrates multiple HISs in radiology, and proposed QoC metrics defined upon the data that measure various dimensions of care. The DDD assisted the clinical practices and enabled an effective intervention for reducing lengthy radiologist turnaround times for patients.

Topic 2: Monitoring and change detection of QoC data streams for process improvement. With the super-HIS in place, high-dimensional data streams of QoC metrics are generated. I developed a statistical model for monitoring high- dimensional data streams that integrated Singular Vector Decomposition (SVD) and process control. The algorithm was applied to QoC metrics data, and additionally extended to another application of monitoring traffic data in communication networks.

Topic 3: Deep transfer learning of archive HIS data for computer-aided diagnosis (CAD). The novelty of the CAD system is the development of a deep transfer learning algorithm that combines the ideas of transfer learning and multi- modality image integration under the deep learning framework. Our system achieved high accuracy in breast cancer diagnosis compared with conventional machine learning algorithms.
ContributorsWang, Kun (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Zwart, Christine M. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
With trends of globalization on rise, predominant of the trades happen by sea, and experts have predicted an increase in trade volumes over the next few years. With increasing trade volumes, container ships’ upsizing is being carried out to meet the demand. But the problem with container ships’ upsizing is

With trends of globalization on rise, predominant of the trades happen by sea, and experts have predicted an increase in trade volumes over the next few years. With increasing trade volumes, container ships’ upsizing is being carried out to meet the demand. But the problem with container ships’ upsizing is that the sea port terminals must be equipped adequately to improve the turnaround time otherwise the container ships’ upsizing would not yield the anticipated benefits. This thesis focus on a special type of a double automated crane set-up, with a finite interoperational buffer capacity. The buffer is placed in between the cranes, and the idea behind this research is to analyze the performance of the crane operations when this technology is adopted. This thesis proposes the approximation of this complex system, thereby addressing the computational time issue and allowing to efficiently analyze the performance of the system. The approach to model this system has been carried out in two phases. The first phase consists of the development of discrete event simulation model to make the system evolve over time. The challenges of this model are its high processing time which consists of performing large number of experimental runs, thus laying the foundation for the development of the analytical model of the system, and with respect to analytical modeling, a continuous time markov process approach has been adopted. Further, to improve the efficiency of the analytical model, a state aggregation approach is proposed. Thus, this thesis would give an insight on the outcomes of the two approaches and the behavior of the error space, and the performance of the models for the varying buffer capacities would reflect the scope of improvement in these kinds of operational set up.
ContributorsRengarajan, Sundaravaradhan (Author) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Thesis advisor) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
With the development of computer and sensing technology, rich datasets have become available in many fields such as health care, manufacturing, transportation, just to name a few. Also, data come from multiple heterogeneous sources or modalities. This is a common phenomenon in health care systems. While multi-modality data fusion is

With the development of computer and sensing technology, rich datasets have become available in many fields such as health care, manufacturing, transportation, just to name a few. Also, data come from multiple heterogeneous sources or modalities. This is a common phenomenon in health care systems. While multi-modality data fusion is a promising research area, there are several special challenges in health care applications. (1) The integration of biological and statistical model is a big challenge; (2) It is commonplace that data from various modalities is not available for every patient due to cost, accessibility, and other reasons. This results in a special missing data structure in which different modalities may be missed in “blocks”. Therefore, how to train a predictive model using such a dataset poses a significant challenge to statistical learning. (3) It is well known that different modality data may contain different aspects of information about the response. The current studies cannot afford to solve this problem. My dissertation includes new statistical learning model development to address each of the aforementioned challenges as well as application case studies using real health care datasets, included in three chapters (Chapter 2, 3, and 4), respectively. Collectively, it is expected that my dissertation could provide a new sets of statistical learning models, algorithms, and theory contributed to multi-modality heterogeneous data fusion driven by the unique challenges in this area. Also, application of these new methods to important medical problems using real-world datasets is expected to provide solutions to these problems, and therefore contributing to the application domains.
ContributorsLiu, Xiaonan (Ph.D.) (Author) / Li, Jing (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Fatyga, Mirek (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019