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Description
The main objective of this research is to develop an integrated method to study emergent behavior and consequences of evolution and adaptation in engineered complex adaptive systems (ECASs). A multi-layer conceptual framework and modeling approach including behavioral and structural aspects is provided to describe the structure of a class of

The main objective of this research is to develop an integrated method to study emergent behavior and consequences of evolution and adaptation in engineered complex adaptive systems (ECASs). A multi-layer conceptual framework and modeling approach including behavioral and structural aspects is provided to describe the structure of a class of engineered complex systems and predict their future adaptive patterns. The approach allows the examination of complexity in the structure and the behavior of components as a result of their connections and in relation to their environment. This research describes and uses the major differences of natural complex adaptive systems (CASs) with artificial/engineered CASs to build a framework and platform for ECAS. While this framework focuses on the critical factors of an engineered system, it also enables one to synthetically employ engineering and mathematical models to analyze and measure complexity in such systems. In this way concepts of complex systems science are adapted to management science and system of systems engineering. In particular an integrated consumer-based optimization and agent-based modeling (ABM) platform is presented that enables managers to predict and partially control patterns of behaviors in ECASs. Demonstrated on the U.S. electricity markets, ABM is integrated with normative and subjective decision behavior recommended by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). The approach integrates social networks, social science, complexity theory, and diffusion theory. Furthermore, it has unique and significant contribution in exploring and representing concrete managerial insights for ECASs and offering new optimized actions and modeling paradigms in agent-based simulation.
ContributorsHaghnevis, Moeed (Author) / Askin, Ronald G. (Thesis advisor) / Armbruster, Dieter (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Wu, Tong (Committee member) / Hedman, Kory (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2013
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Description
With the rapid development of mobile sensing technologies like GPS, RFID, sensors in smartphones, etc., capturing position data in the form of trajectories has become easy. Moving object trajectory analysis is a growing area of interest these days owing to its applications in various domains such as marketing, security, traffic

With the rapid development of mobile sensing technologies like GPS, RFID, sensors in smartphones, etc., capturing position data in the form of trajectories has become easy. Moving object trajectory analysis is a growing area of interest these days owing to its applications in various domains such as marketing, security, traffic monitoring and management, etc. To better understand movement behaviors from the raw mobility data, this doctoral work provides analytic models for analyzing trajectory data. As a first contribution, a model is developed to detect changes in trajectories with time. If the taxis moving in a city are viewed as sensors that provide real time information of the traffic in the city, a change in these trajectories with time can reveal that the road network has changed. To detect changes, trajectories are modeled with a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). A modified training algorithm, for parameter estimation in HMM, called m-BaumWelch, is used to develop likelihood estimates under assumed changes and used to detect changes in trajectory data with time. Data from vehicles are used to test the method for change detection. Secondly, sequential pattern mining is used to develop a model to detect changes in frequent patterns occurring in trajectory data. The aim is to answer two questions: Are the frequent patterns still frequent in the new data? If they are frequent, has the time interval distribution in the pattern changed? Two different approaches are considered for change detection, frequency-based approach and distribution-based approach. The methods are illustrated with vehicle trajectory data. Finally, a model is developed for clustering and outlier detection in semantic trajectories. A challenge with clustering semantic trajectories is that both numeric and categorical attributes are present. Another problem to be addressed while clustering is that trajectories can be of different lengths and also have missing values. A tree-based ensemble is used to address these problems. The approach is extended to outlier detection in semantic trajectories.
ContributorsKondaveeti, Anirudh (Author) / Runger, George C. (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Pan, Rong (Committee member) / Maciejewski, Ross (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
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Description
This research develops heuristics for scheduling electric power production amid uncertainty. Reliability is becoming more difficult to manage due to growing uncertainty from renewable resources. This challenge is compounded by the risk of resource outages, which can occur any time and without warning. Stochastic optimization is a promising tool but

This research develops heuristics for scheduling electric power production amid uncertainty. Reliability is becoming more difficult to manage due to growing uncertainty from renewable resources. This challenge is compounded by the risk of resource outages, which can occur any time and without warning. Stochastic optimization is a promising tool but remains computationally intractable for large systems. The models used in industry instead schedule for the forecast and withhold generation reserve for scenario response, but they are blind to how this reserve may be constrained by network congestion. This dissertation investigates more effective heuristics to improve economics and reliability in power systems where congestion is a concern.

Two general approaches are developed. Both approximate the effects of recourse decisions without actually solving a stochastic model. The first approach procures more reserve whenever approximate recourse policies stress the transmission network. The second approach procures reserve at prime locations by generalizing the existing practice of reserve disqualification. The latter approach is applied for feasibility and is later extended to limit scenario costs. Testing demonstrates expected cost improvements around 0.5%-1.0% for the IEEE 73-bus test case, which can translate to millions of dollars per year even for modest systems. The heuristics developed in this dissertation perform somewhere between established deterministic and stochastic models: providing an economic benefit over current practices without substantially increasing computational times.
ContributorsLyon, Joshua Daniel (Author) / Zhang, Muhong (Thesis advisor) / Hedman, Kory W (Thesis advisor) / Askin, Ronald G. (Committee member) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
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Description
The energy consumption by public drinking water and wastewater utilities represent up to 30%-40% of a municipality energy bill. The largest energy consumption is used to operate motors for pumping. As a result, the engineering and control community develop the Variable Speed Pumps (VSPs) which allow for regulating valves in

The energy consumption by public drinking water and wastewater utilities represent up to 30%-40% of a municipality energy bill. The largest energy consumption is used to operate motors for pumping. As a result, the engineering and control community develop the Variable Speed Pumps (VSPs) which allow for regulating valves in the network instead of the traditional binary ON/OFF pumps. Potentially, VSPs save up to 90% of annual energy cost compared to the binary pump. The control problem has been tackled in the literature as “Pump Scheduling Optimization” (PSO) with a main focus on the cost minimization. Nonetheless, engineering literature is mostly concerned with the problem of understanding “healthy working conditions” (e.g., leakages, breakages) for a water infrastructure rather than the costs. This is very critical because if we operate a network under stress, it may satisfy the demand at present but will likely hinder network functionality in the future.

This research addresses the problem of analyzing working conditions of large water systems by means of a detailed hydraulic simulation model (e.g., EPANet) to gain insights into feasibility with respect to pressure, tank level, etc. This work presents a new framework called Feasible Set Approximation – Probabilistic Branch and Bound (FSA-PBnB) for the definition and determination of feasible solutions in terms of pumps regulation. We propose the concept of feasibility distance, which is measured as the distance of the current solution from the feasibility frontier to estimate the distribution of the feasibility values across the solution space. Based on this estimate, pruning the infeasible regions and maintaining the feasible regions are proposed to identify the desired feasible solutions. We test the proposed algorithm with both theoretical and real water networks. The results demonstrate that FSA-PBnB has the capability to identify the feasibility profile in an efficient way. Additionally, with the feasibility distance, we can understand the quality of sub-region in terms of feasibility.

The present work provides a basic feasibility determination framework on the low dimension problems. When FSA-PBnB extends to large scale constraint optimization problems, a more intelligent sampling method may be developed to further reduce the computational effort.
ContributorsTsai, Yi-An (Author) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Mascaro, Giuseppe (Committee member) / Zabinsky, Zelda (Committee member) / Candelieri, Antonio (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2018
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Description
I study the problem of locating Relay nodes (RN) to improve the connectivity of a set

of already deployed sensor nodes (SN) in a Wireless Sensor Network (WSN). This is

known as the Relay Node Placement Problem (RNPP). In this problem, one or more

nodes called Base Stations (BS) serve as the collection

I study the problem of locating Relay nodes (RN) to improve the connectivity of a set

of already deployed sensor nodes (SN) in a Wireless Sensor Network (WSN). This is

known as the Relay Node Placement Problem (RNPP). In this problem, one or more

nodes called Base Stations (BS) serve as the collection point of all the information

captured by SNs. SNs have limited transmission range and hence signals are transmitted

from the SNs to the BS through multi-hop routing. As a result, the WSN

is said to be connected if there exists a path for from each SN to the BS through

which signals can be hopped. The communication range of each node is modeled

with a disk of known radius such that two nodes are said to communicate if their

communication disks overlap. The goal is to locate a given number of RNs anywhere

in the continuous space of the WSN to maximize the number of SNs connected (i.e.,

maximize the network connectivity). To solve this problem, I propose an integer

programming based approach that iteratively approximates the Euclidean distance

needed to enforce sensor communication. This is achieved through a cutting-plane

approach with a polynomial-time separation algorithm that identies distance violations.

I illustrate the use of my algorithm on large-scale instances of up to 75 nodes

which can be solved in less than 60 minutes. The proposed method shows solutions

times many times faster than an alternative nonlinear formulation.
ContributorsSurendran, Vishal Sairam Jaitra (Author) / Sefair, Jorge (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Grubesic, Anthony (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2019
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Description
Mobile healthy food retailers are a novel alleviation technique to address disparities in access to urban produce stores in food desert communities. Such retailers, which tend to exclusively stock produce items, have become significantly more popular in the past decade, but many are unable to achieve economic sustainability. Therefore, when

Mobile healthy food retailers are a novel alleviation technique to address disparities in access to urban produce stores in food desert communities. Such retailers, which tend to exclusively stock produce items, have become significantly more popular in the past decade, but many are unable to achieve economic sustainability. Therefore, when local and federal grants and scholarships are no longer available for a mobile food retailer, they must stop operating which poses serious health risks to consumers who rely on their services.

To address these issues, a framework was established in this dissertation to aid mobile food retailers with reaching economic sustainability by addressing two key operational decisions. The first decision was the stocked product mix of the mobile retailer. In this problem, it was assumed that mobile retailers want to balance the health, consumer cost, and retailer profitability of their product mix. The second investigated decision was the scheduling and routing plan of the mobile retailer. In this problem, it was assumed that mobile retailers operate similarly to traditional distribution vehicles with the exception that their customers are willing to travel between service locations so long as they are in close proximity.

For each of these problems, multiple formulations were developed which address many of the nuances for most existing mobile food retailers. For each problem, a combination of exact and heuristic solution procedures were developed with many utilizing software independent methodologies as it was assumed that mobile retailers would not have access to advanced computational software. Extensive computational tests were performed on these algorithm with the findings demonstrating the advantages of the developed procedures over other algorithms and commercial software.

The applicability of these techniques to mobile food retailers was demonstrated through a case study on a local Phoenix, AZ mobile retailer. Both the product mix and routing of the retailer were evaluated using the developed tools under a variety of conditions and assumptions. The results from this study clearly demonstrate that improved decision making can result in improved profits and longitudinal sustainability for the Phoenix mobile food retailer and similar entities.
ContributorsWishon, Christopher John (Author) / Villalobos, Rene (Thesis advisor) / Fowler, John (Committee member) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Wharton, Christopher (Christopher Mack), 1977- (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
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Description
Efforts to enhance the quality of life and promote better health have led to improved water quality standards. Adequate daily fluid intake, primarily from tap water, is crucial for human health. By improving drinking water quality, negative health effects associated with consuming inadequate water can be mitigated. Although the United

Efforts to enhance the quality of life and promote better health have led to improved water quality standards. Adequate daily fluid intake, primarily from tap water, is crucial for human health. By improving drinking water quality, negative health effects associated with consuming inadequate water can be mitigated. Although the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) sets and enforces federal water quality limits at water treatment plants, water quality reaching end users degrades during the water delivery process, emphasizing the need for proactive control systems in buildings to ensure safe drinking water.Future commercial and institutional buildings are anticipated to feature real-time water quality sensors, automated flushing and filtration systems, temperature control devices, and chemical boosters. Integrating these technologies with a reliable water quality control system that optimizes the use of chemical additives, filtration, flushing, and temperature adjustments ensures users consistently have access to water of adequate quality. Additionally, existing buildings can be retrofitted with these technologies at a reasonable cost, guaranteeing user safety. In the absence of smart buildings with the required technology, Chapter 2 describes developing an EPANET-MSX (a multi-species extension of EPA’s water simulation tool) model for a typical 5-story building. Chapter 3 involves creating accurate nonlinear approximation models of EPANET-MSX’s complex fluid dynamics and chemical reactions and developing an open-loop water quality control system that can regulate the water quality based on the approximated state of water quality. To address potential sudden changes in water quality, improve predictions, and reduce the gap between approximated and true state of water quality, a feedback control loop is developed in Chapter 4. Lastly, this dissertation includes the development of a reinforcement learning (RL) based water quality control system for cases where the approximation models prove inadequate and cause instability during implementation with a real building water network. The RL-based control system can be implemented in various buildings without the need to develop new hydraulic models and can handle the stochastic nature of water demand, ensuring the proactive control system’s effectiveness in maintaining water quality within safe limits for consumption.
ContributorsGhasemzadeh, Kiarash (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Boyer, Treavor (Committee member) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Pedrielli, Giulia (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
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Description
Networks are a versatile modeling tool for the cyber and physical infrastructure that characterize society. They can be used to describe system spatiotemporal dynamics, including distribution of commodities, movement of agents, and data transmission. This flexibility has resulted in the widespread use of network optimization techniques for decision-making in telecommunications,

Networks are a versatile modeling tool for the cyber and physical infrastructure that characterize society. They can be used to describe system spatiotemporal dynamics, including distribution of commodities, movement of agents, and data transmission. This flexibility has resulted in the widespread use of network optimization techniques for decision-making in telecommunications, transportation, commerce, among other systems. However, realistic network problems are typically large-scale and require the use of integer variables to incorporate design or logical system constraints. This makes such problems hard to solve and precludes their wide applicability in the solution of applied problems. This dissertation studies four large-scale optimization problems with underlying network structure in different domain applications, including wireless sensor networks, wastewater monitoring, and scheduling. The problems of interest are formulated using mixed-integer optimization formulations. The proposed solution approaches in this dissertation include branch-and-cut and heuristic algorithms, which are enhanced with network-based valid inequalities and network reduction techniques. The first chapter studies a relay node placement problem in wireless sensor networks, with and without the presence of transmission obstacles in the deployment region. The proposed integer linear programming approach leverages the underlying network structure to produce valid inequalities and network reduction heuristics, which are incorporated in the branch-and-bound exploration. The solution approach outperforms the equivalent nonlinear model and solves instances with up to 1000 sensors within reasonable time. The second chapter studies the continuous version of the maximum capacity (widest) path interdiction problem and introduces the first known polynomial time algorithm to solve the problem using a combination of binary search and the discrete version of the Newton’s method. The third chapter explores the service agent transport interdiction problem in autonomous vehicle systems, where an agent schedules service tasks in the presence of an adversary. This chapter proposes a single stage branch-and-cut algorithm to solve the problem, along with several enhancement techniques to improve scalability. The last chapter studies the optimal placement of sensors in a wastewater network to minimize the maximum coverage (load) of placed sensors. This chapter proposes a branch-and-cut algorithm enhanced with network reduction techniques and strengthening constraints.
ContributorsMitra, Ankan (Author) / Sefair, Jorge A (Thesis advisor) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Grubesic, Anthony (Committee member) / Byeon, Geunyeong (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
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Description
In this dissertation, a cyber-physical system called MIDAS (Managing Interacting Demand And Supply) has been developed, where the “supply” refers to the transportation infrastructure including traffic controls while the “demand” refers to its dynamic traffic loads. The strength of MIDAS lies in its ability to proactively control and manage mixed

In this dissertation, a cyber-physical system called MIDAS (Managing Interacting Demand And Supply) has been developed, where the “supply” refers to the transportation infrastructure including traffic controls while the “demand” refers to its dynamic traffic loads. The strength of MIDAS lies in its ability to proactively control and manage mixed vehicular traffic, having various levels of autonomy, through traffic intersections. Using real-time traffic control algorithms MIDAS minimizes wait times, congestion, and travel times on existing roadways. For traffic engineers, efficient control of complicated traffic movements used at diamond interchanges (DI), which interface streets with freeways, is challenging for normal human driven vehicular traffic, let alone for communicationally-connected vehicles (CVs) due to stochastic demand and uncertainties. This dissertation first develops a proactive traffic control algorithm, MIDAS, using forward-recursion dynamic programming (DP), for scheduling large set of traffic movements of non-connected vehicles and CVs at the DIs, over a finite-time horizon. MIDAS captures measurements from fixed detectors and captures Lagrangian measurements from CVs, to estimate link travel times, arrival times and turning movements. Simulation study shows MIDAS’ outperforms (a) a current optimal state-of-art optimal fixed-cycle time control scheme, and (b) a state-of-art traffic adaptive cycle-free scheme. Subsequently, this dissertation addresses the challenges of improving the road capacity by platooning fully autonomous vehicles (AVs), resulting in smaller headways and greater road utilization. With the MIDAS AI (Autonomous Intersection) control, an effective platooning strategy is developed, and optimal release sequence of AVs is determined using a new forward-recursive DP that minimizes the time-loss delays of AVs. MIDAS AI evaluates the DP decisions every second and communicates optimal actions to the AVs. Although MIDAS AI’s exact DP achieves optimal solution in almost real-time compared to other exact algorithms, it suffers from scalability. To address this challenge, the dissertation then develops MIDAS RAIC (Reinforced Autonomous Intersection Control), a deep reinforcement learning based real-time dynamic traffic control system for AVs at an intersection. Simulation results show the proposed deep Q-learning architecture trains MIDAS RAIC to learn a near-optimal policy that minimizes the total cumulative time loss delay and performs nearly as well as the MIDAS AI.
ContributorsPotluri, Viswanath (Author) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Thesis advisor) / Ju, Feng (Committee member) / Zhou, Xuesong (Committee member) / Sefair, Jorge (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2023
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Description
The stable and efficient operation of the transmission network is fundamental to the power system’s ability to deliver electricity reliably and cheaply. As average temperatures continue to rise, the ability of the transmission network to meet demand is diminished. Higher temperatures lead to congestion by reducing thermal limits

The stable and efficient operation of the transmission network is fundamental to the power system’s ability to deliver electricity reliably and cheaply. As average temperatures continue to rise, the ability of the transmission network to meet demand is diminished. Higher temperatures lead to congestion by reducing thermal limits of lines while simultaneously reducing generation potential. Furthermore, they contribute to the growing frequency and ferocity of devasting weather events. Due to prohibitive costs and limited real estate for building new lines, it is necessary to consider flexible investment options (e.g., transmission switching, capacity expansion, etc.) to improve the functionality and efficiency of the grid. Increased flexibility, however, requires many discrete choices, rendering fully accurate models intractable. This dissertation derives several classes of structural valid inequalities and employs them to accelerate the solution process for each of the proposed expansion planning problems. The valid inequalities leverage the variability of the cumulative capacity-reactance products of parallel simple paths in networks with flexible topology, such as those found in transmission expansion planning problems. Ongoing changes to the climate and weather will have vastly differing impacts a regional and local scale, yet these effects are difficult to predict. This dissertation models the long-term and short-term uncertainty of rising temperatures and severe weather events on transmission network components in both stochastic and robust mixed-integer linear programming frameworks. It develops a novel test case constructed from publicly available data on the Arizona transmission network. The models and test case are used to test the impacts of climate and weather on regional expansion decisions.
ContributorsSkolfield, Joshua Kyle (Author) / Escobedo, Adolfo R (Thesis advisor) / Sefair, Jorge (Committee member) / Mirchandani, Pitu (Committee member) / Hedman, Mojdeh (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022