Matching Items (8)
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- All Subjects: Mathematics
- Creators: Castillo-Chavez, Carlos
Description
Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases can help public health officials to make decisions related to the mitigation of epidemic outbreaks. However, over or under estimations of the morbidity of any infectious disease can be problematic. Therefore, public health officials can always make use of better models to study the potential implication of their decisions and strategies prior to their implementation. Previous work focuses on the mechanisms underlying the different epidemic waves observed in Mexico during the novel swine origin influenza H1N1 pandemic of 2009 and showed extensions of classical models in epidemiology by adding temporal variations in different parameters that are likely to change during the time course of an epidemic, such as, the influence of media, social distancing, school closures, and how vaccination policies may affect different aspects of the dynamics of an epidemic. This current work further examines the influence of different factors considering the randomness of events by adding stochastic processes to meta-population models. I present three different approaches to compare different stochastic methods by considering discrete and continuous time. For the continuous time stochastic modeling approach I consider the continuous-time Markov chain process using forward Kolmogorov equations, for the discrete time stochastic modeling I consider stochastic differential equations using Wiener's increment and Poisson point increments, and also I consider the discrete-time Markov chain process. These first two stochastic modeling approaches will be presented in a one city and two city epidemic models using, as a base, our deterministic model. The last one will be discussed briefly on a one city SIS and SIR-type model.
ContributorsCruz-Aponte, Maytee (Author) / Wirkus, Stephen A. (Thesis advisor) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Camacho, Erika T. (Committee member) / Kang, Yun (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2014
Description
This study contributes to the ongoing discussion of Mathematical Knowledge for Teaching (MKT). It investigates the case of Rico, a high school mathematics teacher who had become known to his colleagues and his students as a superbly effective mathematics teacher. His students not only developed excellent mathematical skills, they also developed deep understanding of the mathematics they learned. Moreover, Rico redesigned his curricula and instruction completely so that they provided a means of support for his students to learn mathematics the way he intended. The purpose of this study was to understand the sources of Rico's effectiveness. The data for this study was generated in three phases. Phase I included videos of Rico's lessons during one semester of an Algebra II course, post-lesson reflections, and Rico's self-constructed instructional materials. An analysis of Phase I data led to Phase II, which consisted of eight extensive stimulated-reflection interviews with Rico. Phase III consisted of a conceptual analysis of the prior phases with the aim of creating models of Rico's mathematical conceptions, his conceptions of his students' mathematical understandings, and his images of instruction and instructional design. Findings revealed that Rico had developed profound personal understandings, grounded in quantitative reasoning, of the mathematics that he taught, and profound pedagogical understandings that supported these very same ways of thinking in his students. Rico's redesign was driven by three factors: (1) the particular way in which Rico himself understood the mathematics he taught, (2) his reflective awareness of those ways of thinking, and (3) his ability to envision what students might learn from different instructional approaches. Rico always considered what someone might already need to understand in order to understand "this" in the way he was thinking of it, and how understanding "this" might help students understand related ideas or methods. Rico's continual reflection on the mathematics he knew so as to make it more coherent, and his continual orientation to imagining how these meanings might work for students' learning, made Rico's mathematics become a mathematics of students--impacting how he assessed his practice and engaging him in a continual process of developing MKT.
ContributorsLage Ramírez, Ana Elisa (Author) / Thompson, Patrick W. (Thesis advisor) / Carlson, Marilyn P. (Committee member) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Committee member) / Saldanha, Luis (Committee member) / Middleton, James A. (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2011
Description
The Quantum Harmonic Oscillator is one of the most important models in Quantum Mechanics. Analogous to the classical mass vibrating back and forth on a spring, the quantum oscillator system has attracted substantial attention over the years because of its importance in many advanced and difficult quantum problems. This dissertation deals with solving generalized models of the time-dependent Schrodinger equation which are called generalized quantum harmonic oscillators, and these are characterized by an arbitrary quadratic Hamiltonian of linear momentum and position operators. The primary challenge in this work is that most quantum models with timedependence are not solvable explicitly, yet this challenge became the driving motivation for this work. In this dissertation, the methods used to solve the time-dependent Schrodinger equation are the fundamental singularity (or Green's function) and the Fourier (eigenfunction expansion) methods. Certain Riccati- and Ermakov-type systems arise, and these systems are highlighted and investigated. The overall aims of this dissertation are to show that quadratic Hamiltonian systems are completely integrable systems, and to provide explicit approaches to solving the time-dependent Schr¨odinger equation governed by an arbitrary quadratic Hamiltonian operator. The methods and results established in the dissertation are not yet well recognized in the literature, yet hold for high promise for further future research. Finally, the most recent results in the dissertation correspond to the harmonic oscillator group and its symmetries. A simple derivation of the maximum kinematical invariance groups of the free particle and quantum harmonic oscillator is constructed from the view point of the Riccati- and Ermakov-type systems, which shows an alternative to the traditional Lie Algebra approach. To conclude, a missing class of solutions of the time-dependent Schr¨odinger equation for the simple harmonic oscillator in one dimension is constructed. Probability distributions of the particle linear position and momentum, are emphasized with Mathematica animations. The eigenfunctions qualitatively differ from the traditional standing waves of the one-dimensional Schrodinger equation. The physical relevance of these dynamic states is still questionable, and in order to investigate their physical meaning, animations could also be created for the squeezed coherent states. This will be addressed in future work.
ContributorsLopez, Raquel (Author) / Suslov, Sergei K (Thesis advisor) / Radunskaya, Ami (Committee member) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Committee member) / Platte, Rodrigo (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
Description
The Mathematical and Theoretical Biology Institute (MTBI) is a summer research program for undergraduate students, largely from underrepresented minority groups. Founded in 1996, it serves as a 'life-long' mentorship program, providing continuous support for its students and alumni. This study investigates how MTBI supports student development in applied mathematical research. This includes identifying of motivational factors to pursue and develop capacity to complete higher education.
The theoretical lens of developmental psychologists Lev Vygotsky (1978, 1987) and Lois Holzman (2010) that sees learning and development as a social process is used. From this view student development in MTBI is attributed to the collaborative and creative way students co-create the process of becoming scientists. This results in building a continuing network of academic and professional relationships among peers and mentors, in which around three quarters of MTBI PhD graduates come from underrepresented groups.
The extent to which MTBI creates a Vygotskian learning environment is explored from the perspectives of participants who earned doctoral degrees. Previously hypothesized factors (Castillo-Garsow, Castillo-Chavez and Woodley, 2013) that affect participants’ educational and professional development are expanded on.
Factors identified by participants are a passion for the mathematical sciences; desire to grow; enriching collaborative and peer-like interactions; and discovering career options. The self-recognition that they had the ability to be successful, key element of the Vygotskian-Holzman theoretical framework, was a commonly identified theme for their educational development and professional growth.
Participants characterize the collaborative and creative aspects of MTBI. They reported that collaborative dynamics with peers were strengthened as they co-created a learning environment that facilitated and accelerated their understanding of the mathematics needed to address their research. The dynamics of collaboration allowed them to complete complex homework assignments, and helped them formulate and complete their projects. Participants identified the creative environments of their research projects as where creativity emerged in the dynamics of the program.
These data-driven findings characterize for the first time a summer program in the mathematical sciences as a Vygotskian-Holzman environment, that is, a `place’ where participants are seen as capable applied mathematicians, where the dynamics of collaboration and creativity are fundamental components.
The theoretical lens of developmental psychologists Lev Vygotsky (1978, 1987) and Lois Holzman (2010) that sees learning and development as a social process is used. From this view student development in MTBI is attributed to the collaborative and creative way students co-create the process of becoming scientists. This results in building a continuing network of academic and professional relationships among peers and mentors, in which around three quarters of MTBI PhD graduates come from underrepresented groups.
The extent to which MTBI creates a Vygotskian learning environment is explored from the perspectives of participants who earned doctoral degrees. Previously hypothesized factors (Castillo-Garsow, Castillo-Chavez and Woodley, 2013) that affect participants’ educational and professional development are expanded on.
Factors identified by participants are a passion for the mathematical sciences; desire to grow; enriching collaborative and peer-like interactions; and discovering career options. The self-recognition that they had the ability to be successful, key element of the Vygotskian-Holzman theoretical framework, was a commonly identified theme for their educational development and professional growth.
Participants characterize the collaborative and creative aspects of MTBI. They reported that collaborative dynamics with peers were strengthened as they co-created a learning environment that facilitated and accelerated their understanding of the mathematics needed to address their research. The dynamics of collaboration allowed them to complete complex homework assignments, and helped them formulate and complete their projects. Participants identified the creative environments of their research projects as where creativity emerged in the dynamics of the program.
These data-driven findings characterize for the first time a summer program in the mathematical sciences as a Vygotskian-Holzman environment, that is, a `place’ where participants are seen as capable applied mathematicians, where the dynamics of collaboration and creativity are fundamental components.
ContributorsEvangelista, Arlene Morales (Author) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Holmes, Raquell M. (Committee member) / Mubayi, Anuj (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
Description
The Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) is primarily endemic in five countries, with India and Sudan having the highest burden. The risk factors associated with VL are either unknown in some regions or vary drastically among empirical studies. Here, a dynamical model, motivated and informed by field data from the literature, is analyzed and employed to identify and quantify the impact of region dependent risks on the VL transmission dynamics. Parameter estimation procedures were developed using model-derived quantities and empirical data from multiple resources. The dynamics of VL depend on the estimates of the control reproductive number, RC, interpreted as the average number of secondary infections generated by a single infectious individual during the infectious period. The distribution of RC was estimated for both India (with mean 2.1 ± 1.1) and Sudan (with mean 1.45 ± 0.57). This suggests that VL can be established in naive regions of India more easily than in naive regions of Sudan. The parameter sensitivity analysis on RC suggests that the average biting rate and transmission probabilities between host and vector are among the most sensitive parameters for both countries. The comparative assessment of VL transmission dynamics in both India and Sudan was carried out by parameter sensitivity analysis on VL-related prevalences (such as prevalences of asymptomatic hosts, symptomatic hosts, and infected vectors). The results identify that the treatment and symptoms’ developmental rates are parameters that are highly sensitive to VL symptomatic and asymptomatic host prevalence, respectively, for both countries. It is found that the estimates of transmission probability are significantly different between India (from human to sandflies with mean of 0.39 ± 0.12; from sandflies to human with mean 0.0005 ± 0.0002) and Sudan (from human to sandflies with mean 0.26 ± 0.07; from sandflies to human with mean 0.0002 ± 0.0001). The results have significant implications for elimination. An increasing focus on elimination requires a review of priorities within the VL control agenda. The development of systematic implementation of control programs based on identified risk factors (such as monitoring of asymptomatically infected individuals) has a high transmission-blocking potential.
ContributorsBarley, Kamal K (Author) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Mubayi, Anuj (Thesis advisor) / Safan, Muntaser (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), type 2 diabetes accounts for 90-95% of diabetes (29.1 million) cases and manifests in 15-30% of prediabetes (86 million) cases, where 9 out of 10 individuals do not know they have prediabetes. Obesity, observed in 56.9% of diabetes cases, arises from the interactions among genetic, biological, environmental, and behavioral factors that are not well understood. Assessing the strength of these links in conjunction with the identification and evaluation of intervention strategies in vulnerable populations is central to the study of chronic diseases. This research addresses three issues that loosely connect three levels of organization utilizing a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods. First, the nonlinear dynamics between insulin, glucose, and free fatty acids is studied via a hypothesis-based model and validated with bariatric surgery data, demonstrating key metabolic factors for maintaining glucose homeostasis. Second, the challenges associated with the treatment or management, and prevention of diabetes is explored in the context of an individualized-based intervention study, highlighting the importance of diet and environment. Third, the importance of tailored school lunch programs and policies is studied through contagion models developed within a social ecological framework. The Ratatouille Effect, motivated by a pilot study among PreK-8th grade Arizona students, is studied and exposes the importance of institutionalizing practical methods that factor in the culture, norms, and values of the community. The outcomes of this research illustrate an integrative framework that bridges physiological, individual, and population level approaches to study type 2 diabetes and obesity from a holistic perspective. This work reveals the significance of utilizing quantitative and qualitative methods to better elucidate underlying causes of chronic diseases and for developing solutions that lead to sustainable healthy behaviors, and more importantly, the need for translatable multilevel methodologies for the study of the progression, treatment, and prevention of chronic diseases from a multidisciplinary perspective.
ContributorsLe Murillo, Anarina (Author) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Li, Jiaxu (Thesis advisor) / Phillips, Elizabeth D. (Committee member) / Towers, Sherry (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2016
Description
In the traditional setting of quantum mechanics, the Hamiltonian operator does not depend on time. While some Schrödinger equations with time-dependent Hamiltonians have been solved, explicitly solvable cases are typically scarce. This thesis is a collection of papers in which this first author along with Suslov, Suazo, and Lopez, has worked on solving a series of Schrödinger equations with a time-dependent quadratic Hamiltonian that has applications in problems of quantum electrodynamics, lasers, quantum devices such as quantum dots, and external varying fields. In particular the author discusses a new completely integrable case of the time-dependent Schrödinger equation in R^n with variable coefficients for a modified oscillator, which is dual with respect to the time inversion to a model of the quantum oscillator considered by Meiler, Cordero-Soto, and Suslov. A second pair of dual Hamiltonians is found in the momentum representation. Our examples show that in mathematical physics and quantum mechanics a change in the direction of time may require a total change of the system dynamics in order to return the system back to its original quantum state. The author also considers several models of the damped oscillators in nonrelativistic quantum mechanics in a framework of a general approach to the dynamics of the time-dependent Schrödinger equation with variable quadratic Hamiltonians. The Green functions are explicitly found in terms of elementary functions and the corresponding gauge transformations are discussed. The factorization technique is applied to the case of a shifted harmonic oscillator. The time-evolution of the expectation values of the energy related operators is determined for two models of the quantum damped oscillators under consideration. The classical equations of motion for the damped oscillations are derived for the corresponding expectation values of the position operator. Finally, the author constructs integrals of motion for several models of the quantum damped oscillators in a framework of a general approach to the time-dependent Schrödinger equation with variable quadratic Hamiltonians. An extension of the Lewis-Riesenfeld dynamical invariant is given. The time-evolution of the expectation values of the energy related positive operators is determined for the oscillators under consideration. A proof of uniqueness of the corresponding Cauchy initial value problem is discussed as an application.
ContributorsCordero-Soto, Ricardo J (Author) / Suslov, Sergei (Thesis advisor) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Engman, Martin (Committee member) / Herrera-Valdez, Marco (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2011
Description
Statistical Methods have been widely used in understanding factors for clinical and public health data. Statistical hypotheses are procedures for testing pre-stated hypotheses. The development and properties of these procedures as well as their performance are based upon certain assumptions. Desirable properties of statistical tests are to maintain validity and to perform well even if these assumptions are not met. A statistical test that maintains such desirable properties is called robust. Mathematical models are typically mechanistic framework, used to study dynamic interactions between components (mechanisms) of a system, and how these interactions give rise to the changes in behavior (patterns) of the system as a whole over time.
In this thesis, I have developed a study that uses novel techniques to link robust statistical tests and mathematical modeling methods guided by limited data from developed and developing regions in order to address pressing clinical and epidemiological questions of interest. The procedure in this study consists of three primary steps, namely, data collection, uncertainty quantification in data, and linking dynamic model to collected data.
The first part of the study focuses on designing, collecting, and summarizing empirical data from the only national survey of hospitals ever conducted regarding patient controlled analgesia (PCA) practices among 168 hospitals across 40 states, in order to assess risks before putting patients on PCA. I used statistical relational models and exploratory data analysis to address the question. Risk factors assessed indicate a great concern for the safety of patients from one healthcare institution to other.
In the second part, I quantify uncertainty associated with data obtained from James A Lovell Federal Healthcare Center to primarily study the effect of Benign Prostatic Hypertrophy (BPH) on sleep architecture in patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA). Patients with OSA and BPH demonstrated significant difference in their sleep architecture in comparison to patients without BPH. One of the ways to validate these differences in sleep architecture between the two groups may be to carry out a similar study that evaluates the effect of some other chronic disease on sleep architecture in patients with OSA.
Additionally, I also address theoretical statistical questions such as (1) how to estimate the distribution of a variable in order to retest null hypothesis when the sample size is limited, and (2) how changes on assumptions (like monotonicity and nonlinearity) translate into the effect of the independent variable on the outcome variable. To address these questions we use multiple techniques such as Partial Rank Correlation Coefficients (PRCC) based sensitivity analysis, Fractional Polynomials, and statistical relational models.
In the third part, my goal was to identify socio-economic-environment-related risk factors for Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) and use the identified critical factors to develop a mathematical model to understand VL transmission dynamics when data is highly underreported. I primarily studied the role of age-specific- susceptibility and epidemiological quantities on the dynamics of VL in the Indian state of Bihar. Statistical results provided ideas on the choice of the modeling framework and estimates of model parameters.
In the conclusion, this study addressed three primary theoretical modeling-related questions (1) how to analyze collected data when sample size limited, and how modeling assumptions varies results of data analysis? (2) Is it possible to identify hidden associations and nonlinearity of these associations using such underpowered data and (3) how statistical models provide more reasonable structure to mathematical modeling framework that can be used in turn to understand dynamics of the system.
In this thesis, I have developed a study that uses novel techniques to link robust statistical tests and mathematical modeling methods guided by limited data from developed and developing regions in order to address pressing clinical and epidemiological questions of interest. The procedure in this study consists of three primary steps, namely, data collection, uncertainty quantification in data, and linking dynamic model to collected data.
The first part of the study focuses on designing, collecting, and summarizing empirical data from the only national survey of hospitals ever conducted regarding patient controlled analgesia (PCA) practices among 168 hospitals across 40 states, in order to assess risks before putting patients on PCA. I used statistical relational models and exploratory data analysis to address the question. Risk factors assessed indicate a great concern for the safety of patients from one healthcare institution to other.
In the second part, I quantify uncertainty associated with data obtained from James A Lovell Federal Healthcare Center to primarily study the effect of Benign Prostatic Hypertrophy (BPH) on sleep architecture in patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA). Patients with OSA and BPH demonstrated significant difference in their sleep architecture in comparison to patients without BPH. One of the ways to validate these differences in sleep architecture between the two groups may be to carry out a similar study that evaluates the effect of some other chronic disease on sleep architecture in patients with OSA.
Additionally, I also address theoretical statistical questions such as (1) how to estimate the distribution of a variable in order to retest null hypothesis when the sample size is limited, and (2) how changes on assumptions (like monotonicity and nonlinearity) translate into the effect of the independent variable on the outcome variable. To address these questions we use multiple techniques such as Partial Rank Correlation Coefficients (PRCC) based sensitivity analysis, Fractional Polynomials, and statistical relational models.
In the third part, my goal was to identify socio-economic-environment-related risk factors for Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) and use the identified critical factors to develop a mathematical model to understand VL transmission dynamics when data is highly underreported. I primarily studied the role of age-specific- susceptibility and epidemiological quantities on the dynamics of VL in the Indian state of Bihar. Statistical results provided ideas on the choice of the modeling framework and estimates of model parameters.
In the conclusion, this study addressed three primary theoretical modeling-related questions (1) how to analyze collected data when sample size limited, and how modeling assumptions varies results of data analysis? (2) Is it possible to identify hidden associations and nonlinearity of these associations using such underpowered data and (3) how statistical models provide more reasonable structure to mathematical modeling framework that can be used in turn to understand dynamics of the system.
ContributorsGonzalez, Beverly, 1980- (Author) / Castillo-Chavez, Carlos (Thesis advisor) / Mubayi, Anuj (Thesis advisor) / Nuno, Miriam (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015