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Over 2 billion people are using online social network services, such as Facebook, Twitter, Google+, LinkedIn, and Pinterest. Users update their status, post their photos, share their information, and chat with others in these social network sites every day; however, not everyone shares the same amount of information. This thesis

Over 2 billion people are using online social network services, such as Facebook, Twitter, Google+, LinkedIn, and Pinterest. Users update their status, post their photos, share their information, and chat with others in these social network sites every day; however, not everyone shares the same amount of information. This thesis explores methods of linking publicly available data sources as a means of extrapolating missing information of Facebook. An application named "Visual Friends Income Map" has been created on Facebook to collect social network data and explore geodemographic properties to link publicly available data, such as the US census data. Multiple predictors are implemented to link data sets and extrapolate missing information from Facebook with accurate predictions. The location based predictor matches Facebook users' locations with census data at the city level for income and demographic predictions. Age and relationship based predictors are created to improve the accuracy of the proposed location based predictor utilizing social network link information. In the case where a user does not share any location information on their Facebook profile, a kernel density estimation location predictor is created. This predictor utilizes publicly available telephone record information of all people with the same surname of this user in the US to create a likelihood distribution of the user's location. This is combined with the user's IP level information in order to narrow the probability estimation down to a local regional constraint.
ContributorsMao, Jingxian (Author) / Maciejewski, Ross (Thesis advisor) / Farin, Gerald (Committee member) / Wang, Yalin (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2012
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Description
Before 1990s, the relationship between money supply and inflation was positively correlated, however, from 1990 onwards, the US and other major developed countries entered into a new financial era with a typical belief that hyper money supply coexisted with lower inflation. This phenomenon is called “the paradox of inflation”. Traditional

Before 1990s, the relationship between money supply and inflation was positively correlated, however, from 1990 onwards, the US and other major developed countries entered into a new financial era with a typical belief that hyper money supply coexisted with lower inflation. This phenomenon is called “the paradox of inflation”. Traditional theories cannot provide reasonable explanations of this new phenomenon.

In my study, I have taken the linear filtering techniques which Lucas developed in 1980, and the recursive estimation method, as well as the chow test and F-test, and choose the data of the US, Britain, Japan, Germany, Euro area, BRICKs and some members of ASEAN, from 1960 to 2012, to study the relationship between annual rate of M2 growth and CPI inflation. The results show that in most sample developed and developing countries the positive correlation relationship between money supply and inflation began to weaken since the 1990s, and “the paradox of inflation” is now a common phenomenon.

In my paper, I attempt to provide a new explanation of “the paradox of inflation”. I conjecture that, in the past two decades, some advanced countries were becoming a “relatively wealthy society”, which means that commodity supply as well as money supply is abundant. I state that the US is a “relatively wealthy society” and try to determine what features could mark a “relatively wealthy society”.

I choose the credit growth rate of nonfinancial sectors and the ratio of dividends to investment to represent the production inclination of the business sector, and choose the income per capita and the GINI index to represent the consumption inclination of the resident sector. Then, through a semi parametric varying-coefficient regression model, I found that, in the US, when the credit growth of the business sector is under 5%, the ratio of dividends to investment is over 0.20, the per capita income is more than $30,000, and the GINI index is over 0.45, the country becomes a “relatively wealthy society”.

Base on this new explanation, I can conclude “in the relatively wealthy society, inflation is no longer a monetary phenomenon; it is a wealth allocation phenomenon”.
ContributorsCao, Tong (Author) / Prescott, Edward C. (Thesis advisor) / Liu, Jun (Thesis advisor) / Chun, Chang (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2015
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Description

One of the most pressing questions in economics is “why are some countries richer than others?” One methodology designed to help answer the question is known as “Development Accounting,” a framework that organizes the determinants of income into two categories: differences in inputs and differences in efficiency. The objective of

One of the most pressing questions in economics is “why are some countries richer than others?” One methodology designed to help answer the question is known as “Development Accounting,” a framework that organizes the determinants of income into two categories: differences in inputs and differences in efficiency. The objective of our work is to study to what extent differences in the levels of pollution can help explain income differences across countries. To do this, we adjusted a factor-only model to allow us to enter PM2.5, a measure of pollution that tracks the concentration of fine particulate matter in the air and looked to see if the model’s predictive power improved. We ultimately find that we can improve the model’s success in predicting GDP by .5 - 6%. Thus, pollution is unlikely to be a major force in understanding cross-country income differences, but it can be used with other economic factors to potentially magnify its impact with other additions in the future.

ContributorsShelton, Jacinda Bridget (Co-author) / Perdue, Liam (Co-author) / Datta, Manjira (Thesis director) / Vereshchagina, Galina (Committee member) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor) / Department of Economics (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2021-05
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Description

Using the Development Accounting methodology specified in Caselli (2004), we investigate the potential of PM2.5, a measure of pollution, as an explanation of cross-country differences in GDP using available Macroeconomic data from the Penn World Table and the WHO. We find that the addition of PM2.5 makes improvements to the

Using the Development Accounting methodology specified in Caselli (2004), we investigate the potential of PM2.5, a measure of pollution, as an explanation of cross-country differences in GDP using available Macroeconomic data from the Penn World Table and the WHO. We find that the addition of PM2.5 makes improvements to the model within the expectations of the literature. This adjustment shows promise for use in cooperation with other, more potent economic factors.

ContributorsPerdue, Liam Edward (Co-author) / Shelton, Jacinda (Co-author) / Datta, Manjira (Thesis director) / Vereshchagina, Galina (Committee member) / Department of Economics (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2021-05
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Description

Urban ecosystems are subjected to high temperatures—extreme heat events, chronically hot weather, or both—through interactions between local and global climate processes. Urban vegetation may provide a cooling ecosystem service, although many knowledge gaps exist in the biophysical and social dynamics of using this service to reduce climate extremes. To better

Urban ecosystems are subjected to high temperatures—extreme heat events, chronically hot weather, or both—through interactions between local and global climate processes. Urban vegetation may provide a cooling ecosystem service, although many knowledge gaps exist in the biophysical and social dynamics of using this service to reduce climate extremes. To better understand patterns of urban vegetated cooling, the potential water requirements to supply these services, and differential access to these services between residential neighborhoods, we evaluated three decades (1970–2000) of land surface characteristics and residential segregation by income in the Phoenix, Arizona, USA metropolitan region. We developed an ecosystem service trade‐offs approach to assess the urban heat riskscape, defined as the spatial variation in risk exposure and potential human vulnerability to extreme heat. In this region, vegetation provided nearly a 25°C surface cooling compared to bare soil on low‐humidity summer days; the magnitude of this service was strongly coupled to air temperature and vapor pressure deficits.

To estimate the water loss associated with land‐surface cooling, we applied a surface energy balance model. Our initial estimates suggest 2.7 mm/d of water may be used in supplying cooling ecosystem services in the Phoenix region on a summer day. The availability and corresponding resource use requirements of these ecosystem services had a strongly positive relationship with neighborhood income in the year 2000. However, economic stratification in access to services is a recent development: no vegetation–income relationship was observed in 1970, and a clear trend of increasing correlation was evident through 2000. To alleviate neighborhood inequality in risks from extreme heat through increased vegetation and evaporative cooling, large increases in regional water use would be required. Together, these results suggest the need for a systems evaluation of the benefits, costs, spatial structure, and temporal trajectory for the use of ecosystem services to moderate climate extremes. Increasing vegetation is one strategy for moderating regional climate changes in urban areas and simultaneously providing multiple ecosystem services. However, vegetation has economic, water, and social equity implications that vary dramatically across neighborhoods and need to be managed through informed environmental policies.

ContributorsJenerette, G. Darrel (Author) / Harlan, Sharon L. (Author) / Stefanov, William L. (Author) / Martin, Chris A. (Author)
Created2011-10-01
Description

The incidence of childhood obesity has become increasingly prevalent in the United States in recent years. The development of obesity at any age, but especially in adolescence, can have lasting negative effects in the form of cardiometabolic disease, increased incurred healthcare costs, and potential negative effects on quality of life.

The incidence of childhood obesity has become increasingly prevalent in the United States in recent years. The development of obesity at any age, but especially in adolescence, can have lasting negative effects in the form of cardiometabolic disease, increased incurred healthcare costs, and potential negative effects on quality of life. In recent years, a rising trend of obesity, in both adults and adolescents, has been observed in lower income and ethnic groups. Increased adiposity can be influenced by modifiable factors -(physical activity, caloric intake, or sleep) or by non-modifiable factors (ethnicity, genetic predispositions, and socioeconomic status). The influence of these factors can be observed in individuals of all ages, including infants. A common indicator of the development of childhood obesity is rapid weight gain (RWG) within an infant’s first year of life. The composition of the gut microbiome can act as a predictor for RWG and the development of childhood obesity. Infants are exposed to an immense microbial load when they are born and their gut microbiome is continually diversified through their method of feeding and the subsequent introduction to solid foods. While currently understudied, it is understood that cultural and socioeconomic factors influence the development of the gut microbiome, which is further explored in this analysis. The DNA from 51 fecal samples from infants ranging from 3 weeks to 12 months in age was extracted and sequenced using next-generation sequencing, and the resulting sequences were analyzed using QIIME 2. Results from alpha-diversity and beta-diversity metrics showed significant differences in the gut microbiome of infants when comparing groups based on baby race/ethnicity, household income, and mom’s education. These findings suggest the importance of sociodemographic characteristics in shaping the gut microbiome and suggest the importance of future studies including diverse populations in gut microbiome work.

ContributorsGallello, Chloe (Author) / Whisner, Corrie (Thesis director) / Petrov, Megan (Committee member) / Redding, Kevin (Committee member) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor) / School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (Contributor) / School of Molecular Sciences (Contributor) / School of Life Sciences (Contributor)
Created2023-05
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Description
More people live in cities or metropolitan areas than ever before, which encompass many types of urbanization. These areas are culturally diverse and densely populated heterogeneous landscapes that are shaped by socio-ecological patterns. Cities support human and wildlife populations that are influenced indirectly and directly by human decisions. This process

More people live in cities or metropolitan areas than ever before, which encompass many types of urbanization. These areas are culturally diverse and densely populated heterogeneous landscapes that are shaped by socio-ecological patterns. Cities support human and wildlife populations that are influenced indirectly and directly by human decisions. This process can result in unequal access to environmental services and accessible green spaces. Additionally, biodiversity distribution is influenced by human decisions. Although neighborhood income can drive biodiversity in metropolitan areas (i.e., the ‘luxury effect’), other socio-cultural factors may also influence the presence and abundance of wildlife beyond simple measures of wealth. To understand how additional social factors shape distributions of wildlife, I ask, are patterns of wildlife distribution associated with neighborhood ethnicity, in addition to income and ecological landscape characteristics within metropolitan areas? Utilizing data from 38 wildlife cameras deployed in neighborhood public parks and non-built spaces in metro Phoenix, AZ (USA), I estimated occupancy and activity patterns of coyotes (Canis latrans), desert cottontail rabbits (Sylvilagus audubonii), and domestic cats (Felis catus) across gradients of median household income and neighborhood ethnicity, estimated by the proportion of Latinx residents. Neighborhood ethnicity appeared in the top models for all species, and neighborhood % of Latinx residents was inversely associated with presence of native Sonoran Desert animals (coyotes and cottontail rabbits). Furthermore, daily activity patterns of coyotes differed in neighborhoods with higher vs. lower proportion of Latinx residents. My results suggest that socio-cultural variables beyond income are associated with wildlife distributions, and that factors associated with neighborhood ethnicity may be an informative correlate of city-wide ecological patterns. In this research, I unraveled predictive social variables and differentiated wildlife distribution across neighborhood gradients of income and ethnic composition, bringing attention to the potentially unequal distribution of mammals in cities.
ContributorsCocroft, Alexandreana (Author) / Hall, Sharon J (Thesis advisor) / Lerman, Susannah B (Committee member) / Lewis, Jesse (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2022
Description目前我国社会主要矛盾是“人民日益增长的美好生活需要和不平衡不充分的发展之间的矛盾”。消费对经济增长的贡献率达76.2%,而消费场所-购物中心为代表的的商业地产发展却落后于住宅地产的发展,不被房地产商所青睐。本文希望通过对影响购物中心租金收入因素的研究,运用统计回归模型分析,发现购物中心运营效益的重要决定因素。样本数据主要来自于8家上市公司的146个项目,对各项目2015年-2019年连续的租金收入进行分析。 现有研究购物中心文献,对于中国购物中心多区域多品牌动态运营绩效的研究文献很少,同时研究数据的取得难度大,还没有发现通过大样本数理统计得出的结论。 本文通过实证分析研究框架,运用二手数据,采用归纳研究,以“城市商圈的影响力”对购物中心每平米每日租金的影响进行回归分析。通过回归模型的量化分析,对日租金收入的影响因素城市商圈、城市人均GDP、开业期限、建筑面积、资金成本、出租率等进行分析,对购物中心品牌进行调节变量分析,得出城市商圈对日租金收入的影响是显著的,大城市的核心商圈或新城区核心商圈的购物中心日租金收入将强于同行,同时购物中心品牌的影响也是明显的。 中国住宅房地产投资已经到高点,房地产商未来的发展之路将面临新的选择。不同于住宅,购物中心的持有型特性将会给房地产商带来稳定的收入。通过对城市商圈等影响因子的分析,将对房地产商未来投资运营购物中心有重要的指导意义。
ContributorsLu, Xiaohui (Author) / Chen, Pei-Yu (Thesis advisor) / Chen, Xin (Thesis advisor) / Zhang, Anming (Committee member) / Arizona State University (Publisher)
Created2021
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Description
To address the costs of Universal Basic Income (UBI) implementation while promoting new perspectives and broader thinking.

This paper will introduce UBI as a concept and a program to better understand its implementation around the world and the underlying theory of how to afford its sustained use. The paper examines several

To address the costs of Universal Basic Income (UBI) implementation while promoting new perspectives and broader thinking.

This paper will introduce UBI as a concept and a program to better understand its implementation around the world and the underlying theory of how to afford its sustained use. The paper examines several different implementation and funding mechanisms that are all focused on economic growth as the sole measure of success. It displays how UBI's program costs make it insufficient for further use under those metrics. This paper introduces the need to change the narrative to focus less on GDP-growth and more about the positive benefits of income distribution to raise the poverty line, decrease income inequality, and increase the overall well-being of each citizen in the United States.
ContributorsGordon, Chandler Robert (Author) / Hill, Alexander (Thesis director) / Wong, Kelvin (Committee member) / Dean, W.P. Carey School of Business (Contributor) / Economics Program in CLAS (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2020-05
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This thesis explores how different environments including poverty and crime rates relate to an individual’s perception of the future and academic success. The results from this study of 709 participants (15 of the participants were omitted due to incorrect or invalid information being submitted) showed that household income significantly predicted

This thesis explores how different environments including poverty and crime rates relate to an individual’s perception of the future and academic success. The results from this study of 709 participants (15 of the participants were omitted due to incorrect or invalid information being submitted) showed that household income significantly predicted both vividness of the future and cumulative GPA; there was a positive correlation with GPA and a negative correlation with vividness. Incarceration rate was a marginally significant predictor of future and did not significantly predict cumulative GPA. It was also observed that men are more impacted by lower household income and higher incarceration rates than women when using at GPA as an outcome. The future vividness outcome showed no significant difference between men and women for either household income or incarceration rate. This study could be improved by having a group of participants whose population is more representative of different backgrounds.
ContributorsHsu, Ryu (Author) / Kwan, Virginia (Thesis director) / McMichael, Samantha (Committee member) / School of Molecular Sciences (Contributor) / Barrett, The Honors College (Contributor)
Created2020-05