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- Member of: ASU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Description
With trends of globalization on rise, predominant of the trades happen by sea, and experts have predicted an increase in trade volumes over the next few years. With increasing trade volumes, container ships’ upsizing is being carried out to meet the demand. But the problem with container ships’ upsizing is that the sea port terminals must be equipped adequately to improve the turnaround time otherwise the container ships’ upsizing would not yield the anticipated benefits. This thesis focus on a special type of a double automated crane set-up, with a finite interoperational buffer capacity. The buffer is placed in between the cranes, and the idea behind this research is to analyze the performance of the crane operations when this technology is adopted. This thesis proposes the approximation of this complex system, thereby addressing the computational time issue and allowing to efficiently analyze the performance of the system. The approach to model this system has been carried out in two phases. The first phase consists of the development of discrete event simulation model to make the system evolve over time. The challenges of this model are its high processing time which consists of performing large number of experimental runs, thus laying the foundation for the development of the analytical model of the system, and with respect to analytical modeling, a continuous time markov process approach has been adopted. Further, to improve the efficiency of the analytical model, a state aggregation approach is proposed. Thus, this thesis would give an insight on the outcomes of the two approaches and the behavior of the error space, and the performance of the models for the varying buffer capacities would reflect the scope of improvement in these kinds of operational set up.
ContributorsRengarajan, Sundaravaradhan (Author) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Thesis advisor) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
Description
This research is to address the design optimization of systems for a specified reliability level, considering the dynamic nature of component failure rates. In case of designing a mechanical system (especially a load-sharing system), the failure of one component will lead to increase in probability of failure of remaining components. Many engineering systems like aircrafts, automobiles, and construction bridges will experience this phenomenon.
In order to design these systems, the Reliability-Based Design Optimization framework using Sequential Optimization and Reliability Assessment (SORA) method is developed. The dynamic nature of component failure probability is considered in the system reliability model. The Stress-Strength Interference (SSI) theory is used to build the limit state functions of components and the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) lies at the heart of reliability assessment. Also, in situations where the user needs to determine the optimum number of components and reduce component redundancy, this method can be used to optimally allocate the required number of components to carry the system load. The main advantage of this method is that the computational efficiency is high and also any optimization and reliability assessment technique can be incorporated. Different cases of numerical examples are provided to validate the methodology.
In order to design these systems, the Reliability-Based Design Optimization framework using Sequential Optimization and Reliability Assessment (SORA) method is developed. The dynamic nature of component failure probability is considered in the system reliability model. The Stress-Strength Interference (SSI) theory is used to build the limit state functions of components and the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) lies at the heart of reliability assessment. Also, in situations where the user needs to determine the optimum number of components and reduce component redundancy, this method can be used to optimally allocate the required number of components to carry the system load. The main advantage of this method is that the computational efficiency is high and also any optimization and reliability assessment technique can be incorporated. Different cases of numerical examples are provided to validate the methodology.
ContributorsBala Subramaniyan, Arun (Author) / Pan, Rong (Thesis advisor) / Askin, Ronald (Committee member) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
Efforts to enhance the quality of life and promote better health have led to improved water quality standards. Adequate daily fluid intake, primarily from tap water, is crucial for human health. By improving drinking water quality, negative health effects associated with consuming inadequate water can be mitigated. Although the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) sets and enforces federal water quality limits at water treatment plants, water quality reaching end users degrades during the water delivery process, emphasizing the need for proactive control systems in buildings to ensure safe drinking water.Future commercial and institutional buildings are anticipated to feature real-time water quality sensors, automated flushing and filtration systems, temperature control devices, and chemical boosters. Integrating these technologies with a reliable water quality control system that optimizes the use of chemical additives, filtration, flushing, and temperature adjustments ensures users consistently have access to water of adequate quality. Additionally, existing buildings can be retrofitted with these technologies at a reasonable cost, guaranteeing user safety.
In the absence of smart buildings with the required technology, Chapter 2 describes developing an EPANET-MSX (a multi-species extension of EPA’s water simulation tool) model for a typical 5-story building. Chapter 3 involves creating accurate nonlinear approximation models of EPANET-MSX’s complex fluid dynamics and chemical reactions and developing an open-loop water quality control system that can regulate the water quality based on the approximated state of water quality. To address potential sudden changes in water quality, improve predictions, and reduce the gap between approximated and true state of water quality, a feedback control loop is developed in Chapter 4.
Lastly, this dissertation includes the development of a reinforcement learning (RL) based water quality control system for cases where the approximation models prove inadequate and cause instability during implementation with a real building water network. The RL-based control system can be implemented in various buildings without the need to develop new hydraulic models and can handle the stochastic nature of water demand, ensuring the proactive control system’s effectiveness in maintaining water quality within safe limits for consumption.
ContributorsGhasemzadeh, Kiarash (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Boyer, Treavor (Committee member) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Understanding customer preference is crucial for new product planning and marketing decisions. This thesis explores how historical data can be leveraged to understand and predict customer preference. This thesis presents a decision support framework that provides a holistic view on customer preference by following a two-phase procedure. Phase-1 uses cluster analysis to create product profiles based on which customer profiles are derived. Phase-2 then delves deep into each of the customer profiles and investigates causality behind their preference using Bayesian networks. This thesis illustrates the working of the framework using the case of Intel Corporation, world’s largest semiconductor manufacturing company.
ContributorsRam, Sudarshan Venkat (Author) / Kempf, Karl G. (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Thesis advisor) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2017
Description
Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) is a severe form of Nonalcoholic fatty liverdisease, that is caused due to excessive calorie intake, sedentary lifestyle and in the
absence of severe alcohol consumption. It is widely prevalent in the United States
and in many other developed countries, affecting up to 25 percent of the population.
Due to being asymptotic, it usually goes unnoticed and may lead to liver failure if
not treated at the right time.
Currently, liver biopsy is the gold standard to diagnose NASH, but being an
invasive procedure, it comes with it's own complications along with the inconvenience
of sampling repeated measurements over a period of time. Hence, noninvasive
procedures to assess NASH are urgently required. Magnetic Resonance Elastography
(MRE) based Shear Stiffness and Loss Modulus along with Magnetic Resonance
Imaging based proton density fat fraction have been successfully combined to predict
NASH stages However, their role in the prediction of disease progression still remains
to be investigated.
This thesis thus looks into combining features from serial MRE observations to
develop statistical models to predict NASH progression. It utilizes data from an experiment
conducted on male mice to develop progressive and regressive NASH and
trains ordinal models, ordered probit regression and ordinal forest on labels generated
from a logistic regression model. The models are assessed on histological data collected
at the end point of the experiment. The models developed provide a framework
to utilize a non-invasive tool to predict NASH disease progression.
ContributorsDeshpande, Eeshan (Author) / Ju, Feng (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Yan, Hao (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
Description
In this dissertation, a cyber-physical system called MIDAS (Managing Interacting Demand And Supply) has been developed, where the “supply” refers to the transportation infrastructure including traffic controls while the “demand” refers to its dynamic traffic loads. The strength of MIDAS lies in its ability to proactively control and manage mixed vehicular traffic, having various levels of autonomy, through traffic intersections. Using real-time traffic control algorithms MIDAS minimizes wait times, congestion, and travel times on existing roadways. For traffic engineers, efficient control of complicated traffic movements used at diamond interchanges (DI), which interface streets with freeways, is challenging for normal human driven vehicular traffic, let alone for communicationally-connected vehicles (CVs) due to stochastic demand and uncertainties. This dissertation first develops a proactive traffic control algorithm, MIDAS, using forward-recursion dynamic programming (DP), for scheduling large set of traffic movements of non-connected vehicles and CVs at the DIs, over a finite-time horizon. MIDAS captures measurements from fixed detectors and captures Lagrangian measurements from CVs, to estimate link travel times, arrival times and turning movements. Simulation study shows MIDAS’ outperforms (a) a current optimal state-of-art optimal fixed-cycle time control scheme, and (b) a state-of-art traffic adaptive cycle-free scheme.
Subsequently, this dissertation addresses the challenges of improving the road capacity by platooning fully autonomous vehicles (AVs), resulting in smaller headways and greater road utilization. With the MIDAS AI (Autonomous Intersection) control, an effective platooning strategy is developed, and optimal release sequence of AVs is determined using a new forward-recursive DP that minimizes the time-loss delays of AVs. MIDAS AI evaluates the DP decisions every second and communicates optimal actions to the AVs.
Although MIDAS AI’s exact DP achieves optimal solution in almost real-time compared to other exact algorithms, it suffers from scalability. To address this challenge, the dissertation then develops MIDAS RAIC (Reinforced Autonomous Intersection Control), a deep reinforcement learning based real-time dynamic traffic control system for AVs at an intersection. Simulation results show the proposed deep Q-learning architecture trains MIDAS RAIC to learn a near-optimal policy that minimizes the total cumulative time loss delay and performs nearly as well as the MIDAS AI.
ContributorsPotluri, Viswanath (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Zhou, Xuesong (Committee member) / Sefair, Jorge (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
Description
Sequential event prediction or sequential pattern mining is a well-studied topic in the literature. There are a lot of real-world scenarios where the data is released sequentially. People believe that there exist repetitive patterns of event sequences so that the future events can be predicted. For example, many companies build their recommender system to predict the next possible product for the users according to their purchase history. The healthcare system discovers the relationships among patients’ sequential symptoms to mitigate the adverse effect of a treatment (drugs or surgery). Modern engineering systems like aviation/distributed computing/energy systems diagnosed failure event logs and took prompt actions to avoid disaster when a similar failure pattern occurs. In this dissertation, I specifically focus on building a scalable algorithm for event prediction and extraction in the aviation domain. Understanding the accident event is always the major concern of the safety issue in the aviation system. A flight accident is often caused by a sequence of failure events. Accurate modeling of the failure event sequence and how it leads to the final accident is important for aviation safety. This work aims to study the relationship of the failure event sequence and evaluate the risk of the final accident according to these failure events. There are three major challenges I am trying to deal with. (1) Modeling Sequential Events with Hierarchical Structure: I aim to improve the prediction accuracy by taking advantage of the multi-level or hierarchical representation of these rare events. Specifically, I proposed to build a sequential Encoder-Decoder framework with a hierarchical embedding representation of the events. (2) Lack of high-quality and consistent event log data: In order to acquire more accurate event data from aviation accident reports, I convert the problem into a multi-label classification. An attention-based Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers model is developed to achieve good performance and interpretability. (3) Ontology-based event extraction: In order to extract detailed events, I proposed to solve the problem as a hierarchical classification task. I improve the model performance by incorporating event ontology. By solving these three challenges, I provide a framework to extract events from narrative reports and estimate the risk level of aviation accidents through event sequence modeling.
ContributorsZhao, Xinyu (Author) / Yan, Hao (Thesis advisor) / Liu, Yongming (Committee member) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Iquebal, Ashif (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
Additive manufacturing consists of successive fabrication of materials layer upon layer to manufacture three-dimensional items. Several key problems such as poor quality of finished products and excessive operational costs are yet to be addressed before it becomes widely applicable in the industry. Retroactive/offline actions such as post-manufacturing inspections for defect detection in finished products are not only extremely expensive and ineffective but are also incapable of issuing corrective action signals during the building span. In-situ monitoring and optimal control methods, on the other hand, can provide viable alternatives to aid with the online detection of anomalies and control the process. Nevertheless, the complexity of process assumptions, unique structure of collected data, and high-frequency data acquisition rate severely deteriorates the performance of traditional and parametric control and process monitoring approaches. Out of diverse categories of additive manufacturing, Large-Scale Additive Manufacturing (LSAM) by material extrusion and Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF) suffer the most due to their more advanced technologies and are therefore the subjects of study in this work. In LSAM, the geometry of large parts can impact the heat dissipation and lead to large thermal gradients between distance locations on the surface. The surface's temperature profile is captured by an infrared thermal camera and translated to a non-linear regression model to formulate the surface cooling dynamics. The surface temperature prediction methodology is then combined into an optimization model with probabilistic constraints for real-time layer time and material flow control. On-axis optical high-speed cameras can capture streams of melt pool images of laser-powder interaction in real-time during the process. Model-agnostic deep learning methods offer a great deal of flexibility when facing such unstructured big data and thus are appealing alternatives to their physical-related and regression-based modeling counterparts. A configuration of Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory (ConvLSTM) auto-encoder is proposed to learn a deep spatio-temporal representation from sequences of melt pool images collected from experimental builds. The unfolded bottleneck tensors are then further mined to construct a high accuracy and low false alarm rate anomaly detection and monitoring procedure.
ContributorsFathizadan, Sepehr (Author) / Ju, Feng (Thesis advisor) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Lu, Yan (Committee member) / Iquebal, Ashif (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description
The use of Red Blood Cells (RBCs) is a pillar of modern health care. Annually, the lives of hundreds of thousands of patients are saved through ready access to safe, fresh, blood-type compatible RBCs. Worldwide, hospitals have the common goal to better utilize available blood units by maximizing patients served and reducing blood wastage. Managing blood is challenging because blood is perishable, its supply is stochastic and its demand pattern is highly uncertain. Additionally, RBCs are typed and patient compatibility is required.
This research focuses on improving blood inventory management at the hospital level. It explores the importance of hospital characteristics, such as demand rate and blood-type distribution in supply and demand, for improving RBC inventory management. Available inventory models make simplifying assumptions; they tend to be general and do not utilize available data that could improve blood delivery. This dissertation develops useful and realistic models that incorporate data characterizing the hospital inventory position, distribution of blood types of donors and the population being served.
The dissertation contributions can be grouped into three areas. First, simulations are used to characterize the benefits of demand forecasting. In addition to forecast accuracy, it shows that characteristics such as forecast horizon, the age of replenishment units, and the percentage of demand that is forecastable influence the benefits resulting from demand variability reduction.
Second, it develops Markov decision models for improved allocation policies under emergency conditions, where only the units on the shelf are available for dispensing. In this situation the RBC perishability has no impact due to the short timeline for decision making. Improved location-specific policies are demonstrated via simulation models for two emergency event types: mass casualty events and pandemic influenza.
Third, improved allocation policies under normal conditions are found using Markov decision models that incorporate temporal dynamics. In this case, hospitals receive replenishment and units age and outdate. The models are solved using Approximate Dynamic Programming with model-free approximate policy iteration, using machine learning algorithms to approximate value or policy functions. These are the first stock- and age-dependent allocation policies that engage substitution between blood type groups to improve inventory performance.
This research focuses on improving blood inventory management at the hospital level. It explores the importance of hospital characteristics, such as demand rate and blood-type distribution in supply and demand, for improving RBC inventory management. Available inventory models make simplifying assumptions; they tend to be general and do not utilize available data that could improve blood delivery. This dissertation develops useful and realistic models that incorporate data characterizing the hospital inventory position, distribution of blood types of donors and the population being served.
The dissertation contributions can be grouped into three areas. First, simulations are used to characterize the benefits of demand forecasting. In addition to forecast accuracy, it shows that characteristics such as forecast horizon, the age of replenishment units, and the percentage of demand that is forecastable influence the benefits resulting from demand variability reduction.
Second, it develops Markov decision models for improved allocation policies under emergency conditions, where only the units on the shelf are available for dispensing. In this situation the RBC perishability has no impact due to the short timeline for decision making. Improved location-specific policies are demonstrated via simulation models for two emergency event types: mass casualty events and pandemic influenza.
Third, improved allocation policies under normal conditions are found using Markov decision models that incorporate temporal dynamics. In this case, hospitals receive replenishment and units age and outdate. The models are solved using Approximate Dynamic Programming with model-free approximate policy iteration, using machine learning algorithms to approximate value or policy functions. These are the first stock- and age-dependent allocation policies that engage substitution between blood type groups to improve inventory performance.
ContributorsDumkrieger, Gina (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu B. (Thesis advisor) / Fowler, John (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020
Description
Recent advances in manufacturing system, such as advanced embedded sensing, big data analytics and IoT and robotics, are promising a paradigm shift in the manufacturing industry towards smart manufacturing systems. Typically, real-time data is available in many industries, such as automotive, semiconductor, and food production, which can reflect the machine conditions and production system’s operation performance. However, a major research gap still exists in terms of how to utilize these real-time data information to evaluate and predict production system performance and to further facilitate timely decision making and production control on the factory floor. To tackle these challenges, this dissertation takes on an integrated analytical approach by hybridizing data analytics, stochastic modeling and decision making under uncertainty methodology to solve practical manufacturing problems.
Specifically, in this research, the machine degradation process is considered. It has been shown that machines working at different operating states may break down in different probabilistic manners. In addition, machines working in worse operating stage are more likely to fail, thus causing more frequent down period and reducing the system throughput. However, there is still a lack of analytical methods to quantify the potential impact of machine condition degradation on the overall system performance to facilitate operation decision making on the factory floor. To address these issues, this dissertation considers a serial production line with finite buffers and multiple machines following Markovian degradation process. An integrated model based on the aggregation method is built to quantify the overall system performance and its interactions with machine condition process. Moreover, system properties are investigated to analyze the influence of system parameters on system performance. In addition, three types of bottlenecks are defined and their corresponding indicators are derived to provide guidelines on improving system performance. These methods provide quantitative tools for modeling, analyzing, and improving manufacturing systems with the coupling between machine condition degradation and productivity given the real-time signals.
Specifically, in this research, the machine degradation process is considered. It has been shown that machines working at different operating states may break down in different probabilistic manners. In addition, machines working in worse operating stage are more likely to fail, thus causing more frequent down period and reducing the system throughput. However, there is still a lack of analytical methods to quantify the potential impact of machine condition degradation on the overall system performance to facilitate operation decision making on the factory floor. To address these issues, this dissertation considers a serial production line with finite buffers and multiple machines following Markovian degradation process. An integrated model based on the aggregation method is built to quantify the overall system performance and its interactions with machine condition process. Moreover, system properties are investigated to analyze the influence of system parameters on system performance. In addition, three types of bottlenecks are defined and their corresponding indicators are derived to provide guidelines on improving system performance. These methods provide quantitative tools for modeling, analyzing, and improving manufacturing systems with the coupling between machine condition degradation and productivity given the real-time signals.
ContributorsKang, Yunyi (Author) / Ju, Feng (Thesis advisor) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Committee member) / Wu, Teresa (Committee member) / Yan, Hao (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2020