Matching Items (3)

Filtering by

Clear all filters

156343-Thumbnail Image.png

An Empirical Study on the Short-run Performance before and after the Unlock of Private Placement Stocks in the A-share Market

Description

Private placement is an important financing tool for listed companies in China, and the lock-up arrangement is its supporting system. The Efficient Market Hypothesis suggests that, if investor expectations are unbiased, there will be no abnormal fluctuations in the stock

Private placement is an important financing tool for listed companies in China, and the lock-up arrangement is its supporting system. The Efficient Market Hypothesis suggests that, if investor expectations are unbiased, there will be no abnormal fluctuations in the stock prices of listed companies before and after the unlocking day. However, around the time of the unlocking of private placement shares, the stock prices generally show a V-shaped pattern.

Through the empirical analysis of the Chinese A-share stocks from May 8th,2006 to December 31st, 2016, I found that from the 40th day before the unlocking day to the 90th day after, the stock price showed an evident first-downward-then upward trend. The lowest price appeared near the unlocking day. Meanwhile, the greater stocks fall before the unlocking day, the greater prices rise after that. The characteristics of the distinctive difference between the stock prices before and after the unlocking day can provide investment opportunities.

By reviewing research on investor behavior, this paper suggests that the V-shaped pattern can be explained by the influence of investors’ psychological factors on their trading behavior. The general performance of the stocks before the unlocking day is negative due to the increasing uncertainty perceived by investors. After the unlocking day, the uncertainty gradually disappears and the stock rebounds. In addition, I found that stock returns during the lock-up period, shareholder background, and the length of lock-up period also had significant impacts on the V-shaped price trend.

Contributors

Agent

Created

Date Created
2018

158905-Thumbnail Image.png

中国民营企业的传承模型研究

Description

当前,民营企业已成为中国重要支撑力量,而未来5到10年,约有300多万家民营企业面临传承困境。但学术研究领域在传承整体框架、配套机制建设方面有完整论述、有成功案例的所见不多。首先,针对以上民营企业的传承现状,本文将研究、回答五个问题:1、成功传承的标准和要素是什么?2、传承模式有哪几种,每种模式配套的传承机制是什么,该如何建立?3、民营企业应选择何种传承模式,如何选择?4、民营企业的整套传承方案如何落地搭建?5、是否有普适性的、可借鉴的民营企业传承模型,包含哪些要素?
其次,本文主要使用文献研究、案例研究、实证分析,选取中、美、德、日四家不同传承阶段、不同传承模式的知名民营企业,对其传承情况进行深入研究。在此基础上,归纳总结出传承的关键要素,对前述五个问题进行系统解答。同时,本文创新性地结合理论研究、案例研究及企业实践,提出适合我国大部分民营企业的传承全周期管理框架。
最后,根据以上研究,本文总结出关于中国民营企业传承的八大结论及建议:1、本质:权力的交接和义务的传递;2、两大风险:继任风险(继任人的能力要求)、代理风险(继任人对企业核心理念的意愿/忠诚度);3、降低风险的四大机制:领袖锻造、人才梯队、管控治理、激励机制;4、两大成功要素:“选领袖”和“建机制”;5、四大机制是并行推进、相辅相成的,要尽早构建、持续优化;6、三大模式:家族成员继承、内生培养经理人、外聘职业经理人;7、民营企业传承模型包含七大要素、五大步骤;8、民营企业在制定传承方案时,除了要注意传承模型中的要素,还要注意其他关键要素。

Contributors

Agent

Created

Date Created
2020

158044-Thumbnail Image.png

基于因子的FOF组合构建应用

Description

近年来,中国内地FOF业务发展迅速,但在业务发展初期的实践中,FOF管理人在遴选基金资产和预测其未来收益等方面遇到诸多困难,传统的FOF组合构建技术往往不理想。本文借鉴海外因子配置相关理论,尝试通过归因分析基金的收益来源,寻找能深度刻画基金经理管理能力的特质因子,创新性地提出了基于权益类基金的特质因子构建FOF组合的新方法。本文选择100家权益类私募基金,通过因子拆解剥离了市场、行业、风格等共同影响因素,遴选出特质因子表现更优的基金经理,而不是仅仅选择过往业绩好的基金经理,并基于特质因子构建一组FOF组合,与此同时,运用传统方法构建基于基金资产的另一组FOF组合,对比两种组合方法的组合绩效,实证结果显示基于特质因子的FOF组合绩效更优。本文进一步运用转移概率矩阵和相关性分析,找到了基于特质因子的FOF组合绩效更优的证据,即特质因子延续性更好和相关性更低。与基于基金资产的FOF组合配置传统方法相比,由于基金的特质因子延续性更好,运用历史数据预测未来收益的确定性相对更好;基金的特质因子之间的相关性低,大幅增强了FOF组合配置的稳定性和分散性。总体来讲,基于特质因子的FOF组合配置方法为FOF管理人提供了一个更量化、更有效、更稳健的组合配置新路径,能有效提升FOF组合配置的绩效。

关键词: FOF、因子投资、组合配置、特质因子

Contributors

Agent

Created

Date Created
2020