Matching Items (3)
Description
Muslim radicalism is recognized as one of the greatest security threats for the United States and the rest of the world. Use of force to eliminate specific radical entities is ineffective in containing radicalism as a whole. There is a need to understand the origin, ideologies and behavior of Radical and Counter-Radical organizations and how they shape up over a period of time. Recognizing and supporting counter-radical organizations is one of the most important steps towards impeding radical organizations. A lot of research has already been done to categorize and recognize organizations, to understand their behavior, their interactions with other organizations, their target demographics and the area of influence. We have a huge amount of information which is a result of the research done over these topics. This thesis provides a powerful and interactive way to navigate through all this information, using a Visualization Dashboard. The dashboard makes it easier for Social Scientists, Policy Analysts, Military and other personnel to visualize an organization's propensity towards violence and radicalism. It also tracks the peaking religious, political and socio-economic markers, their target demographics and locations. A powerful search interface with parametric search helps in narrowing down to specific scenarios and view the corresponding information related to the organizations. This tool helps to identify moderate Counter-Radical organizations and also has the potential of predicting the orientation of various organizations based on the current information.
ContributorsNair, Shreejay (Author) / Davulcu, Hasan (Thesis advisor) / Dasgpta, Partha (Committee member) / Sen, Arunabha (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
Description
Internet and social media devices created a new public space for debate on political
and social topics (Papacharissi 2002; Himelboim 2010). Hotly debated issues
span all spheres of human activity; from liberal vs. conservative politics, to radical
vs. counter-radical religious debate, to climate change debate in scientific community,
to globalization debate in economics, and to nuclear disarmament debate in
security. Many prominent ’camps’ have emerged within Internet debate rhetoric and
practice (Dahlberg, n.d.).
In this research I utilized feature extraction and model fitting techniques to process
the rhetoric found in the web sites of 23 Indonesian Islamic religious organizations,
later with 26 similar organizations from the United Kingdom to profile their
ideology and activity patterns along a hypothesized radical/counter-radical scale, and
presented an end-to-end system that is able to help researchers to visualize the data
in an interactive fashion on a time line. The subject data of this study is the articles
downloaded from the web sites of these organizations dating from 2001 to 2011,
and in 2013. I developed algorithms to rank these organizations by assigning them
to probable positions on the scale. I showed that the developed Rasch model fits
the data using Andersen’s LR-test (likelihood ratio). I created a gold standard of
the ranking of these organizations through an expertise elicitation tool. Then using
my system I computed expert-to-expert agreements, and then presented experimental
results comparing the performance of three baseline methods to show that the
Rasch model not only outperforms the baseline methods, but it was also the only
system that performs at expert-level accuracy.
I developed an end-to-end system that receives list of organizations from experts,
mines their web corpus, prepare discourse topic lists with expert support, and then
ranks them on scales with partial expert interaction, and finally presents them on an
easy to use web based analytic system.
and social topics (Papacharissi 2002; Himelboim 2010). Hotly debated issues
span all spheres of human activity; from liberal vs. conservative politics, to radical
vs. counter-radical religious debate, to climate change debate in scientific community,
to globalization debate in economics, and to nuclear disarmament debate in
security. Many prominent ’camps’ have emerged within Internet debate rhetoric and
practice (Dahlberg, n.d.).
In this research I utilized feature extraction and model fitting techniques to process
the rhetoric found in the web sites of 23 Indonesian Islamic religious organizations,
later with 26 similar organizations from the United Kingdom to profile their
ideology and activity patterns along a hypothesized radical/counter-radical scale, and
presented an end-to-end system that is able to help researchers to visualize the data
in an interactive fashion on a time line. The subject data of this study is the articles
downloaded from the web sites of these organizations dating from 2001 to 2011,
and in 2013. I developed algorithms to rank these organizations by assigning them
to probable positions on the scale. I showed that the developed Rasch model fits
the data using Andersen’s LR-test (likelihood ratio). I created a gold standard of
the ranking of these organizations through an expertise elicitation tool. Then using
my system I computed expert-to-expert agreements, and then presented experimental
results comparing the performance of three baseline methods to show that the
Rasch model not only outperforms the baseline methods, but it was also the only
system that performs at expert-level accuracy.
I developed an end-to-end system that receives list of organizations from experts,
mines their web corpus, prepare discourse topic lists with expert support, and then
ranks them on scales with partial expert interaction, and finally presents them on an
easy to use web based analytic system.
ContributorsTikves, Sukru (Author) / Davulcu, Hasan (Thesis advisor) / Sen, Arunabha (Committee member) / Liu, Huan (Committee member) / Woodward, Mark (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
In this paper I defend the argument that public reaction to news headlines correlates with the short-term price direction of Bitcoin. I collected a month's worth of Bitcoin data consisting of news headlines, tweets, and the price of the cryptocurrency. I fed this data into a Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network and built a model that predicted Bitcoin price for a new timeframe. The model correctly predicted 75% of test set price trends on 3.25 hour time intervals. This is higher than the 53.57% accuracy tested with a Bitcoin price model without sentiment data. I concluded public reaction to Bitcoin news headlines has an effect on the short-term price direction of the cryptocurrency. Investors can use my model to help them in their decision-making process when making short-term Bitcoin investment decisions.
ContributorsSteinberg, Sam (Author) / Boscovic, Dragan (Thesis director) / Davulcu, Hasan (Committee member) / Computer Science and Engineering Program (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2020-05